February 2019 Weather Observations and Discussion Part 2

[Cloud]

Looks like central sound is going be back to "normal" starting second week of March. 

[antipex]

Euro gives PDX a high of 50 tomorrow....And 35 on Sunday.

 

That's probably not taking the east wind into account.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

EURO guidance will be off for SLE through about Monday because it is initializing SLE with 5" of snow depth right now. lol. So probably better to use Aurora's temps as guidance for SLE right now. 

[Guest CulverJosh]

That's probably not taking the east wind into account.

 

No.  That is why the disparity.  East wind isn't supposed to ramp up until Saturday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Redmond ended up hitting -8 this morning. I was looking at the old co-op site data earlier, their record low for the date was actually -7, so they broke it anyway. Latest Robert's Field at Redmond has hit -8 during their period of record, though they did hit -12 on 2/27/1960. 

 

The March all-time low at Robert's Field is -1 and it looks like that is the all-time March low at the old station too. That station had records going back to 1911. It is definitely possible they set the monthly record low next week.

[TT-SEA]

SEA is up to 44 now.

[TT-SEA]

At least this pattern looks more recognizable for early March.

 

Maybe Alaska will have another storm in our lifetime.  

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Eugene recorded 0.3" of snowfall yesterday bringing their monthly total to 19.1". Snowfall records at Mahlon Sweet Airport are spotty at best, but that breaks the record of 8.8" in February 1990. 

 

It is also the 3rd most they have recorded in any month behind January 1969 and 1950. 

[jcmcgaffey]

27 straight days below average for SEA.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Eugene recorded 0.3" of snowfall yesterday bringing their monthly total to 19.1". Snowfall records at Mahlon Sweet Airport are spotty at best, but that breaks the record of 8.8" in February 1990. 

 

It is also the 3rd most they have recorded in any month behind January 1969 and 1950. 

 

A masterpiece event here for sure.  Will be remembered for a very long time.

[Cloud]

6-10 days outlook paints very dark blue over PNW and most of the country. Only warm spot is in the SW.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Interesting to see SLE stuck in the low 30s still. EURO says SLE only hits 39 today while PDX hits 45 and EUG 43. Seems like we are on pace for that. 

[TT-SEA]

6-10 days outlook paints very dark blue over PNW and most of the country. Only warm spot is in the SW.

 

Still... closer to normal and more typical weather.

[Esquimalt]

At least this pattern looks more recognizable for early March.

 

Maybe Alaska will have another storm in our lifetime.

 

How does the snow map look?

[Cloud]

Still... closer to normal and more typical weather.

The "normal" stuff don't start until after the second week of March imo... the next 6-10 days will still be well below normal. We're looking at highs probably in the mid-40's and lows below freezing. That's not normal or close to it.

[TT-SEA]

How does the snow map look?

Surface maps stopped updating at 96 hours.

[ShawniganLake]

Slushy

 

[TT-SEA]

The "normal" stuff don't start until after the second week of March imo... the next 6-10 days will still be well below normal. We're looking at highs probably in the mid-40's and lows below freezing. That's not normal or close to it.

 

 

Maybe... but probably some upper 40s to near 50 and more clouds and some rain too.   I said "closer" to normal.  

 

It will not be totally sunny with 45/25 type days for the next 10 days.    It will get cloudier and wetter after Monday or Tuesday.   Blue on the 850mb map does not always mean clear and cold or lots of snow.

[Esquimalt]

Slushy

 

56CFEDA7-A8B3-447A-AE6B-F440401D1FB0.png

Is that an overrunning event?

[HighlandExperience]

Slushy

 

56CFEDA7-A8B3-447A-AE6B-F440401D1FB0.png

When does most of that fall?

[Cloud]

Maybe... but probably some upper 40s to near 50 and more clouds and some rain too.   I said "closer" to normal.  

 

It will not be totally sunny with 45/25 type days for the next 10 days.    It will get cloudier and wetter after Monday.

 

A few days here and there inching to 50 is expected. But the overall average will still be well below. We're looking at a 5-6 degrees difference in air temperature to normal, that is what the 6-10 days outlook was painting with the deep blue shades. It's late in the season and we will inch "closer" to normal regardless. 

[ShawniganLake]

Is that an overrunning event?

Yes. Next Thursday. Precip moves up from the south.

[GHweatherChris]

So... it will warm up the closer we get to spring? Weird

[Esquimalt]

Yes. Next Thursday. Precip moves up from the south.

Is it too warm down here for snow?

[TT-SEA]

A few days here and there inching to 50 is expected. But the overall average will still be well below. We're looking at a 5-6 degrees difference in air temperature to normal, that is what the 6-10 days outlook was painting with the deep blue shades. It's late in the season and we will inch "closer" to normal regardless.

Normal is relative. We don't have to get closer to normal just because its March. That does not make any sense. Normal is a moving target.

 

I never said it would be normal or above normal. But it does show moderation.

[Timmy Supercell]

27.5" inches this month for me! One of the top snowiest February's ever. Updated a few things on my signature...

 

Well it looks like OR-KL-5 added that snow I was worried about. Just had to wait a little I guess. They are at a whopping 31.6" (another 1-2" is possible later). At the old 2 SSW station only ONE February went over 30". This is historic.

 

http://i64.tinypic.com/2gsh0lx.jpg

[ShawniganLake]

Is it too warm down here for snow?

Warm and less precip in your area.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

The 12Z EURO is still showing some type of overrunning snow/ice storm early Wednesday.

 

 

[luterra]

Interesting to see SLE stuck in the low 30s still. EURO says SLE only hits 39 today while PDX hits 45 and EUG 43. Seems like we are on pace for that. 

 

Strangely cold here too; 36 with a south wind.  850s would support 45-50 today without a strong inversion.  I'm assuming this is surface cold air advection from areas with deep snow to our south?

[Phil]

Jet extension coming mid-March just as the TPV reconsolidates. So the continental cold might moderate in the West, but the storm train could intensify in the PNW/BC. The wavetrain almost looks November-like.

[jakeinthevalley]

Looks like it has started snowing at Butler Hill, west of Salem per Tripcheck camera.

 

Wouldn't know as radar is down

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Jet extension coming mid-March just as the TPV reconsolidates. So the continental cold might moderate in the West, but the storm train could intensify in the PNW/BC. The wavetrain almost looks November-like.

 

Some filthy, stormy weather.  Sounds beautiful. 

[TacomaWaWx]

This winter was great for me, looks sunny and nice the next few days feels good. This February was the coldest snowiest period I’ve ever seen in my life, I am only 20 so I haven’t been around as long as some of you but this winter was probably the most exciting one I’ve ever seen. Had 2 good windstorms and about 20 inches of snow total. Hopefully this winter being very cold correlates into next winter being colder and more active for all of us.

[joelgombiner]

The NE Pacific has really cooled compared to a month ago. I wonder if this is related to the cold atmospheric pattern. 

 

[Front Ranger]

In the Seattle area we are lucky to have a few long term stations like Landsburg that have remained rural so they can be used for accurate comparisons.

 

It looks like this February will be colder than every February other than 1936 and 1989 in Landsburg.

[TT-SEA]

Jet extension coming mid-March just as the TPV reconsolidates. So the continental cold might moderate in the West, but the storm train could intensify in the PNW/BC. The wavetrain almost looks November-like.

 

That would be nice for a couple weeks.  

[TT-SEA]

47 at SEA... 46 in North Bend.

 

No wind today... and sunny.

[jakeinthevalley]

Snowing in South Salem now, as well

[Front Ranger]

Normal is relative. We don't have to get closer to normal just because its March. That does not make any sense. Normal is a moving target.

 

I never said it would be normal or above normal. But it does show moderation.

Does not look much closer to normal than the second half of February was.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wow! PDX torching at 45 while it is snowing and 37 in Salem.