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February 2019 Weather Observations and Discussion Part 2


snow_wizard

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38 and light rain in the swamp

 

precip rates not heavy enough to draw the SL down to the swamp

 

snowcast going to bust

Honestly, we can expect very little, if any, accumulation this next week. Enjoy the partly cloudy to mostly sunny mid-40’s. Perfect swamp weather. ;) - The good news is sun angles and longer days have no effect on our day time highs this time of year. At least that is what I have been told. #eyeroll
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Have had snow showers on and off this morning with a temp near freezing. Can't really call out any accumulation.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Pretty snowy down to 920' just to my south.

 

http://tripcheck.com/RoadCams/cams/ORE22%20at%20Santiam%20Park%20WB_pid2997.JPG?rand=1551026099039

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Up to 6.5" at last measurement. Some small limbs breaking now.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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My ground temp was just too warm.  Could barely get the deck to get some accum.  I had good snowfall but just a degree too warm.  So close.  We'll see what tonight brings.

That's pretty surprising because it's been pretty cool for awhile. Didn't have trouble sticking to things here.

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That's pretty surprising because it's been pretty cool for awhile. Didn't have trouble sticking to things here.

I'm along a creek and in these marginal events it moderates temps ever so slightly.  All it takes sometimes.  I'm also protected from any east wind unless it's rippin pretty good.  Keeps evaporational cooling down some too.  Many times though I run cooler than many places when it's clear out.   Almost always run 2-4f cooler than say Happy Valley in non precip times.

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I'm along a creek and in these marginal events it moderates temps ever so slightly. All it takes sometimes. I'm also protected from any east wind unless it's rippin pretty good. Keeps evaporational cooling down some too. Many times though I run cooler than many places when it's clear out. Almost always run 2-4f cooler than say Happy Valley in non precip times.

Yeah but none of those things would affect ground temp. It’s been colder than an average December or January this month so ground temps are probably running cool if anything. I could see them being an issue if we just came off a run of sunny and upper 50s/low 60s or something.

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Yeah air temp and precip rates seem like the biggest factors.

I would agree with that most of the time.  I have my own little micro climate here because of the small river I'm on.  Still watching it over the last 7 years we've been here trying to figure out just how it impacts my temps in marginal events.  I'm also down in a little valley.  Springwater road is about 430ft just up the road and Redland road tops out at about 540ft on the other side of me.  I'm at 310 on the river.  There's a marked difference of snow amounts on either side of me except when east winds equalize temps.

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Still 40 at EUG. Absolutely filthy out there. Love it!!

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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Just woke up. Looks like we had some snow here overnight. Everything is lightly snow covered but the roads are clear.

You got lucky, nothing stuck here. I think we are close to the same elevation but you’re further east.

 

Snowing here again currently, but still not sticking, just a little too warm at 34. Nice to see though.

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Mona is destroying all my beautiful snow here this morning!

GifMeme08350124022019.gif

Nice looking dog! Most dogs are just like us freaks when it comes to snow...except they don’t have the worry about it trending too far south/north/east/west. They just enjoy it when it happens!
  • Like 1

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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An inch or so on everything. I see that models are maybe trending a bit north? I’m holding out hope!

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Nice looking dog! Most dogs are just like us freaks when it comes to snow...except they don’t have the worry about it trending too far south/north/east/west. They just enjoy it when it happens!

 

It's funny, she hated it at first, but now loves it! Especially once she realized i could make the snow into balls for her haha

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You got lucky, nothing stuck here. I think we are close to the same elevation but you’re further east.

 

Snowing here again currently, but still not sticking, just a little too warm at 34. Nice to see though.

Yeah, it's still nice to always see snow in the air. Hopefully the system for tomorrow comes in further North than modeled so lots of people can get in on the snow.

 

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Got no sticking snow this morning, I'm too far NW. maybe we'll get lucky tonight.

 

12z GEM, FV3 and GFS are about 2mb deeper with the low at landfall relative to their 06z runs.

And a tad north as well. Hopefully it’s a good sign.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Tim hasn’t posted about it ever since the late Feb/early March ridging fell apart and it trended toward the GFS/GEFS.

Sort of obvious that the blocking is not going anywhere no matter what any model shows. I am now wondering if Alaska will ever have a storm again. :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I’m hoping the southward trend has ended. We should be cold enough for snow tonight, just a question of whether precipitation gets here.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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