BMT Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 3k NAM is best-case for Cedar Rapids. It is a bit colder with wave #1, so CR remains just inside the snow area, then gets a decent track with wave #2 as well.CR jackpot Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 OAX for a good chunk of south eastern Nebraska 0-3 with uncertain on banding. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 speed: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 3k NAM has almost 17" for Cedar Rapids 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Alright then lmaoooo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 NAM -3KM NAM- SREF mean plume = all over 10" for mby. What could go wrong? Everything. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 12K NAM for here 1st wave: 7-102nd wave: 3-6 3K NAM 1st wave: 1-32nd wave: 7-9 Ok 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 HRRR is in the same camp still. Looks like a good defo band forming at the end of the run too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Gotta love the NAM for always starting nights off with fantasy land snow totals to get us all excited. By midnight the Euro will be more realistic and temper enthusiasm. LOL. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Gotta love the NAM for always starting nights off with fantasy land snow totals to get us all excited. By midnight the Euro will be more realistic and temper enthusiasm. LOL.I could settle for what the 12z Euro showed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 3k NAM has almost 17" for Cedar Rapids Half of that would be a win. Have to remember DVN thinks most of the wave 1 precip will fall as sleet. If that happens, the overall snow totals would be much less. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 The new HRRR v4 (not yet operational) for wave 1. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Welcome to the show Icon.. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 00z ICON finally back nw and a little stronger, very similar to the GFS. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 RAP continues to show a narrow band of 4-5" right along I-80 corridor (OMA/LNK) and still snowing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 RGEM looks weaker than NAM with wave 1 NAm had 1.1-1.3 qpf in IA RGEM with .5-.6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Various short term guidance... https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrwarw&p=snku_acc&rh=2020011000&fh=36&r=us_mw&dpdt=&mc= https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrwnmmb&p=snku_acc&rh=2020011000&fh=36&r=us_mw&dpdt=&mc= https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrwnssl&p=snku_acc&rh=2020011000&fh=36&r=us_mw&dpdt=&mc= Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 RGEM looks weaker than NAM with wave 1 NAm had 1.1-1.3 qpf in IA RGEM with .5-.6lot more sleet and FZRA with RDPS- but it seems to have had it since it's outset. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Feeling good where I sit, but that's the exact moment the rug gets pulled out from under me....worried I may get in on sleet freezing rain this pulls 60mi further nw Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Feeling good where I sit, but that's the exact moment the rug gets pulled out from under me....worried I may get in on sleet freezing rain this pulls 60mi further nwPretty rough trends tonight with models focusing on first wave with second wave crapping out now and weak Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 RGEM with 1-2 inches of snow through hr 48 in most of WI/IA quickly turning into a nonevent with the second piece Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 lot more sleet and FZRA with RDPS- but it seems to have had it since it's outset. Has nothing for snow in Cedar Rapids... all sleet. Wave 2 looks kinda weak and east, too, and the RGEM tends to be a stronger, more amped solution. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 OAX just issued Winter Weather Advisories calling for 2-4" and 35mph winds 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 RGEM also much slower, doesn't get wave 2 into CR until 6pm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stratosjeff Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Feeling good where I sit, but that's the exact moment the rug gets pulled out from under me....worried I may get in on sleet freezing rain this pulls 60mi further nw Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stratosjeff Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 I know the feeling, I live in Rockford...losing hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 0z NAM with my parting shot of flurries late Sat night Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Winds here will really start cranking up by late tomorrow I think. I hope I get no ice. Flooding could be a real issue here. I might even get thunderstorms 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GFS more amped first wave compared to previous runs 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 00z RGEM through hr 48 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GFS coming in clutch!! Omaha and Lincoln will like! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GFS also with the snow/ice line right between CR & IC. Looks to be a sleet fest on the GFS along I80 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GFS first wave through 36 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Welcome aboard GFS. 4.4 first wave in CR 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 wave 2 even further east on GFS than previous runs. We have model mayhem 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 2nd wave gonna be weak/east What a joke Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Looks like my area gets to be the dividing line yet again.Outside the snowstorm I had in November, I have been missed either to the north west or south east on every single storm in our state. To quote shawshank redemption... Bad luck I guess. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GFS also with the snow/ice line right between CR & IC. Looks to be a sleet fest on the GFS along I80 SIGN ME UP!!! 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 What might have been with decent COLD 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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