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September 2023 Weather in the PNW


TigerWoodsLibido

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Gulf coast heat in August was insane. Next level stuff. Surprised the doomsayer camp hasn’t sounded the trumpets over it.

This is New Orleans. Like, wtf?

IMG_6507.jpeg

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Anybody else enjoying Starfield so far? Brilliant game. Between that, College Football and following the upcoming weather conditions, this is fun!

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 20 (Most recent: Feb 13, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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5 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Phil and Tim playing a forum debate ballgame before College Football starts tonight!

I saw that the Razorbacks game in Arkansas was pushed back to a noon local start time. Is humidity worse around 4pm when the game was supposed to start? 

Anyway, today I learned that NWS Little Rock has a cat named, Tarmac the Weather Cat and they've had it for 3 or 4 years now. Do any other NWS offices have a cat/dog/other pet?

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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Pretty nice day. 79/59 spread. Partly cloudy much of the afternoon with east winds developing. Kind of a shame we’re getting east winds immediately after beneficial rainfall, but they haven’t been strong away from the gorge, and DPs are still relatively high (low to mid 50s).

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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This is old but my son and I can't stop laughing at this. Reminds me of @MossMan's favorite photo.

 

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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1 hour ago, LowerGarfield said:

I saw that the Razorbacks game in Arkansas was pushed back to a noon local start time. Is humidity worse around 4pm when the game was supposed to start? 

Anyway, today I learned that NWS Little Rock has a cat named, Tarmac the Weather Cat and they've had it for 3 or 4 years now. Do any other NWS offices have a cat/dog/other pet?

Mt Washington Observatory in NH, although not an NWS station has had weather cats for years.  when I interned up there the winter of 00-01 they had a cat named Nin

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3 hours ago, Dave said:

From the best I can tell, Aug 2023 was Eugene's all time warmest month in terms of avg temperature at 72.5. 2nd place was 71.5 from Aug 2022. I could also be wrong as I've had a couple of drinks.

I was just thinking about this and it’s pretty depressing knowing that almost every summer now we seem to be experiencing our hottest month ever. Definitely a rapid warming and drying trend here that should be very concerning for others to the north as our conditions are often a precursor to what will happen to them. Like when winter weather is scoured out and we warm up first, then it creeps northward.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 20 (Most recent: Feb 13, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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20 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Got a really nice sunrise this morning on the way to the Coupeville ferry only to learn that Jimmy Buffett is no longer with us…RIP

 

 

IMG_6492.jpeg

Same in Seattle...

Screenshot_20230902-064505_Chrome.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I am sure the GFS is too warm for today... but shows quite the crash by tomorrow.    Then all the models seem to show a slow and steady warm up.   Very little rain in sight now... although the mountains and foothills will get some tomorrow and Monday.

gfs-deterministic-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-3634400.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7 minutes ago, jcmcgaffey said:

Looks like the ecology dept smoke forecast models are fairly accurate. About a week ago they called for another smoke intrusion Friday into Saturday and sure enough it is back. Not terrible though as AQIs are in the upper 40s to upper 50s. 

Pretty minor overall as there is no source of really thick smoke to pull from this time.   This about as bad as it gets and then we have strong onshore flow for 3 or 4 days.   

sea aqi.jpg

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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9 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

The smell of smoke is very noticeable today here....

image.png

That map is quite a bit worse.   

No hint of smoke here this morning... visibility is very good.

Screenshot_20230902-074854_Chrome.jpg

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, GHweatherChris said:

Well tangibly it is very noticeable here right now no matter what maps or guidance are saying.

Oh well...  it will be gone tomorrow.    

Smoke models don't show much for today.   Its just a thin layer.

     

 

2023090200_V2023090218Z_gemmach_PM2.5_diffplot_surface_continental_018.png

trc1_t1sfc_f05.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, Doinko said:

NAM has some soaking storms

 

qpf_024h-imp.us_nw.png

These could be juicy if we get hit by one. Models have them developing in the vicinity later this evening. September is our big thunderstorm month for whatever reason. 2013 and 2020 had some epic storms. The end of our road washed out in September 2020 when we got 1.79” of rain in about 90 minutes. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

These could be juicy if we get hit by one. Models have them developing in the vicinity later this evening. September is our big thunderstorm month for whatever reason. 2013 and 2020 had some epic storms. The end of our road washed out in September 2020 when we got 1.79” of rain in about 90 minutes. 

Same with 2019. One day that month had 2.17" of rain and 1.88" of that in an hour.

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37 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Haven't been paying attention farther south... but it does get active down there later today.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_3hr_inch-1693634400-1693663200-1693720800-20.gif

And the north gets missed once again. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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19 minutes ago, Doinko said:

NAM has some soaking storms

 

qpf_024h-imp.us_nw.png

Score one for Central Nevada.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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8 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Same with 2019. One day that month had 2.17" of rain and 1.88" of that in an hour.

We definitely had some in 2019 too. The event in 2013 took the cake, nearly 4” of rain. A very dry year, but almost 13” in September, a record breaking month.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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6 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I was just thinking about this and it’s pretty depressing knowing that almost every summer now we seem to be experiencing our hottest month ever. Definitely a rapid warming and drying trend here that should be very concerning for others to the north as our conditions are often a precursor to what will happen to them. Like when winter weather is scoured out and we warm up first, then it creeps northward.

This doesn’t make any sense. The whole region is warming relative to their climo. It’s not like there’s a line of warming climate that is moving northward through Oregon and hasn’t reached Seattle yet. The warming is fairly uniform regardless of latitude. Look at what western Canada saw this summer.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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33 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

This doesn’t make any sense. The whole region is warming relative to their climo. It’s not like there’s a line of warming climate that is moving northward through Oregon and hasn’t reached Seattle yet. The warming is fairly uniform regardless of latitude. Look at what western Canada saw this summer.

Seattle’s climate now is what Portlands was a few decades ago. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

These could be juicy if we get hit by one. Models have them developing in the vicinity later this evening. September is our big thunderstorm month for whatever reason. 2013 and 2020 had some epic storms. The end of our road washed out in September 2020 when we got 1.79” of rain in about 90 minutes. 

This was 2020 after about 35 minutes of rain/hail that turned our house into an island.

It was bad enough that the rats that live along our creek were scrambling throughout the neighborhood

0918200711.jpg

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