SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 GFS doesn't look much different. The lowland snow band is focused slightly further south I guess on this run. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 GFS doesn't look much different. The lowland snow band is focused slightly further south I guess on this run.I am only concerned about my backyard, hence that run was not on board. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 No snow for me. Going to get the mower ready for the season on Saturday. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 No snow for me. Going to get the mower ready for the season on Saturday. Yep... next week is looking beautiful now. Good lawn mowing weather. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 For the record I would be surprised if there was significant lowland snow anywhere Saturday below 500'. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Hit a low of 25 this morning. Only 3 degrees higher than the low of 22 this season set back in October. Gonna be some confused plants. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 For the record I would be surprised if there was significant lowland snow anywhere Saturday below 500'.Yeah, the best dynamics look to be during the day on Saturday. Doesn’t work in March. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Yep... next week is looking beautiful now. Good lawn mowing weather. I will be going to cabin to enjoy some cold dry air and snow then come back home to a 60 degree work week. Perfect combination of weather. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Such a downer that we go back to a boring and dry pattern so quickly after this weekend. Low of 29 here this morning. Definitely racking up a good number of freezes this month so far. This morning is freeze #6. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Yeah, the best dynamics look to be during the day on Saturday. Doesn’t work in March. Most of the action happens 12z-18z Saturday, good timing. Even so, will be tough to get accumulation on all surfaces at the lowest elevations. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Most of the action happens 12z-18z Saturday, good timing. Even so, will be tough to get accumulation on all surfaces at the lowest elevations. Yeah, from what I can tell the best dynamics are actually late night Friday into early Saturday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 29f here as well. Third morning this week I've had to chip ice out of the guides of my fishing rod for the first couple hours of fishing. Rivers are incredibly low and clear. I've got two more weeks to chase winter steelhead before I switch over to Springers and I just don't see much rain to bounce the rivers over the next 10 days. Can't run my sled and my favorite bank drifts are just pathetically low. Sure beautiful mornings on the rivers though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Best GEM run for PDX yet. Pretty good agreement with the GFS. Snow in the air for valley floor likely. Nice to see the GEM trending colder too. A bit warmer than the Euro and GFS but starting to get good agreement. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 29f here as well. Third morning this week I've had to chip ice out of the guides of my fishing rod for the first couple hours of fishing. Rivers are incredibly low and clear. I've got two more weeks to chase winter steelhead before I switch over to Springers and I just don't see much rain to bounce the rivers over the next 10 days. Can't run my sled and my favorite bank drifts are just pathetically low. Sure beautiful mornings on the rivers though. I think one reason the rivers are so low is the generally cool weather has the snow still locked up in the highlands, which is a good thing. But obviously the lack of normal rainfall at this time of year is also playing a role. Praying for a snowier pattern in the mountains late March into April. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Yeah, from what I can tell the best dynamics are actually late night Friday into early Saturday.Looking at the GFS again and it looks like I was off on the times for sure. My bad. Saturday morning could be some nice wet snow watching. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 I think one reason the rivers are so low is the generally cool weather has the snow still locked up in the highlands, which is a good thing. But obviously the lack of normal rainfall at this time of year is also playing a role. Praying for a snowier pattern in the mountains late March into April. Looks like snowpack in the Mount Hood basin is currently sitting at 89%. Not terrible but could be a lot better too. Things start to get more dire as you move south through Oregon. Snowpack for the Rogue/Umpqua and Klamath basins are currently sitting at 69% and 63% respectively. On a brighter note, the south Washington Cascades are currently 102% of normal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Looking at the GFS again and it looks like I was off on the times for sure. My bad. Saturday morning could be some nice wet snow watching. You became enchanted by Andrew's spell. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 After a spike/rebound next week, the 12z ensembles are generally below average from day 7 to the end of the run. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 You became enchanted by Andrew's spell.I’ll do anything he wants as long as I get my half inch. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 If this gfs run verified, March 2020 would end up drier than March 2019. March 2019 only had 0.57” of precip here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Such a downer that we go back to a boring and dry pattern so quickly after this weekend. Low of 29 here this morning. Definitely racking up a good number of freezes this month so far. This morning is freeze #6. Yeah pretty disappointing. Was hoping we could stop having Sacramento's climate for a few weeks. All the more reason to enjoy whatever we get Friday-Saturday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Total snow through Sunday morning per 12Z ECMWF: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Last 3 euro runs for precip Not the greatest trend... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Last 3 euro runs for precip Not the greatest trend... Seattle folks don't have to worry about precip type... there is not even going to be much precip at all. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Pretty heavy snowfall in the Sierras on Euro, where they need it. Wonder how much AlTahoe will get. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Last 3 euro runs for precip Not the greatest trend... Seems to be backing off quite a bit on the frontogenesis on the NE quadrant of the low idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 12Z ECMWF is a little warmer than the 00Z run by Monday... good shot at 60 out here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Total snow through Sunday morning per 12Z ECMWF: Wasn’t that long ago when our Canadian friends were looking at 8+ inches for this “event”. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Seems to be backing off quite a bit on the frontogenesis on the NE quadrant of the low idea. Yeah, the 12z GFS, GEM, UKMET still have it, showing ~1 inch precip totals. The 06z Euro looked pretty decent too, big drop off for the 12z. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Total snow through Sunday morning per 12Z ECMWF: However Brian in Leavenworth might do well! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 We’ve picked up 1.60” in the last 5 weeks here. Not much the next 10 days pretty interesting how we’ve went from very dry to very wet and back to dry up here in western WA. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Wasn’t that long ago when our Canadian friends were looking at 8+ inches for this “event”. Probably will be no snow at all north of Seattle and maybe some snow in the air from Seattle to Olympia. People are gonna score down south though! Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 We’ve picked up 1.60” in the last 5 weeks here. Not much the next 10 days pretty interesting how we’ve went from very dry to very wet and back to dry up here in western WA. Been a pretty gripping progression of very dry to very dry to briefly near average to very dry down here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 We’ve picked up 1.60” in the last 5 weeks here. Not much the next 10 days pretty interesting how we’ve went from very dry to very wet and back to dry up here in western WA. Yeah... the last 4 weeks have been drier than normal out here as well. I am sure April will be very wet again like it has been in the Seattle area every year since 2017. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Been a pretty gripping progression of very dry to very dry to briefly near average to very dry down here. How far below average is PDX for this rain year? I think we’re just about average....quite a bit better than last year up here in Washington anyways. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 Yeah... the last 4 weeks have been drier than normal out here as well. I am sure April will be very wet again like it has been in the Seattle area every year since 2017. 3 dry Marches in a row...2.05” here in 2018 and 1.44” in 2019. Will probably be similar this year at the end of the month. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 3 dry Marches in a row...2.05” here in 2018 and 1.44” in 2019. Will probably be similar this year at the end of the month.Yep. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 How far below average is PDX for this rain year? I think we’re just about average....quite a bit better than last year up here in Washington anyways.Yeah I hear it’s been a very rough average rain year up there so far. PDX is about 7” below average since 10/1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 12, 2020 Report Share Posted March 12, 2020 How far below average is PDX for this rain year? I think we’re just about average....quite a bit better than last year up here in Washington anyways. SEA is actually about 2 inches above normal for the rainy season and 4 inches above normal for the year. Still about 20 inches above normal out here for just this year... and KUIL is almost 16 inches above normal for the same period. A dry March for western WA was sort of inevitable. And a wet April also seems inevitable at this point. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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