Phil Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 5 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said: Idk as a long time lurker I've definitely noticed that the pattern of you shitting on the West Coasters' excitement and then getting rightfully told off is almost as predictable of a cycle on here as when tt-sea cherry picks the single warmest frame of the single warmest model and then puts on this weird, incredulous act of pretending that he is just being neutral and that he "always posts *all* solutions, both good and bad" when people get mad at him for it, lol My brother, literally 90% of my busts are in the too-cold direction. It’s as consistent a bias as Tim’s. Would you rather it be 95%? Or maybe 99%? I swear sometimes I can’t win here no matter what I do. 2 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 7 minutes ago, Phil said: I’ve been so busy venting I didn’t look at the rest of the run. That’s one hell of a wavebreak and TPV dislodgement. But now I’m afraid of giving any thoughts or opinions on it, so I won’t say a word. I need the balance, so hopes don’t get too high. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post AbbyJr Posted December 29, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 24 minutes ago, Phil said: All the setups I’ve been bullish on over the years, no problems. But the one time I’m bearish, and suddenly I’m some evil troll that shouldn’t be allowed to post here? Haha. Have you all ever known me to make a forecast based on my personal hopes and desires? That’s a recipe for failure. You are not a troll. People just look for someone to blame when things don't go their way. We need to remember all the times when you were bullish for the PNW when everybody else was convinced winter was over. As I've said before, one thing I do appreciate about you is your lack of wish casting. You just say what you honestly believe will happen. That's the professional way to do it but even professionals sometimes get it wrong. But it's not like you don't have valid reasons to be skeptical this winter. It's a strong El Niño. What are people expecting? 1968/69 redux? Only in fantasy land. 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 25 minutes ago, Deweydog said: JANUARY 1998 That was El Nino too. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skywatcher Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW. I think I've made it clear what side I'm on. Please. I'm begging. SNOW. 3 1 Quote Shred it! Greater Maple Valley area @ ~550' AGL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunriver Snow Zone Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 7 minutes ago, skywatcher said: SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW. I think I've made it clear what side I'm on. Please. I'm begging. SNOW. SNOWWWWW! 3 1 1 Quote Coldest temp this winter: -7 Jan 13th Snow depth at Mount Bachelor (last updated April 29th) 88" Snow depth at my home (updated April 29th) late season 1"! 23-24 seasonal snowfall at home (updated April 29th) 92"!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Feel like a Wal-Mart, Panda Express, Dunkin Donuts, Nail Salon, Taco Del Mar, a Tae Kwon Do studio ‘n a N-N-Out would look great right about where that elk herd is. Please gawd nooo! Fortunately all that land has already been snatched up by GVLT (Gallatin Valley Land Trust). 4 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 GEPS. 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 Looking good. 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 not bad birkwood 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 1 hour ago, Doinko said: Cold east wind and snow as well for PDX Well if I get skunked I will be grateful for cold but it's not as fun. I was looking at old photos of our son tonight and I just wish I could get a 2020-2021 winter at my location. That was the best here although not as great as 2019 when I was in Stanwood during the Snowpocalypse. That 2020 winter was amazing here but I didn't know how to measure snow so I have no records. 1 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 1 hour ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said: THATS A SUNRIVER TOUCHDOWN!! Watch as Moses Lake still gets more than me lol. But that map would be infuriating if I lived there and it was closer. 1 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 5 hours ago, the_convergence_zone said: The record of 56 survives…so far. Tomorrow’s record of 54 is toast. You spoke too soon. Didn't quite take it down, but SEA tied their record with 56F at 9 pm. Back down to 55F, but still plenty of time if it wanted to go on a tear in the last hour of the day. 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 Looks like 60-burgers for Medford and Roseburg tomorrow. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 1 hour ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said: SNOWWWWW! 3 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 That GFS ops run saw the rest of the ensemble members and said let's go harder 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 Control goes crazy in a different way than gfs. 5 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 The windstorm drought continues... 1 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 Just now, Meatyorologist said: The windstorm drought continues... Or will it? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 2 hours ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said: THATS A SUNRIVER TOUCHDOWN!! Looks like I'm gonna have to buy my snow from Doug, this guy I met at the liquor store. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 Still windy 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 Night Shift 6z GFS ALERT! 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 59 degrees out. Unreal 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ken in Wood Village Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 6 hours ago, Doinko said: Big freezing rain/snowstorm happening at the end That actually looks like a blizzard. Because the East Winds would be blowing like crazy out of the Gorge 🌬🌨 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 06z GEFS alert 5 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 29, 2023 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 45F and pleasant out there tonight. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 Looks like we a tracking more closely to 2014-15 which was one of the worst years ever for mountain snow. I hope January turns this around and at least the mountains have a good month because I don't think we will be making up much ground in terms of snowpack from February - April this year. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 58 degrees here this morning and dry... can see the moon through the clouds. SEA has already been up to 57 this morning which is a record high for the day... now at 56. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Looks like we a tracking more closely to 2014-15 which was one of the worst years ever for mountain snow. I hope January turns this around and at least the mountains have a good month because I don't think we will be making up much ground in terms of snowpack from February - April this year. Also known as the year without a winter here. We hit 66F in Jan 2015 and for the first time ever the echo summit snow survey recorded zero snow on the ground on April 1st 2015. The previous all time low snowpack was 33" in 1976 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 NHL Winter Classic will be in Seattle on New Years Day. They plan to have roof open at T-Mobile. ECMWF shows a partly sunny sky that day and dry with a temp in the mid 40s. Will be fun to watch. 6 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 We have 60-burgers this morning! Wow it’s mild out there! @Rubus Leucodermis 1 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: We have 60-burgers this morning! Wow it’s mild out there! @Rubus Leucodermis Jesse is going to puke. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: We have 60-burgers this morning! Wow it’s mild out there! @Rubus Leucodermis Forget spring-like... low 60s before dawn would be a mild summer morning in your area. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said: Jesse is going to puke. Given our average low in July is 48, this is just obscene. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 Just now, TT-SEA said: Forget spring-like... low 60s before dawn would be a mild summer morning in your area. In the summer it only happens during the most intense heatwaves. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: In the summer it only happens during the most intense heatwaves. Just checked stats in North Bend... July this year was very warm with 20 days at 80+ degrees and the coldest high temp of 70 but there was a total of 0 days with a low of 60+ degrees. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 A high of 54 is forecast for Portland. Those 60s must be above the inversion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said: A high of 54 is forecast for Portland. Those 60s must be above the inversion. No inversion up here... its 59 degrees on the valley floor in North Bend and 57 at SEA. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 29, 2023 Report Share Posted December 29, 2023 7 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said: A high of 54 is forecast for Portland. Those 60s must be above the inversion. Funny side note... my phone alarm talks to me and tells me the current temp and projected high for the day and then goes into current news headlines. At 5:30 a.m. it said "good morning its currently 58 degrees and the high today will be 52". 1 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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