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Pacific Northwest Weather - May 2023


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3 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

According to Cliff Mass. It’s the wind and not the heat.

E022ADE8-BA8E-4594-ACEF-E0C9E227FBAB.jpeg

This blog post was ridiculous. Called the easterlies “cool” and made no mention of convection. Breaking daily records everyday is a lot more impressive than a little wind.

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7 minutes ago, Phil said:

Don’t get me wrong, summer will almost certainly be warmer than average, but nothing like the last two. I’m thinking something like 1997 or 2019, or best case something like a modern day version of 1957 (which also torched in May and early June).

Never said anything about relating to average. Just the coldest since.

We've really departed in the last decade, climatologically speaking. A genuinely cold summer would soak the hearts of many here, especially the transplants.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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82

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, Ken in Wood Village said:

I'm not sure if this is correct. It's showing a CAPE value of over 3,000 next to Corvallis later tonight 🤔 we'll just need to watch the radar and satellite picture to see if this will verify. 

Screenshot_20230514_112456_Chrome.jpg

It could verify and result in nothing on radar and satellite. CAPE is just potential energy.

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yeah, good for you, I wish I could just enjoy this, but as I said yesterday, its every D**n year at this point... If this was May 2008 it would be interesting and exciting. 15 years later its just another hot month in a sea of them. 

Yup, and it's only getting started again...

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Yup, and it's only getting started again...

Did you hit 90 yesterday? Didn't see a FB player.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Very windy and 83 here. The offshore wind never fully died off out here last night, had an insanely warm low of 68 which smashes anything else I’ve seen this early in the season by several degrees. On the flip side I’m wondering if the strong wind could mitigate highs a bit compared to yesterday.

Thunderstorm chances could be fun tomorrow.

Also, like the GFS, the 12z Euro is looking good for a return to more seasonable starting this weekend. Seems too good to be true but fingers crossed. 

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

Lol. Okay you have my word, it is not a harbinger. If anything it’s a somewhat positive sign given how these tropical/ET teleconnections vary seasonally.

If I had been wrong about the late April - late May warm period, then I would be worried about a scorching summer, because the reasons for the warm late spring pattern are the same the reasons why it shouldn’t be scorching hot during the heart of summer. Theoretically.

Don’t get me wrong, summer will almost certainly be warmer than average, but nothing like the last two. I’m thinking something like 1997 or 2019, or best case something like a modern day version of 1957 (which also torched in May and early June).

Lol what is it with u and the PNA. 😆 

West coast troughing signal vs west coast ridging signal??? Yeah It’s stupid and should never be looked at…Possibly thrown into Andrews wet brush pile to be slowly smoldered to death. Cool and possibly wetter when the little red line thing goes to the - … Warmer and possibly less wet when the little red line is in the +. 
Boating weather vs non boating weather. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Very windy and 83 here. The offshore wind never fully died off out here last night, had an insanely warm low of 68 which smashes anything else I’ve seen this early in the season by several degrees. On the flip side I’m wondering if the strong wind could mitigate highs a bit compared to yesterday.

Thunderstorm chances could be fun tomorrow.

Also, like the GFS, the 12z Euro is looking good for a return to more seasonable starting this weekend. Seems too good to be true but fingers crossed. 

First Euro run to have a marine push that isn’t super pathetic.

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Just now, Slushy Inch said:

First Euro run to have a marine push that isn’t super pathetic.

Yeah. I’ll have to see some consistency to buy it. Usually a quick end to a May heatwave by marine push is a given, but this pattern is pretty off the rails.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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13 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Yeah. I’ll have to see some consistency to buy it. Usually a quick end to a May heatwave by marine push is a given, but this pattern is pretty off the rails.

Reminds me a lot of late July last year. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Good day to stay inside and watch game 7  between the Celtics and 76ers and do some deep cleaning. Certainly would not want to be outside on a day like this.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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That

1 minute ago, FroYoBro said:

Pdx had a low of 62 this morning. Guess what? Yep, another daily record. 

Tied the all-time warmest low for May. Guess they have to wait until tomorrow to break it. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Looking at last July at SLE. 4 days 100+. No highs below 98 the last week of the month. Fortunately we had a previously planned camping trip to the coast planned during that time, unfortunately it began with a couple days in the Umpqua Basin. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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44 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Good day to stay inside and watch game 7  between the Celtics and 76ers and do some deep cleaning. Certainly would not want to be outside on a day like this.

Gorgeous day here in Bellingham.   Only 77 at my parents house.   Most people love being outside on a day like this.    In fact a huge part of the country would call your 82 degrees with low humidity to be close to summer perfection.   😍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Despite the much warmer start PDX is now running -3F compared to yesterday at this time. Probably will still hit 90 though.

Today is slightly cooler in the mid levels thanks to the ridiculously broad thermal trough. Definitely a hybrid pattern of sorts.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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9 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Today is slightly cooler in the mid levels thanks to the ridiculously broad thermal trough. Definitely a hybrid pattern of sorts.

It’s an incredibly odd pattern at 500mb. Don’t remember a lot of times we’ve had a ULL migrate into a strong ridge from the ESE and cut it off to our north as is progged. 

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Gorgeous day here in Bellingham.   Only 77 at my parents house.   Most people love being outside on a day like this.    In fact a huge part of the country would call your 82 degrees with low humidity to be close to summer perfection.   😍

Exactly. Even upper 80s here with extremely dry air and a nice breeze is pretty comfortable. Most people are just enjoying some warm weather after a generally cooler than average winter and early spring. The b!tching on this forum is not representative of most people at all.

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19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Gorgeous day here in Bellingham.   Only 77 at my parents house.   Most people love being outside on a day like this.    In fact a huge part of the country would call your 82 degrees with low humidity to be close to summer perfection.   😍

I’m enjoying it

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23 minutes ago, MV_snow said:

Exactly. Even upper 80s here with extremely dry air and a nice breeze is pretty comfortable. Most people are just enjoying some warm weather after a generally cooler than average winter and early spring. The b!tching on this forum is not representative of most people at all.

Great stuff. This is crucial to keep in mind, and really should be shouted from the highest roof top. I am printing out your “Most people like the stuff I like” t-shirt as we speak. Will ship it to you once I grab a Big Mac and large diet coke from McDonald’s and finish season 7 of The Bachelor.

Edited by Cascadia_Wx
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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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The hot weather does feel nice in its own way today, it's really not that serious. The problem lies in how much of this kind of weather we have seen in recent memory.

As for this present afternoon, it has been many months since we hit 90F, so it feels pleasant. Will get old soon enough though, I'm sure. Especially when the heat starts to get into the house...

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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