Pacific Northwest Weather - May 2023

[Doinko]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Thank you for being understanding, I am definitely in the denial/anger stage right now, I'll get to acceptance in a few days... Every dang year...

Hopefully today doesn't over perform like yesterday

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It's wild that I mowed for the first time yesterday. The grass and other vegetation is just getting going, I do worry a little about the heat taking its toll, but April was pretty wet, and 2018 had a pretty dry spring, and very warm/dry May and it didn't put a damper on the green up. 

[AlTahoe]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Have any snowpack left? 

Yep berms/snow piles on the north side of the street are still 6' or higher. I have never seen snow here in the banana belt after April beofre. Pic from last week. 

[Ken in Wood Village]

Just looked at the SPC. It looks like day 2 (Sunday) and day 3 (Monday) will start becoming interesting for thunderstorms. By what I've been seeing in the CAPE and the Lightning forecast, looks like we could see a significant thunderstorm outbreak. That's if the models are correct. I'm hoping this does come true only because it will help cool us off

[FroYoBro]

Already 70 here. 90 Should be a lock for the Portland area again this afternoon. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

72F IMBY right now. Beautiful but hot later.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

72F IMBY right now. Beautiful but hot later.

Is the pool ready?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just got some outstanding news. Burning will be allowed from 10a-6:30p today!

[Cascadia_Wx]

88/50 day here yesterday. Severe clear. Looks like PDX could string together 3-4 90s considering they bumped to 90 late yesterday. Earliest heatwave on record. Hoping the cool down and thunderstorm chances for early next week pan out.

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 hour ago, Doinko said:

Vancouver also hit 90 yesterday, and Troutdale hit 89

Where are you finding obs for Vancouver? Seems like they’ve been offline for awhile. Maybe my link is broken.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

88/50 day here yesterday. Severe clear. Looks like PDX could string together 3-4 90s considering they bumped to 90 late yesterday. Earliest heatwave on record. Hoping the cool down and thunderstorm chances for early next week pan out.

I'd trade it all for an JJA near the 1961-1990 average.

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I'd trade it all for an JJA near the 1961-1990 average.

Me too Andrew. Me too…

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Interesting...

https://phys.org/news/2023-05-meteorologists-climate-misinfo-surge.html

[SnowySeeker50]

Low of 56 this morning and currently 67 degrees.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Seems like a lot of T-Storm chances from the Crest-East.

[TT-SEA]

Already 77 here and in North Bend.   90 seems pretty likely.    Actually sweating getting the boat ready this morning.    Feels like a July warm spell.

[Cold Snap]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Already 77 here and in North Bend.   90 seems pretty likely.    Actually sweating getting the boat ready this morning.    Feels like a July warm spell.

Looks like a lot of places are already into the 70s. Still only 67.4 here.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Looks like there is a small signal developing for some sort of cool down (at least closer to average) the last 1/3 of the month.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Is the pool ready?

We're getting it set up but siphoning more water than I expected...well, trying to. Moving it to the back of the yard.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hot AF here too. Up to 79 already while working on two burn piles. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

24 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

We're getting it set up but siphoning more water than I expected...well, trying to. Moving it to the back of the yard.

Are all your critters gonna be there runnin' around today?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Silverton Pet Parade and Scio Lamb and Wool Fair next weekend. Should be warm with storms firing over the Cascades by afternoon. 

[Deweydog]

Should be the first and probably last time we’ll ever depart Vegas on an afternoon where it’ll be warmer when we touch down than when we went wheels up. #blessed #findkayla #goknights

[FroYoBro]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Silverton Pet Parade and Scio Lamb and Wool Fair next weekend. Should be warm with storms firing over the Cascades by afternoon. 

I’ve been waiting all year for the SPP! 

[Cascadia_Wx]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Silverton Pet Parade and Scio Lamb and Wool Fair next weekend. Should be warm with storms firing over the Cascades by afternoon. 

I have my lamb furry outfit ready Andrew.

[Slushy Inch]

Random asf strong thunderstorm pops on the coast Thursday night. Possibly triggered by a weak marine push as ridge briefly shifts far enough east. This is a weird pattern we are getting into.

[Doinko]

2 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Where are you finding obs for Vancouver? Seems like they’ve been offline for awhile. Maybe my link is broken.

The record event report had Vancouver at 90 yesterday. Hopefully they can fix Vancouver's hourly obs at some point

 

[Phishy Wx]

73 here.  supposed to be 81 today. seems like one of those rare events where its warmer on the westside of the cascades.  our 90 degree heat hits next weekend

[Cold Snap]

Forecast high has gone down from 86 to 83 on weather.com. No clue if that will be right but I wouldn’t mind it being right. Currently 75.8.

[Slushy Inch]

One question regarding the future patterns is if the next ridge will develop over us or far enough west to allow troughing like on some GFS runs. Will have a better idea when EPS is out.

[SunAndSnow]

84° at noon. 90° forecast seems a bit low. 

[T-Town]

79 here. NWS says 89 for a high. 

[Slushy Inch]

NOAA forecast discussion mentions how models underplay the moisture in setups like this. This UW GFS run is interesting. Convection fires up over WW late in the evening and again at 5am in what would be a memorable event. 

[TT-SEA]

Waiting on the dock at Lake Sammamish for my daughter's friends.   Fun watching everyone launching.   Parking lot is pretty much to capacity already.  

[Phil]

Note the building +u-wind anomalies in the 5N-20N (subtropical NH) hovmoller. Eddy/z-cell transfer of the deposited momentum thru subtropics is beginning. A very high magnitude event so will be a lower frequency propagation w/ the new low pass established from the present state.

In conjunction with the MJO component returning to the W-Hem/IO in early June, watch for the pattern change to something very zonal/+NPO between 5/30 and 6/5.

[Phil]

Also should lose the +NAO w/ ridging building in NE-Canada next month, as well.

Does not look favorable for significant cool anomalies in North America, generally speaking, but it should be a much more zonal pattern, so the biggest change will be in the West (and possibly NE-Canada).

[FroYoBro]

East wind just hit pdx and they bumped up to 90 at 1pm. Brrrr.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

East wind just hit pdx and they bumped up to 90 at 1pm. Brrrr.

Insane. 

[Omegaraptor]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Waiting on the dock at Lake Sammamish for my daughter's friends.   Fun watching everyone launching.   Parking lot is pretty much to capacity already.  

 

At Henry Hagg Lake!

Not as many boats here as Lake Sammamish!

[TT-SEA]

So hot out here... kids love being in the water.