February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

06z wasn’t bad. 

Seattle posters should be happy about this:

[Phishy Wx]

last nights 'snow' event flopped, zero, zilch, nothing.  just rain

[RCola]

Really praying to the weather gods that Seattle gets something with this quick hit. It's our turn this winter!!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4 minutes ago, RCola said:

Really praying to the weather gods that Seattle gets something with this quick hit. It's our turn this winter!!

The potential is certainly there. Both the Euro and the GFS now show significant lowland snowfalls. In different areas, of course, and it bounces around from run to run, but that’s only to be expected this far out.

[ShawniganLake]

9 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I’m in the light purple! 

Snow usually ends up south of the light purple. Trend North!?   

[ShawniganLake]

14 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Best run so far! This is looking better and better. Not far enough west for snow on this run but certainly the coldest so far.

The Control was the coldest member on the ensemble.  

[Slushy Inch]

12 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

The Control was the coldest member on the ensemble.  

Not surprised 

[TT-SEA]

5 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

@TT-SEA Is probably seeing some snow right now. 34F and saturated with precip ongoing.

Not home... but don't see any snow on our cameras.   I do see a little along Hwy 18 at 1,300 feet though.   I am sure there was some snow falling at home.

[ShawniganLake]

12z gfs was a major step back!

[Phil]

3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

12z gfs was a major step back!

A more logical evolution, though.

[snow_wizard]

That 6z EPS control was looking very interesting.  It pushed that Pacific energy so far south it allowed things to get pretty cold and the block to hold up longer.

[snow_wizard]

As for the GFS...it's in the window where it always loses the cold.  ALWAYS.

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

As for the GFS...it's in the window where it always loses the cold.  ALWAYS.

Gem got worse but still much better than gfs.

[Phil]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

As for the GFS...it's in the window where it always loses the cold.  ALWAYS.

The operational GFS was the only model showing cold beyond the 15th/16th anyway. Was on an island by itself for the most part.

[umadbro]

42 minutes ago, RCola said:

Really praying to the weather gods that Seattle gets something with this quick hit. It's our turn this winter!!

I think SW Washington is far overdue for a snow event.

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

The operational GFS was the only model showing cold beyond the 15th/16th anyway. Was on an island by itself for the most part.

EPS control… which probably is off on its own.

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

EPS control… which probably is off on its own.

Even the EPS control is warm from the 15th onwards.

The operational GFS is awful over the NE-Pacific during the late winter and spring months. Always shows weird solutions far removed from other guidance.

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Even the EPS control is warm from the 15th onwards.

Talking about 6z. Polar lobe sort of stalls over the pnw.

[LowerGarfield]

Had 0.30 last night. No photo because one of our indoor cats, snuck out when I was going to take a few photos. I had to look for him later after dropping my son off my school. I am half expecting a Facebook page post about some man snooping around multiple times in their yard and carpark lol. Brought him back after about 40 mins of him being out. But we now have more snow than last year. The nearby WU station is at 32F.

[Phishy Wx]

if your winter is riding on the GFS you might is well go join Tim on one of his TROPICAL vacays with PALM trees

[snow_wizard]

6 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

EPS control… which probably is off on its own.

It matched up perfectly with the ECMWF operational at hour 90.  Good chance the OP would have done the same had it gone that far.  That EPS control was awesome.  We'll see if the 12z OP looks like that.

BTW...even the EPS mean pushed the Pacific energy further west compared to the 0z.

[Phishy Wx]

1 minute ago, LowerGarfield said:

Had 0.30 last night. No photo because one of our indoor cats, snuck out when I was going to take a few photos. I had to look for him later after dropping my son off my school. I am half expecting a Facebook page post about some man snooping around multiple times in their yard and carpark lol. Brought him back after about 40 mins of him being out. But we now have more snow than last year. The nearby WU station is at 32F.

you guys are doing better than us this year for sure.  we didn't get crap

[Phil]

Just now, Slushy Inch said:

Talking about 6z. Polar lobe stalls over the pnw.

06z was a bit slower yes, but even that would’ve exited stage right relatively soon after.

I only use operational runs for finer scale details during individual storms within 72hrs or so. I personally don’t find much utility with them beyond that.

[Slushy Inch]

5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It matched up perfectly with the ECMWF operational at hour 90.  Good chance the OP would have done the same had it gone that far.  That EPS control was awesome.  We'll see if the 12z OP looks like that.

BTW...even the EPS mean pushed the Pacific energy further west compared to the 0z.

6z EPS looks farther east and generally worse. But still is better than gfs.

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

if your winter is riding on the GFS you might is well go join Tim on one of his TROPICAL vacays with PALM trees

OP GFS is as addictive as any hard drug out there. Once you start it’s very hard to stop, despite its harmful effects on your physical and mental health.

This hobby became 10X more enjoyable to me when I quit the GFS cold turkey. For realz.

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

OP GFS is as addictive as any hard drug out there. Once you start it’s very hard to stop, despite its harmful effects on your physical and mental health.

This hobby became 10X more enjoyable to me when I quit the GFS cold turkey. For realz.

EPS control is also hell of a drug lately

[Phil]

Just now, Slushy Inch said:

EPS control is also hell of a drug lately

Bruh I’ve had like 6ft of phantom snow from the GFS and EPS control combined in the last month.

If I’d actually hung my hat on that shit verifying, I’d be an emotional trainwreck right now.  

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

EPS control is also hell of a drug lately

Inside of a week it's usually very much like the ECMWF OP.  That 6z has me stoked.  Hope it's not just a bunch of crap.

BTW...the spread on the 12z GEFS is ridiculous.  Tons of uncertainty coming up.

[LowerGarfield]

7 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

you guys are doing better than us this year for sure.  we didn't get crap

It's almost like a mini version of 2020-2021's Winter. It was really great from Colfax south that year but Spokane still had some decent events. What are you at this year? 14.1 for my total this year. 2021 we probably had somewhere between 20-25 (which is really good for here but posts from that Dec were deleted here so I don't have a complete record)and 2020 was even better but no measurements. Our avg precipitation for my town is about 17 inches based on climate data. This is my fourth winter here though.

[Phishy Wx]

3 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

It's almost like a mini version of 2020-2021's Winter. It was really great from Colfax south that year but Spokane still had some decent events. What are you at this year? 14.1 for my total this year. 2021 we probably had somewhere between 20-25 (which is really good for here but posts from that Dec were deleted here so I don't have a complete record)and 2020 was even better but no measurements. Our avg precipitation for my town is about 17 inches based on climate data. This is my fourth winter here though.

23"

[LowerGarfield]

10 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

23"

Wow, that's pretty low for Spokane.

[Phishy Wx]

18 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

Wow, that's pretty low for Spokane.

a little less than 50% of annual, could still make it up but I doubt it

[ShawniganLake]

GEFS and GEPS both took a step back. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

47 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

23"

You poor soul.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Drizzle and a low of 39 this morning. Wintery at least. I don’t see how this February so far has been all that atypical for late niño winter, though.

PDX and VUO are both running 3-4 degrees above average mtd. Don’t see much to bring that down the next 5-7 days, maybe a slow creep toward average at best.

[the_convergence_zone]

More 39 degree rain for Seattle, woo hoo! 

[Cascadia_Wx]

4 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

More 39 degree rain for Seattle, woo hoo! 

Did you bother to check the climate averages before you moved out here?

[Phishy Wx]

21 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

You poor soul.

I like to at least hit averages.  on track to be the lowest in the 7 winters I've been here, 21-22 was also below average at 38"

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

I like to at least hit averages.  on track to be the lowest in the 7 winters I've been here, 21-22 was also below average at 38"

I get it, but relative to most posters here close to two feet of snow on the season is pretty good.

[AlTahoe]

18 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

I like to at least hit averages.  on track to be the lowest in the 7 winters I've been here, 21-22 was also below average at 38"

Right there with you. Currently at 31" and still need about 150" more for average. We last had a 100" March in 2018 so there is still hope for a catch up 

Tahoe basin snowpack reading just came in at 60% of normal up high at the measuring spots today. Sounds like snowpack is terrible from Bc all the way down till you hit Vegas. Vegas to the grand canyon is doing great.