January Weather In The PNW 2024 (Part III) - The Warming Shot

[snow_wizard]

51 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Really will be interesting here tomorrow,  850mb stays below or at zero for a good 6 hrs with precip and 925 is close enough depending what model. The precip rates and offshore flow will be key. Last year it snowed here with plus 2c 925 and plus 1 850 with strong offshore flow. Maybe model was wrong or the evaporative cooling did it.

Looks like the 925s suck on the ECMWF.  It does have a warm bias in these things sometimes though.

[snow_wizard]

Just looked at the lows for Colville during this cold wave.  Very impressive!

11. 1

12. -20

13. -26

14. -17

15. -17

16. -2

17. -6

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Eh, this far south it is what it is. We will do well for radiational cooling during other stretches. Grateful to have at least enjoyed the feeling of the Arctic air even if it was just at the surface.

Well it was still 20 at Pendleton when the post was made so it wasn’t even accurate… Go figure. 

[Tanis Leach]

I try to tackle why Portland didn't warm up with a theory, otherwise here's my updated forecast: https://youtu.be/AbX8k2rW7bs?si=pIitFu-dUbXoHYsY

 

No technical info tonight.

[Ken in Wood Village]

I can say the sensor at Crown Point is giving false readings....lmao. I don't think it's almost 100 mph coming from the South

[Ken in Wood Village]

I won't be going to work today. It only got to 34.4° but temperature went down to 34.2°. The NWS has issued another Winter Weather Advisory for my area. 🌨

[Everleigh]

Windows like to tease. Jerk. lol  34* and rain here in good ole Yelm this morning. Nothing exciting. 

[snow maniac]

34 and raining, although the radar says its snow.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just a slush mix here so far. Dewpoint never dropped here, were in trouble.  34 degrees. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 hour ago, snow maniac said:

34 and raining, although the radar says its snow.

Which radar?

[snow maniac]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Which radar?

It was showing snow now just rain, but it was “ MyRadar” app

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Just a slush mix here so far. Dewpoint never dropped here, were in trouble.  34 degrees. 

Did anyone take your $5000 bet against the euro?    

[ShawniganLake]

29F here and precip seems to be moving north a little faster than modelled.  I’m under a warning for 4-8” of snow with possible freezing rain tonight. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

9 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Did anyone take your $5000 bet against the euro?    

Well it is snowing here now but not sticking at 34, very wet snow. So far no one is right yet lol

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

6 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

29F here and precip seems to be moving north a little faster than modelled.  I’m under a warning for 4-8” of snow with possible freezing rain tonight. 

Ya precip moved in before the offshore started cranking.  Some meso models show sticking snow starting later today as the column cools. I doubt it.

[Ken in Wood Village]

East winds have really picked up since I woke up. Temperature was 34.4° when I woke up but has been falling since the East winds picked up. I'm glad I didn't try to get to work because I wouldn't be able to get back home because everything would be all iced over. I did try to walk to the main street but couldn't get there because it's to D**n slick. As you can see from these pictures, it's completely iced over

[SnowySeeker50]

Many school districts on 2 hours late here due to slick roads. 

[The Blob]

Great... another night of not being sure if I should go to work....

[snow maniac]

Pud 3 for Mason County has live road cams throughout Mason County you can view from Matlock to Collins Lake, to Grapeview

[FroYoBro]

Sat at about 36 degrees all night. The ale melt continued and things look a lot clearer out there this morning. Just some slush left that should finally melt away throughout today. They cancelled school for today already though which is surprising. 7 day weekend for me!

[snow maniac]

9 minutes ago, snow maniac said:

Pud 3 for Mason County has live road cams throughout Mason County you can view from Matlock to Collins Lake, to Grapeview

Shows snow in Matlock and some places along the Hood Canal

[Chewbacca Defense]

Low of 26 overnight with outflow winds continuing overnight.  Shoveled 2 driveways last night, mine and my 90 year old neighbor’s driveway.  My driveway is north facing, so it piled up a bit more snow than what we actually got.  The Kinda sucks to live in a house with such a small driveway and in an area that does not get enough snow to justify owning a snow blower.  I’ll always love snow, but definitely hitting an age where I hate shoveling it!

I’ll be curious to see what the next act in this play brings.  

A lot of complaints yesterday about the plows not being out, I don’t know if it’s people who are new to the area complaining or if the plows just weren’t out.

Pretty impressed for my first time driving in the snow in a Subaru, but I’ll definitely need to swap out the bare bones all season highway tires that are currently on the car.

 

 

 

 

[bainbridgekid]

Started up as all snow here in South Everett and 32 degrees. Road turned white immediately because it froze last night.

[Timmy]

Still sitting at freezing here. Looks like about .50” of rain has fallen that has all been zr here.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

27.7˚F and everything sparkles. Pity it was cloudy or we could have probably eked out a low in the teens on radiational cooling alone. Have seen it happen before with a good snow blanket.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

13 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Started up as all snow here in South Everett and 32 degrees. Road turned white immediately because it froze last night.

This really might be good north of Everett.  Just a wet mix here with a slush accumulation.  I have no idea how this will play out today here, I have seen this same thing and after a few hrs of offshore flow it turns to all snow.  It is really close here.

[MikeInEverett]

Would be some pretty good snow right now if it was a little colder. Another cherry on top of this bummer of a cold period. 34 with fairly moderate rain.

[MossMan]

Currently 32.0 after a low of 31.4.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, MossMan said:

Currently 32.0 after a low of 31.4.

I have a feeling you will get some snow today

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I have a feeling you will get some snow today

Looking at the radar I should have that answer very shortly now, looks like the precip is marching north quickly! 

[RaleighHillsRunner]

3 hours ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

I won't be going to work today. It only got to 34.4° but temperature went down to 34.2°. The NWS has issued another Winter Weather Advisory for my area. 🌨

Just ugh. We are heading back toward our house in SW today from Forest Grove area - still no power but going to stay with fam nearby that finally does. How likely do you think ZR is to verify in my neck of the woods? East winds look to return but much weaker over there. Aiming to get where we’re going before 10am.

[MossMan]

Currently 17 degrees at snoqualmie. 
13 at Stevens. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Looks like widespread 50-burgers by Sunday.

[MossMan]

Anyone have the latest hi res NAM and GFS snow/ice maps handy? 

[umadbro]

2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Looks like widespread 50-burgers by Sunday.

#regional

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Anyone have the latest hi res NAM and GFS snow/ice maps handy? 

[MossMan]

Stanwood SD just went from 2hrs late to closed…guess they don’t want to chance what precip type it will be this morning. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Anyone have the latest hi res NAM and GFS snow/ice maps handy? 

Ice maps have you in the Pepto!

[The Blob]

3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Ice maps have you in the Pepto!

Really??

[MossMan]

Waiting for that first flake or cold drop…