July 2023 Observations and Discussion

[Tom]

@Clinton, did you get anything from last night's storms?  I know KC peeps did quite well how that line bowed out just before midnight @clintbeed1993

The next 5 days looking pretty for KS/MO...

[Tom]

It's the Same Ol' Pattern....I just had to flip through the models this morning to see the evolution of atmospheric blocking a few more times as it resembles LRC Cycle #1 so vividly.  @Clinton  Remember how many times we saw this blocking up PV in Ontario or south of Hudson Bay?  I bet some parts of the Upper MW/GL's/Northwoods get a real early taste of Autumn next week.

[westMJim]

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 89/62. At GRR they reported 0.06” of rain fall. Here in MBY I recorded no rain fall. There was 86% of sunshine yesterday. For today the average H/L is 83/62 the record high of 101 was set in 2012 the record low of 44 was set in 1972 and the record rain fall amount of 3.56” fell in 1994. The coldest maximum of 65 was set in 1956 and the warmest minimum of 82 was set in 1902. Last year the H/L was 87/70. So far this year there have not been any lows of 70 or better.

[Black Hole]

A decaying MCS moved through here this morning with just a few showers for Tulsa, but there is already another one moving in later this morning! 

[westMJim]

We will be off to Detroit later today for our annual trip for a Tiger game, yes we go in years they are good, and bad. They have been on a long losing streak on days we have gone, and I can not remember the last time they won when we went. Heck even in the years they were good we  would pick a game that they would lose. Oh well the trip is nice. I work for the West Michigan Whitecaps so we like to see some of the players that have played here play. The weather looks very warm today and there is a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm.

[Iceresistance]

Storm chances through next week in Central Oklahoma, although infrequent

[Clinton]

2 hours ago, Tom said:

@Clinton, did you get anything from last night's storms?  I know KC peeps did quite well how that line bowed out just before midnight @clintbeed1993

The next 5 days looking pretty for KS/MO...

Only a trace, it was sickening to watch it just collapse as it entered my county.

[Bryan1117]

51 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Only a trace, it was sickening to watch it just collapse as it entered my county.

Feels like this story has been playing out so many times this summer… have to blame the current drought for repeatedly helping kill decent rain chances for most of us that are in the severe to extreme drought areas.

Thankfully we missed on the big storms last night here, even though some stratiform rain developed and made things pretty wet all evening with some cool cloud to cloud lightning bolts mixed in. Also, our neighborhood block party fireworks show still managed to happen. Honestly I hate missing out on good rains that we desperately need, however for just one night I was cheering for a swing and miss.

[CentralNebWeather]

2 hours ago, Clinton said:

Only a trace, it was sickening to watch it just collapse as it entered my county.

That is really unbelievable. I think my brother in Shawnee had decent storms go through last evening. I had a whopping 0.05”. Major bust by NWS Hastings, as most of my area was forecasted to get 1-2”. From my county to the northeast, north, and northwest, all got virtually nothing. 

[CentralNebWeather]

 

[Tom]

Just mowed the lawn and I’m soaked from sweat…most humid day of the year for me and likely the “hottest” feel.  Glad to see the DP’s will be dropping tomorrow through the weekend.

[tStacsh]

91 with a 70 dew.  That's pretty miserable for Michigan.  

[james1976]

Partly cloudy and low 70s with a nice breeze. Definitely nice refresher

[CentralNebWeather]

Still in the 60’s with a heavy cloud cover as of 3:15 pm. This is almost unheard of for July 5th. 

[Andie]

On 7/4/2023 at 12:30 PM, OKwx2k4 said:

It doesn't get a whole lot better than this for most of the eastern US. I doubt everyone will win, because it just never happens that way, but just, wow. Knowing where our pattern has evolved from in 45-60 days to now is remarkable.

 

Andie looks to be the last holdout. She'll have one more good heat cycle to deal with before more lasting relief comes, then Autumn. I believe she still gets a break at the peak of TX summer, which will come as a blessing to her, while California has problems starting to develop again as ridging continues to try and set up over the lower west coast. 

1965-66, the late 70s summer's and 2009 are still top-quality guidance going forward. 

97*. 
Dew 69
Humidity 41%

Pretty miserable out there.  But hopefully not a long stretch ahead if OKwx2k4 is right.  
Everything’s thirsty despite watering.   Pressure is 29.9 which usually gives me a headache. No exception this time either.  
Six days of 100* days. 
Heat Dome returning. 

[FV-Mike]

Storms approaching.  Hoping for some good thunder and lightning 

[Grizzcoat]

Hibbing,MN as of 3am local time this 6th of July-- has tied it's min record temp for the date of 37F.  Wouldn't be surprising to see some low spots like around Embarrass / Tower area have some patchy frost.

KHIB 060753Z AUTO 31004KT 6SM BR CLR 03/03 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP196 T00280028

2.8C = 37F

 

Nice to see the WIND CHILL of 33F!!!!

 

[Tom]

2 hours ago, Grizzcoat said:

Hibbing,MN as of 3am local time this 6th of July-- has tied it's min record temp for the date of 37F.  Wouldn't be surprising to see some low spots like around Embarrass / Tower area have some patchy frost.

KHIB 060753Z AUTO 31004KT 6SM BR CLR 03/03 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP196 T00280028

2.8C = 37F

 

Nice to see the WIND CHILL of 33F!!!!

 

I was just looking at local wx reporting stations up there in MN and thinking to myself "woah, it's chilly!"....I guess we are on the same wave length this morning!  I bet some spots dip even lower later next week.

 

[westMJim]

The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 91/67 up to midnight 0.35” of rain fell. Here in MBY I recorded 0.72” of rain fall. For today the average H/L is 83/62 the record high of 104 was set in 2012 (I had 108 here in MBY that day) the record low of 41 was set in 1983. Last year the H/L was 78/64 and there was 0.22” of rain fall.

Well, our losing streak for Tiger games is still intact. They got beat real bad last night. It was a warm night at the ballpark with the temperature in Detroit of 92. On the trip over the temperature started out a 87 here in GR and it was 90 on the west side of Lansing and of course it was 92 in Detroit. Boy there is a lot of construction going on in Detroit and I 696 was really backed up. The ramp to M10 was closed so had to go all the way to Woodward. On the way back it was 88 in Detroit and it dropped down to the upper 70’s east of Lansing and was up to 82 at Lansing. There was a lot of lightning in Lansing but did not run into the rain until almost Grand Rapids.

[hawkstwelve]

We are looking at a nice little stretch of below normal temps for at least the next few days with highs mostly in the 70s, perhaps a couple low 80s later this weekend. It's felt really refreshing already with Sioux Falls bottoming out a fairly chilly 48 degrees this morning.

Nice change from the much warmer than normal temps we've been experiencing ad nauseam this season.

[Grizzcoat]

35F at Hibbing,MN this morning. New record--

[Black Hole]

Scattered thunderstorms here this morning, maybe a quarter inch on average so far for the area with some more rain coming upstream. Models regularly overdoing the storm totals with these MCSs but I guess its fine as long as its coolish. Plenty of rain chances over the next week! 

[chescowxman]

Yesterday many spots across Chester County saw their 2nd 90+ day of the year...some higher spots like here in East Nantmeal failed yet again to touch 90 but it was our 2nd warmest day of the year near 88 degrees. Another warm one today with similar temps to yesterday. Shower chances will be on the increase by later tomorrow through Monday morning. Some models have 2" to 3" of rain over parts of the area by Monday PM.

Records for today: High 100 (1900) / Low 48 (1980) / Rain 2.36" (1958)

[tStacsh]

NIce pattern change for a bit.  Heat looks to rebuild towards the last 2 weeks in July.  Could be a sizzler.  

[CentralNebWeather]

Cool 50’s this morning with light rain amounts early this morning. More tonight and tomorrow. Talked to a farmer this morning that hasn’t had to irrigate yet, and won’t have to for the foreseeable future. This is extremely rare in this part of the state as we get into July.  

[CentralNebWeather]

 

[Hoosier]

Some D3 in Wisconsin now

[PghWx]

87/64 at 1pm. Sweating my gonads off.

[Timmy Supercell]

Neighborhood cat resting on our front porch from the heat, looks tired.

Yesterday it was 92 for a high, just hit 91 here before a vicinity rumbler came into the area.

[Timmy Supercell]

5 hours ago, Grizzcoat said:

35F at Hibbing,MN this morning. New record--

Jealous... we can't get lower than 68 or 67 for a low these days, and its only for 10 or 20 minutes. 

[Hawkeye]

This morning's op Euro is a big improvement, lifting the storm train farther north.  I hope it's not just a one-run wonder.

[Westbabylonweather]

Summer really opened up on Long Island 

[Iceresistance]

It was crashing and banging this morning, .25 inch.

Comes back again for Tomorrow

[Clinton]

18z Euro looks about right for mby for the weekend. 

[james1976]

Down to 59 already here at the Iowa home. I had a nice little campfire this evening. Fall vibes for sure! But I had a long winter up at the MN home so I'm in summer mode for a bit yet. Looking forward to some thunderstorms! 

[Tom]

6 hours ago, james1976 said:

Down to 59 already here at the Iowa home. I had a nice little campfire this evening. Fall vibes for sure! But I had a long winter up at the MN home so I'm in summer mode for a bit yet. Looking forward to some thunderstorms! 

Enjoy the warm summer days as much as you can.  It's times like these where I love living in the MW as there is balance in the weather.  It must feel rather nippy this morning down in the upper 40's in parts of N IA.  Heck, it's only 61F and I got a hoodie on this morning.  My blood was thinned out while in AZ!

[Tom]

@gabel23 @Bryan1117...the radar this morning looks interesting for your area to get clipped...the bowing line on the southern extent might do the trick.

 

[Tom]

@Iceresistance @OKCWX...get your cup of coffee and enjoy the morning MCS looking out West....as the sun rises and hits the tall anvils and towering cumulonimbus clouds it must look rather beautiful...

 

[Tom]

Gosh, it's really so wonderful to see Nature flip the script across the Eastern Ag belt as it has turned wetter for a lot of the MW farmers in IL/IN and parts of MO.  We still would like to fill in the holes for those who have missed out.  The pattern is ripe over the next week or so from IA/N IL and points South to keep getting rounds of moisture.

0z Euro...

 

 

0z GEFS...I'm rooting for you @Clinton

[Iceresistance]

43 minutes ago, Tom said:

@Iceresistance @OKCWX...get your cup of coffee and enjoy the morning MCS looking out West....as the sun rises and hits the tall anvils and towering cumulonimbus clouds it must look rather beautiful...

 

Perfectly timed, recently woke up.