TigerWoodsLibido Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 Nice night of more rainfall. 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 0.96” total with this system. Not bad at all. 5 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 Some pretty good rain here in Bend overnight. Should be good for the fires in the area. Packing up for the drive home today. Hopefully headed in the opposite direction of most of the holiday traffic. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 A little fall fog this am. And tent caterpillars…Must mean an epic November is brewing! 4 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 13 minutes ago, MossMan said: Is it just me or does that caterpillar tent look like a mummified foot? 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 6 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Nice night of more rainfall. How much did you get? Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YahRaEl Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/2023-08-31-september-temperature-outlook-united-states 1 Quote Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YahRaEl Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 NOAA 6 1 Quote Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 Sunshine is bright and the sky is blue. That modelled smoke is not even aloft. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 Summer at SEA... June +0.0 July +1.4 August +2.5 Did not end up being a front-loaded summer as expected. It was the opposite. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Summer at SEA... June +0.0 July +1.4 August +2.5 Did not end up being a front-loaded summer as expected. It was the opposite. Boy, you are opening that can with the folks to our south. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 1 minute ago, Cloud said: Boy, you are opening that can with the folks to our south. Yeah... didn't look at the stats down there and I only referencing the Seattle area in that post. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 Of the 92 days of meteorological summer at SEA... 61 of those days were at or above normal. And that is using the new warmer averages which were projected to make colder than average days more easy to achieve. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Yeah... didn't look at the stats down there and I only referencing the Seattle area in that post. Oh, I know you just referenced SEA, but it’s gonna happen Which is why I’m glad the last system that went through focused to the south. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 SEA finished this summer with an average temp of 66.8 which makes it tied for the 5th warmest summer ever. 2015 - 69.2 2013 - 67.4 2018 - 67.4 2021 - 67.2 2014 / 2017 / 2023 - 66.8 Given that all the years on this list are within the last decade... it might be noted that summers seem to be getting warmer. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Port Angeles Foothiller Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: SEA finished this summer with an average temp of 66.8 which makes it tied for the 5th warmest summer ever. 2015 - 69.2 2013 - 67.4 2018 - 67.4 2021 - 67.2 2014 / 2017 / 2023 - 66.8 Given that all the years on this list are within the last decade... it might be noted that summers seem to be getting warmer. 2022 isn't on this list??? Quote PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220 2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 10 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said: 2022 isn't on this list??? 2022 comes in right behind 2023 tied for 6th place at 66.7 with 1967 and 2019. This summer was actually a little bit warmer than last year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 23 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said: 2022 isn't on this list??? From a meteorological summer perspective Jun 1 - Aug 31 which was what TT-SEA was referencing last June was fairly chilly (-0.9)so it makes sense not to make that list. It wasn’t until Aug, Sept, Oct that got fairly warm departures. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 44 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Summer at SEA... June +0.0 July +1.4 August +2.5 Did not end up being a front-loaded summer as expected. It was the opposite. Average temp at OLM this summer was 64.3. That was basically the same as last summer, and cooler than 2021 or 2014, very close to both 2018 and 2017, easily warmer than 2020, 2019, and 2016...but more than 2 degrees cooler than 2015 and 1958, which are virtually tied as the warmest summers on record. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 41 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: SEA finished this summer with an average temp of 66.8 which makes it tied for the 5th warmest summer ever. 2015 - 69.2 2013 - 67.4 2018 - 67.4 2021 - 67.2 2014 / 2017 / 2023 - 66.8 Given that all the years on this list are within the last decade... it might be noted that summers seem to be getting warmer. We’ve had some good snowfalls at least. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 39 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: SEA finished this summer with an average temp of 66.8 which makes it tied for the 5th warmest summer ever. 2015 - 69.2 2013 - 67.4 2018 - 67.4 2021 - 67.2 2014 / 2017 / 2023 - 66.8 Given that all the years on this list are within the last decade... it might be noted that summers seem to be getting warmer. For OLM, 1958 and 1967 are both top 5 summers still. 1958 tied with 2015 for warmest on record, and 1967 comes in third behind 2021. So while summers have obviously been unprecedentedly warm, a little bit different picture than SEA. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 2022 comes in right behind 2023 tied for 6th place at 66.7 with 1967 and 2019. This summer was actually a little bit warmer than last year. I feel like this summer hardly even tried and we still scored top 5. If you include May its 3rd hottest. Compare to Eugene for kicks 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 Fine first day of meteorological fall out there. Partly cloudy and mild, temp is hanging at 68 after a low of 59. The air smells clean and the landscape looks refreshed from yesterdays rainfall. Hoping this month offers a reprieve from the constant torching since late April, but I’m sure that will be a tall order. 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Hoping this month offers a reprieve from the constant torching since late April, but I’m sure that will be a tall order. It’s always bad to bet against torching these days, but the long-term models are actually pretty favourable for us this month. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Fine first day of meteorological fall out there. Partly cloudy and mild, temp is hanging at 68 after a low of 59. The air smells clean and the landscape looks refreshed from yesterdays rainfall. Hoping this month offers a reprieve from the constant torching since late April, but I’m sure that will be a tall order. IDK if you missed my post the other day where I mentioned from January 20-April 20th 82.4% of our days were below average. As JT once said. What goes around comes back around... And we know in this climate it will come back around 2X. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 Hard to complain about the 12z GFS. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 Gorgeous start to September and JBoblin’s prison sentence. 1 1 1 1 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 This makes me want to kick chipmunks. 1 1 1 2 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Summer at SEA... June +0.0 July +1.4 August +2.5 Did not end up being a front-loaded summer as expected. It was the opposite. It was front loaded up in N/W-Canada, though. Anomaly centers were slightly displaced from the analog consensus but generally speaking it was an old school niño pattern with a few added quirks. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 Low of 55 this morning for the first day of meteorological fall. Looks like tomorrow could get into the upper 80s IMBY. 1 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 Started seeing 80°F+ highs in February and will likely continue well into October as usual. My temp default has been “warm” for so long that I’ve forgotten what cool air feels like. Only taste I got was in Seattle in late July. Pray for Yellowstone. 5 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 3 minutes ago, Cold Snap said: Low of 55 this morning for the first day of meteorological fall. Looks like tomorrow could get into the upper 80s IMBY. 55°F sounds wonderful. Won’t be long before the first frosts arrive up there. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 At least I’m done with school at the end of the year. Hopefully I’ll find good work and we can find a new place to live before the summer of 2024 rears its ugly head. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 Relative to global mean SSTA, the off-equator NPAC is quite cool. Don’t think there will be much +TNH/-EPO this winter..blocking more likely to come from NAO and/or Siberia. Which heavily tilts the odds towards a stormy winter in the west, especially the southwest given ENSO. But it’ll likely be of the warm, Pineapple Express variety. Very little cold in western Canada to draw from in such a pattern, unless the -NAO is on steroids. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 51 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: IDK if you missed my post the other day where I mentioned from January 20-April 20th 82.4% of our days were below average. As JT once said. What goes around comes back around... And we know in this climate it will come back around 2X. Yeah. It looks pretty nice the next 7-10 days, but it’s pretty much just average to slightly below average weather. Wouldn’t take much for a lot of those forecast highs in the 70s next week to become 80s. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted September 1, 2023 Author Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 13 minutes ago, Phil said: Relative to global mean SSTA, the off-equator NPAC is quite cool. Don’t think there will be much +TNH/-EPO this winter..blocking more likely to come from NAO and/or Siberia. Which heavily tilts the odds towards a stormy winter in the west, especially the southwest given ENSO. But it’ll likely be of the warm, Pineapple Express variety. Very little cold in western Canada to draw from. We're due for a dud with warm rain. Shitt happens. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 11 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Yeah. It looks pretty nice the next 7-10 days, but it’s pretty much just average to slightly below average weather. Wouldn’t take much for a lot of those forecast highs in the 70s next week to become 80s. I'm calling for an average to slightly above average month temp wise. Precip near to slightly below normal. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 54 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Hard to complain about the 12z GFS. Drier than I would like, but not too bad. 2 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 1, 2023 Report Share Posted September 1, 2023 12 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: We're due for a dud with warm rain. Shitt happens. Can’t call for a “dud” winter at this range since even strong ENSO winters have subseasonal variability. Always possible for a cold week imbedded in a sea of torch. But yes, there should be no shortage of steamy atmospheric rivers. And likely a top-tier blowtorch from the Midwest/N-Plains to the PNW/BC. Maybe into the Northeast US as well, especially in December. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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