Pacific Northwest Weather - May 2023

[TacomaWx]

34 minutes ago, T-Town said:

80 degrees now. 

78 now here…should easily blow past the max of 83 yesterday even with a northerly breeze. 

[Cold Snap]

According to Cliff Mass. It’s the wind and not the heat.

[Slushy Inch]

3 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

According to Cliff Mass. It’s the wind and not the heat.

This blog post was ridiculous. Called the easterlies “cool” and made no mention of convection. Breaking daily records everyday is a lot more impressive than a little wind.

[westcoastexpat]

Absolutely fantastic weather this weekend. Enjoy everyone, and happy mother's day to any moms out there!

[Meatyorologist]

7 minutes ago, Phil said:

Don’t get me wrong, summer will almost certainly be warmer than average, but nothing like the last two. I’m thinking something like 1997 or 2019, or best case something like a modern day version of 1957 (which also torched in May and early June).

Never said anything about relating to average. Just the coldest since.

We've really departed in the last decade, climatologically speaking. A genuinely cold summer would soak the hearts of many here, especially the transplants.

[TacomaWx]

Sounds like a pretty good shot at thunderstorms here tomorrow but it’s always a wait and see game. Mike Snyder thinks south of Seattle down to Portland has the best shot but it could be anywhere.

[Slushy Inch]

Now this would be a light show! Thunderstorms start around 2pm and strongest ones in the lowlands are in the evening it seems.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

82

[FroYoBro]

12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

82

85 here Andrew. We must stay strong. 

[Ken in Wood Village]

I'm not sure if this is correct. It's showing a CAPE value of over 3,000 next to Corvallis later tonight we'll just need to watch the radar and satellite picture to see if this will verify. 

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, Ken in Wood Village said:

I'm not sure if this is correct. It's showing a CAPE value of over 3,000 next to Corvallis later tonight we'll just need to watch the radar and satellite picture to see if this will verify. 

It could verify and result in nothing on radar and satellite. CAPE is just potential energy.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yeah, good for you, I wish I could just enjoy this, but as I said yesterday, its every D**n year at this point... If this was May 2008 it would be interesting and exciting. 15 years later its just another hot month in a sea of them. 

Yup, and it's only getting started again...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Yup, and it's only getting started again...

Did you hit 90 yesterday? Didn't see a FB player.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Looks like that upper low could make things interesting

[Cascadia_Wx]

Very windy and 83 here. The offshore wind never fully died off out here last night, had an insanely warm low of 68 which smashes anything else I’ve seen this early in the season by several degrees. On the flip side I’m wondering if the strong wind could mitigate highs a bit compared to yesterday.

Thunderstorm chances could be fun tomorrow.

Also, like the GFS, the 12z Euro is looking good for a return to more seasonable starting this weekend. Seems too good to be true but fingers crossed. 

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

Lol. Okay you have my word, it is not a harbinger. If anything it’s a somewhat positive sign given how these tropical/ET teleconnections vary seasonally.

If I had been wrong about the late April - late May warm period, then I would be worried about a scorching summer, because the reasons for the warm late spring pattern are the same the reasons why it shouldn’t be scorching hot during the heart of summer. Theoretically.

Don’t get me wrong, summer will almost certainly be warmer than average, but nothing like the last two. I’m thinking something like 1997 or 2019, or best case something like a modern day version of 1957 (which also torched in May and early June).

Lol what is it with u and the PNA.  

West coast troughing signal vs west coast ridging signal??? Yeah It’s stupid and should never be looked at…Possibly thrown into Andrews wet brush pile to be slowly smoldered to death. Cool and possibly wetter when the little red line thing goes to the - … Warmer and possibly less wet when the little red line is in the +. 
Boating weather vs non boating weather. 

[Slushy Inch]

5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Very windy and 83 here. The offshore wind never fully died off out here last night, had an insanely warm low of 68 which smashes anything else I’ve seen this early in the season by several degrees. On the flip side I’m wondering if the strong wind could mitigate highs a bit compared to yesterday.

Thunderstorm chances could be fun tomorrow.

Also, like the GFS, the 12z Euro is looking good for a return to more seasonable starting this weekend. Seems too good to be true but fingers crossed. 

First Euro run to have a marine push that isn’t super pathetic.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, Slushy Inch said:

First Euro run to have a marine push that isn’t super pathetic.

Yeah. I’ll have to see some consistency to buy it. Usually a quick end to a May heatwave by marine push is a given, but this pattern is pretty off the rails.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

13 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Yeah. I’ll have to see some consistency to buy it. Usually a quick end to a May heatwave by marine push is a given, but this pattern is pretty off the rails.

Reminds me a lot of late July last year. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Good day to stay inside and watch game 7  between the Celtics and 76ers and do some deep cleaning. Certainly would not want to be outside on a day like this.

[FroYoBro]

Pdx had a low of 62 this morning. Guess what? Yep, another daily record. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

That

1 minute ago, FroYoBro said:

Pdx had a low of 62 this morning. Guess what? Yep, another daily record. 

Tied the all-time warmest low for May. Guess they have to wait until tomorrow to break it. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looking at last July at SLE. 4 days 100+. No highs below 98 the last week of the month. Fortunately we had a previously planned camping trip to the coast planned during that time, unfortunately it began with a couple days in the Umpqua Basin. 

[Omegaraptor]

Looks like yesterday single handedly raised PDX's MTD departure by a full degree.

[Doinko]

Didn't even drop below 68 overnight. Looks like 85 home now

[TacomaWx]

82 here now. 

[Cold Snap]

Up to 88.1 now.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Despite the much warmer start PDX is now running -3F compared to yesterday at this time. Probably will still hit 90 though.

[Phishy Wx]

78 with a 20mph 'breeze'

about to head to the baseball game

[T-Town]

7 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

82 here now. 

84 here. We plateaued for a while but are climbing again. 

[TT-SEA]

44 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Good day to stay inside and watch game 7  between the Celtics and 76ers and do some deep cleaning. Certainly would not want to be outside on a day like this.

Gorgeous day here in Bellingham.   Only 77 at my parents house.   Most people love being outside on a day like this.    In fact a huge part of the country would call your 82 degrees with low humidity to be close to summer perfection.   

[Deweydog]

91 at the non-Tim North Bend is pretty nutty.

[Deweydog]

7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Despite the much warmer start PDX is now running -3F compared to yesterday at this time. Probably will still hit 90 though.

Today is slightly cooler in the mid levels thanks to the ridiculously broad thermal trough. Definitely a hybrid pattern of sorts.

[FroYoBro]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

91 at the non-Tim North Bend is pretty nutty.

Yeah, I was going to mention that it's 88 at Newport. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

9 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Today is slightly cooler in the mid levels thanks to the ridiculously broad thermal trough. Definitely a hybrid pattern of sorts.

It’s an incredibly odd pattern at 500mb. Don’t remember a lot of times we’ve had a ULL migrate into a strong ridge from the ESE and cut it off to our north as is progged. 

[MV_snow]

13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Gorgeous day here in Bellingham.   Only 77 at my parents house.   Most people love being outside on a day like this.    In fact a huge part of the country would call your 82 degrees with low humidity to be close to summer perfection.   

Exactly. Even upper 80s here with extremely dry air and a nice breeze is pretty comfortable. Most people are just enjoying some warm weather after a generally cooler than average winter and early spring. The b!tching on this forum is not representative of most people at all.

[iFred]

19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Gorgeous day here in Bellingham.   Only 77 at my parents house.   Most people love being outside on a day like this.    In fact a huge part of the country would call your 82 degrees with low humidity to be close to summer perfection.   

I’m enjoying it

[Cascadia_Wx]

EPS seems to agree on things dipping closer to normal by next week. But still a lot of spread overall so we’re not out of the woods yet.

[Cascadia_Wx]

23 minutes ago, MV_snow said:

Exactly. Even upper 80s here with extremely dry air and a nice breeze is pretty comfortable. Most people are just enjoying some warm weather after a generally cooler than average winter and early spring. The b!tching on this forum is not representative of most people at all.

Great stuff. This is crucial to keep in mind, and really should be shouted from the highest roof top. I am printing out your “Most people like the stuff I like” t-shirt as we speak. Will ship it to you once I grab a Big Mac and large diet coke from McDonald’s and finish season 7 of The Bachelor.

Edited May 14, 2023 by Cascadia_Wx

[Meatyorologist]

The hot weather does feel nice in its own way today, it's really not that serious. The problem lies in how much of this kind of weather we have seen in recent memory.

As for this present afternoon, it has been many months since we hit 90F, so it feels pleasant. Will get old soon enough though, I'm sure. Especially when the heat starts to get into the house...