February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Front Ranger]

27 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Continues to look like 500 ft snow levels in the Seattle area to me, but realistically anything more than a dusting will be confined to areas hugging the Olympic Mountains. It will be interesting to see if Sea-Tac can measure a couple tenths of an inch or if they will be stuck with a zero on the year. 

SEA is at like 400'. I believe!!

[the_convergence_zone]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

SEA is at like 400'. I believe!!

Gonna be close at KSEA. Elevation and exposure to easterlies looks good there for at least some snow. 

[the_convergence_zone]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I think he (or she not sure) rephrased that and isn’t a Washington state native…so might not be exactly familiar with the geography of the area super well and that most cities out in kitsap are like 15-20 miles east of the Olympics. 

It was poor wording on my part, I was referring to all of Kitsap County but I can see that the terminology of "hugging the Olympics" probably means along highway 101 if you live out there. 

[Front Ranger]

22 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Their probability maps are dumb. Says like 18% chance of 1” here. I’d rather they just put out an actual snow map forecast than some probability map…or no maps at all. Anything besides the probabilistic stuff 

It's a fat hedge. If they give it a 20% chance of happening, and it does, it was in the forecast. 

If it doesn't happen, the forecast said the chance was low anyway.

[the_convergence_zone]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

It's a fat hedge. If they give it a 20% chance of happening, and it does, it was in the forecast. 

If it doesn't happen, the forecast said the chance was low anyway.

It's just NBM output, I doubt there was any forecaster input at all other than the decision to package it into a graphic. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

I never use ensembles this close but nice little jump up from the 12z

[T-Town]

Liquid snowstorm is almost here. 

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, T-Town said:

Liquid snowstorm is almost here. 

I’m really hoping that tonight works out but we will see the euro is giving me some hope. If we can do 8 years in a row with measurable snowfall in February that would be amazing…just not sure what to make of this potential event yet! 

[HuskyMaestro]

2 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

You gotta ask @HuskyMaestro. Since Jan 2022, I think its zero or less an inch but he would know more. Ik in December 21 I had a friend in the Fife/Milton/Puyallup valley area measure 4 inches while parts of Tacoma got a foot in that event which insane since its less than 5-10 miles away.

 

 

Since Jan 2022 in my backyard, I’ve gotten 2.1” but it was also pretty spotty across the area. That 0.1 coming from this winter lol. I wish I took better measurements overall, it was before I discovered this forum. I got around 10” in 2019 and that was incredible. 

Fife is along the river valley and is surrounded by higher hills with Tacoma to the west and Milton to the north. Immediately to the northwest is the port and the sound where it’s easier for warmer air to funnel into Fife and Puyallup in marginal events which we get a lot. That’s just my layman’s experience with living here and watching rain/snow lines on radar, I’m sure there’s more to it. But I can’t wait be done with college and hopefully move somewhere in WA that’s snowier

[T-Town]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I’m really hoping that tonight works out but we will see the euro is giving me some hope. If we can do 8 years in a row with measurable snowfall in February that would be amazing…just not sure what to make of this potential event yet! 

My temp has been dropping steadily but dp has shot up to 35 which isn’t good. 

[TacomaWx]

4 minutes ago, T-Town said:

My temp has been dropping steadily but dp has shot up to 35 which isn’t good. 

Tacoma narrows is down to 23 right now so maybe your DP sensor is a bit off? 

[SnowWillarrive]

4 minutes ago, T-Town said:

My temp has been dropping steadily but dp has shot up to 35 which isn’t good. 

My temp dropped to 41 with a DP of 22. I’m at 600 feet. Hope that makes the difference tonight. 

[Deweydog]

Light rain here sticking to most surfaces.

[TacomaWx]

9 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said:

Since Jan 2022 in my backyard, I’ve gotten 2.1” but it was also pretty spotty across the area. That 0.1 coming from this winter lol. I wish I took better measurements overall, it was before I discovered this forum. I got around 10” in 2019 and that was incredible. 

Fife is along the river valley and is surrounded by higher hills with Tacoma to the west and Milton to the north. Immediately to the northwest is the port and the sound where it’s easier for warmer air to funnel into Fife and Puyallup in marginal events which we get a lot. That’s just my layman’s experience with living here and watching rain/snow lines on radar, I’m sure there’s more to it. But I can’t wait be done with college and hopefully move somewhere in WA that’s snowier

Yeah, just a few miles away I do much better…but still not the best spot in western WA either. We’ve had 7.5” here since December 2021…but overall after this winter assuming a big snowfall doesn’t happen in the next few weeks we will probably be due for a 4-6” snowfall. Havent had a big snow event since December 2021…just a lot of small ones. 

[Timmy]

4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Light rain here sticking to most surfaces.

Positive splat test here, temp down to 36.  Sticking snow is down to about 1000’ feet at last drive up the hill

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

43 and rain in shelton. Not really any virga

[Hyperbolic Trendz]

28 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

We did it!! Downtown Springfield has hit the glorious 50F burger again!!

That sucks, but I’m still jealous of that 24 hour snowfall you had in 2019.  I haven’t had anything close to that in the last decade.  Amazing, life-affirming weather event.  

[Slushy Inch]

31 minutes ago, Doinko said:

LR GFS looks fun

We are due.

[Slushy Inch]

Someone in Portland is reporting while they drive. First time I’ve seen this.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Depressing

[TigerWoodsLibido]

12 minutes ago, Hyperbolic Trendz said:

That sucks, but I’m still jealous of that 24 hour snowfall you had in 2019.  I haven’t had anything close to that in the last decade.  Amazing, life-affirming weather event.  

That was the last time we had snow on the roads all day. Incredible event that can hopefully happen again in the next few years.

[T-Town]

22 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Tacoma narrows is down to 23 right now so maybe your DP sensor is a bit off? 

Narrows dp jumped to 30 now but yeah maybe a bit off. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

[Slushy Inch]

5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Garbage model 

[MossMan]

The snowflake finally appeared! My wife never looks at the app and nobody in the house has any idea it could snow…Hopefully it will be a surprise white deck in the morning! 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

35 here already. Going to easily be cold enough. Need moisture.

[The Blob]

Current temp at 122nd and Division, will it snow??? 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

5 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

35 here already. Going to easily be cold enough. Need moisture.

still 40 here. This is feeling like a bust. I hope i'm wrong but the obs do not look great. 

[Randyc321]

30 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Depressing

Look at it like this.      
 

come May you’ll be begging for this kind of weather.  

[GHweatherChris]

Definitely no virga, 38 and raining currently, well on the way to nada -  9 inches!!

[TacomaWx]

11 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

still 40 here. This is feeling like a bust. I hope i'm wrong but the obs do not look great. 

Lol that’s just your inner weenie speaking way too early to be worried. 

[RaleighHillsRunner]

That first batch of mixed precip around 230 pulled us down to 37 and been holding steady there for a few hours. Light precip has returned, but if I’m tracking seems like we’ll need some real heavy stuff to cool down this column enough for any stickage…  

[Omegaraptor]

40 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Depressing

Average high at PDX and EUG is 51 now. Easy to forget it's not midwinter anymore.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

We did it!! Downtown Springfield has hit the glorious 50F burger again!!

Next winter maybe keep a running count of 50-burgers like you do for 90-burgers in the summer?

[GHweatherChris]

[Cold Snap]

Currently 42 with a DP of 25. Hopefully that bodes well for later if there’s precip here.

[MossMan]

43 with a DP of 24. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

7 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Lol that’s just your inner weenie speaking way too early to be worried. 

No I'm comparing this to many events I've studied the last 30 years. This will be incredible if it plays out like models show.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Umm

[MossMan]

Out BBQ’ing on the deck and a flock of geese just flew by heading north…It’s over?