Gorgeous sunset from Mt Tabor park. Lots of big, downed trees on the north and east side of the park from our ARCTIC WINDS three weeks ago. But honestly the damage wasn’t quite as bad as I feared. I guess the historic shelter took a pretty good hit but that part of the park was cordoned off.
I was intrigued so I looked up the average high and low temperatures across WA for August of 1899. Olga's average low of 45F is pretty impressive as it's about 4 degrees colder than anything we've seen in the last 50 years. The fact it's so much colder than every other location on the west side does make me wonder if there was an error with the thermometer at that time or maybe it was just incredible cold winds blowing off the straight.
The Seattle average high for the month was almost 10 d
Ballsy! I’m not certain at all. I can see a conduit to the GFS solution verifying this time.
The reason I’m skeptical is because the progression on the GFS *perfectly* fits its springtime bias towards amplifying Aleutian/GOA lows. I can’t trust it.
The GFS/GEFS is still the structural outlier, though. GEPS/EPS are much more similar in terms of the overall pattern, even with regional differences.
But that doesn’t say much about which one is right/wrong, though I’ll give 65/35 odds that the GFS will fold today. We’ll see.
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