February 2019 Weather Observations and Discussion Part 2

[Phil]

So, not a megadrought...yet.

 

[TT-SEA]

Snow melts.

 

Large amounts of snow take longer to melts.

Too long without our normal rainy and windy spring weather!

[Deweydog]

Too long without our normal rainy and windy spring weather!

It’s been a wintry February.

[TT-SEA]

A couple more pics this afternoon...

 

 

[Front Ranger]

You’d find a way to make it such. Goal posts are most effective when they’re mobile.

It already happened. 2008 was over a decade ago!

[Deweydog]

It already happened. 2008 was over a decade ago!

We were dew.

[TT-SEA]

18Z GFS is pretty much dry through 312 hours up here.

 

18Z FV3 is almost dry for the entire run.    There is one 6-hour frame with light precip over the Seattle area at 150 hours and again on the last frame at 384 hours.

[MossMan]

18Z GFS is pretty much dry through 312 hours up here.

That is 312 hours of very little snow melt!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

That is 312 hours of very little snow melt!

 

Pretty much...

[TT-SEA]

That is 312 hours of very little snow melt!

 

 

Maybe 384 hours if you believe the FV3.

[Meatyorologist]

 

They're going to **** up their streak. 

 

#sunanglesalwayswin

SHHHH FRED WILL HEAR

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I think December 2013 gets a little underrated on here probably because of the backdoor/southern component. It wasn't just a localized Eugene event, which it sometimes gets characterized as. There were near all-time low temperatures across a wide region. On the other hand it wasn't much more impressive than December 2009 at PDX. 

[TT-SEA]

High at SEA was 49. 

[Blizzard777]

48/28 today

Currently 45*

Clouds moving in

Dew point 22*

[SilverFallsAndrew]

High at SEA was 49. 

 

#not50

[Front Ranger]

High at SEA was 49.

Another spectacular victory for the unjinxing method.

[MikeInEverett]

Mt. Pilchuck and the Cascades looked incredible with the clear skies today.

 

[TT-SEA]

I am learning why people often think the radar looks so good and I don't understand why.

 

The NWS radar sites have been down all day so I have been watching the UW radar and this band of precip approaching and thinking its actually going to get here soon and it looks more robust than I expected.

 

 

 

 

And then the NWS site just came back online and I can immediately tell that it will never get here and does not look robust at all.

 

 

 

I was just about to make a post about precip incoming.   

[Phil]

[Frontal Snowsquall]

"Blistering winds and frigid temperatures in Upstate New York this week froze the water spray from Lake Ontario, turning homes along the beach into ice houses."

 

Yeah... No thanks. Don't need to experience that.

That's the most epic Winter picture I have ever seen in my life. Lord have mercy. Imagine being inside that home with that happening to you.

[Cloud]

SEA ended up with 36.7F for Feb. which is good for 3rd going back to 1945 when record keeping began at the airport. 5th all-time if you go back even further.

 

Feb. 1956 - 35.6

Feb. 1989 - 35.9

Feb. 1929 - 36.2

Feb. 1936 - 36.3

Feb. 2019 - 36.7

[Blizzard777]

Stats for February

Adverage temp 35.1*

Sure hope we can do this next season ....Can you say SPOILED !

[Jesse]

#not50

#blowtorch

 

#WOW

[GHweatherChris]

I am learning why people often think the radar looks so good and I don't understand why.

 

The NWS radar sites have been down all day so I have been watching the UW radar and this band of precip approaching and thinking its actually going to get here soon and it looks more robust than I expected.

 

https://i.postimg.cc/jqgdqWKY/rad1.pg

 

 

 

And then the NWS site just came back online and I can immediately tell that it will never get here and does not look robust at all.

 

https://i.postimg.cc/ZqT1ycF7/ATX-0-1.pn

 

 

I was just about to make a post about precip incoming.

Over this way the UW one does well, whenever there was light blue over me it was snowing and the NWS one showed nothing over me.

[bainbridgekid]

Over this way the UW one does well, whenever there was light blue over me it was snowing and the NWS one showed nothing over me.

When you say the NWS one, are you referring to the one on Camano Island or the Coast?

 

The UW radar combines the 3 regional radars (Coast, Camano Island, and Portland) into one image, so it makes sense it would overstate moisture where the radars overlap compared to an image from just one radar.

[MossMan]

Shockingly what snow I have left didn’t go anywhere today. I figured with higher temps and DP’s the melt would have been a little more substantial.

 

Edit: DP’s were not as high as I thought they got today.

[GHweatherChris]

When you say the NWS one, are you referring to the one on Camano Island or the Coast?

 

The UW radar combines the 3 regional radars (Coast, Camano Island, and Portland) into one image, so it makes sense it would overstate moisture where the radars overlap compared to an image from just one radar.

Coast, but the UW site works to be accurate for out here the the radar on the NWS site most of the time.

[Timmy Supercell]

OR-KL-5 just finished February with 33.4"! This is a historically snowy one.

[MossMan]

Haven’t seen the majority of my backyard grass since the morning of the 3rd. That’s a successful month right there!

[Jesse]

GFS ensembles keep trending colder in the short to mid range. So much for 850s rising toward 0c for even a day or so before hour 240.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS ensembles keep trending colder in the short to mid range. So much for 850s rising toward 0c for even a day or so before hour 240.

 

ED0CE5A8-E3A8-47A2-B012-D2EBAA2B6B11.png

 

Incredible. I'm going to wager the long range will eventually trend down too. Seems like maybe once we get to mid-month the ridge backs off a little and we get a wetter, but still cool regime...

 

Also interesting to note the CFS was the first to advertise the coast to coast blast slated for early next week. 

[El_Nina]

3rd solid winter in a row. Really can't complain about lack of snow here.

[Prairiedog]

Hill and Zaffino still sitting on mid to upper 40's Sunday and Monday.  Mark holding firm to upper 30's and strong east winds. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hill and Zaffino still sitting on mid to upper 40's Sunday and Monday.  Mark holding firm to upper 30's and strong east winds. 

 

I have a really hard time believing PDX sees highs in the upper 30s with full sunshine in March. 

[BLI snowman]

GFS ensembles keep trending colder in the short to mid range. So much for 850s rising toward 0c for even a day or so before hour 240.

 

ED0CE5A8-E3A8-47A2-B012-D2EBAA2B6B11.png

 

Looking like it should be our most legit March cold down here since 1989, IMO. Gorge component looks a lot more impressive than anything in 2002, 2009, or 2012.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Stressful day dealing with employees and there drama. Down to 32 with only a high of 41 today.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Stressful day dealing with employees and there drama. Down to 32 with only a high of 41 today.

 

That is definitely the worst. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The warmest it's been here since feb 1 was only 42.3 degrees. Will do my average tomorrow and i believe this will be the coldest month I've ever had here.

[Omegaraptor]

Aren't we due for an above average March at this point?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looking like it should be our most legit March cold down here since 1989, IMO. Gorge component looks a lot more impressive than anything in 2002, 2009, or 2012.

 

Oh yeah, I don't recall 2002 or 2012 having really any gorge component at all.