Jump to content
The Weather Forums

October 2020 Observations and Discussion


Recommended Posts

WF is having a hard time moving through my area. Currently at 48F w showers. Very raw, Autumn looking day w leaves already starting to fall. These Fall days are always welcome.

  • Rain 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
  • Replies 1.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Taken at 12:30PM, on the south side of Ankeny Iowa.  At least 6" on the ground.

As seasons transition I'm honoring those who serve the public good through service in law enforcement and fire & rescue. Acting as a shield between us and harm. Some giving their lives serving and

Pounding at DSM airport!! .3 to .4 on snowboards ,, probably can muster a wet inch before sunrise.

Posted Images

Actually ripping pretty well now. Like I said earlier, this stuff is high ratio so I'm up to an inch now. 30.4*F.

  • Like 2
  • Snow 2

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Tom said:

Here's the reason why the skies are so dark over IA/MN and nearby...smoke has make an appearance...

https://twitter.com/i/status/1319277460756729862

also here--https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-N_Iowa-truecolor-24-1-50-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

  • Like 3

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to post
Share on other sites
52 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

They are maintained quarterly by Elec Techs with the NWS- however - NWS even admits that NO tipping bucket is a accurate as the olde' 8". Heavy rains, tipping buckets "spill" some of the water and off by 10-15%. It's really bad in the Winter when snow rations are high as the heated element in the AWPAG evaporates some of the liquid making snow rations look bad at most sites not manned/augmented with a CWO.

Thanks. I agree, those heaters are worthless. At least the one I had put in mine was. I retired that heater years ago as the only time it could keep up was when temps were near freezing and there wasn’t much wind and even then it was a lost cause because like you said, there is evaporation going on. I’ve noticed for years that winter precipitation is really underreported or is more than what’s reported, so winter liquid equivalent precipitation I take with a grain of salt! It takes work and diligence recording accurate totals. Anyway, no gauge is totally accurate as far as I know.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, Clinton said:

12z ICON out with it's coldest and snowiest solution so far.

1603886400-f17M0idp0J8.png

OMAHA DOME!!!! HA!

  • Like 2
  • Excited 1
  • Downvote 1

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Clinton said:

12z ICON out with it's coldest and snowiest solution so far.

1603886400-f17M0idp0J8.png

Platte river doing its part? The river is pretty much completely dry, now it's gonna make storms dry out in the area!! I'm 20 miles south of the river so that will make me happy.......not. 

  • Sad 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Drained and turned off the underground sprinklers this morning, our school is on Fall Break today and tomorrow, so I knew it had to be done. Supposed to get down to 24 degrees tonight. 

I need to do that and winterize my camper!! I plan on doing it on Saturday; I'm hoping we don't get too cold tonight or tomorrow. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
5 hours ago, Grizzcoat said:

snku_acc.us_mw.png

Even gives mby a dab. I wouldn't mind getting in the game for a minute, tho trees still have too many leaves for anything hvy

  • Like 2

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.5"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Yeah the weekend storm will be frustrating around here if it pans out like the GFS has been showing.  The snow hits western and even central Iowa and then really weakens and falls apart.  Still shows some accumulating snow here though.  Upon further review though, it is at least a little better this run in Eastern Iowa than the past few runs.  So maybe we are heading in the right direction.  GFS has been pretty consistent with this event so far. 

 

sn10_acc.us_mw.png

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

Good news and bad news.

Good news: Radar is way better than models said it would be. Hooray!

Bad news: This storm is way more progressive than models said it would be, and I'll probably see my last flakes in the mid afternoon.

Up to 2".

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, bud2380 said:

Yeah the weekend storm will be frustrating around here if it pans out like the GFS has been showing.  The snow hits western and even central Iowa and then really weakens and falls apart.  Still shows some accumulating snow here though.

 

sn10_acc.us_mw.png

"toss" 🙊 My office isn't even mentioning flakes in this morning's AFD. I don't see any temp maps that would support more than a dab or flurry here either, so this map's surprising to say the least.

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.5"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

I like the baby steps the GFS UKIE just took today and ejecting out the energy faster out of the SW and phasing with the northern branch.  We saw this many times last year when models struggled with the energy in the SW.  I think its a lot to do with the -EPO and also the +NAO that we will have present during this period.  Hopefully the Ukie and Euro side with the trends today.

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

0.7" rain per the airport here last night is a welcomed drink. Mowed most of the lawn yesterday afternoon to take advantage a the brief dry day. Only expecting mid-60's here with this torch event. Looks like the warmest hours happen overnight so I end up with a dark-hours high of 66F then we fall during the day Friday. Per recent events tho, touching 70F wouldn't shock me.

  • Like 2
  • Windy 1

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.5"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Tom said:

I like the baby steps the GFS just took today and ejecting out the energy faster out of the SW and phasing with the northern branch.  We saw this many times last year when models struggled with the energy in the SW.  I think its a lot to do with the -EPO and also the +NAO that we will have present during this period.  Hopefully the Ukie and Euro side with the trends today.

Gonna make me start watching models now too, lol. Thx for commenting on this. Maybe Nina comes through for us, eh?? 

Here's what skiers out west are thinking about it..

 

attack_of_la_nina!.jpg

  • Like 3
  • Excited 1

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.5"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Gonna make me start watching models now too, lol. Thx for commenting on this. Maybe Nina comes through for us, eh?? 

Here's what skiers out west are thinking about it..

 

attack_of_la_nina!.jpg

I am not sure whether they are in favor or against La Nina from this.  For snow out west, unless they are in southern California, Arizona, and New Mexico, they should be all in favor of La Nina.  No two la ninas are the same, but the best snow years for the west in general are La Nina years.  In recent memory 2016-17 is an example (2010-11 as well I think).    

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Consistent moderate snow for the past hour or two. 30°F.

  • Snow 3

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
35 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Hi-Res GFS seems to be running colder, similar to the ICON.

snodpc_acc.conus.png

this is crazy - has snow down to near Del Rio,TX in late OCT?

  • Snow 1

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Stormhunter87 said:

Pretty far south but that panhandle part of texas gets wild swings.

Yep- Dalhart,TX actually is colder in the in the winter than places such as Springfield,MO

  • Like 2

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Is it the elevation?

Elevation and drier air. Diurnal temp swings can be insane there on a clear day. 

  • Like 5

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Up to 3 fluffy inches. Still ripping, radar doesn't seem correct at all.

  • Like 5
  • Snow 2

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
38 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Is it the elevation?

Yes sir ..its the elevation. Its at 3,605' and in case you are wondering, their mayor there is Ginger Nelson. Added a little bonus for ya there pal.

Btw: elevation does play a major role. Dont forget that!

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

Attm, temps are inching slowly into the low 50s (51F) and the rain has ended. Skies are very overcast. Maybe some sunshine coming through those angry, Autumn clouds. We will see.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Rates have decreased and I think I'm done with marked accumulation. 3.1" now, may add another tenth or two. Depth is now 7" which is good for October, and good for the upcoming cold spell.

  • Like 1
  • Snow 2

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

With my area still north of the warm front it has been slow to warm up here. At this time it is cloudy and 49 with a cool east wind. The total rain fall overnight and today so far is at 0.63"

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, bud2380 said:

70 degrees 2 counties south of Iowa City and creeping this way.  I hope it gets up here.  I'd like to feel the warmth one last time. 

I don't think the front is getting up here.  It is still only in the low 50s here and low 60s in Iowa City, and even Sigourney and Oskaloosa continue to have an east wind.

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said:

Rates have decreased and I think I'm done with marked accumulation. 3.1" now, may add another tenth or two. Depth is now 7" which is good for October, and good for the upcoming cold spell.

You may have mentioned it but the 4.2" on Wednesday and if official the 3.1" today are both daily records for Fargo. Not sure how this will play out for the rest of the season.

Link to post
Share on other sites

It's 81º in the southeast corner of Iowa, at Keokuk & Fort Madison.  I bet that feels good.

  • Like 2

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to post
Share on other sites
33 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

I don't think the front is getting up here.  It is still only in the low 50s here and low 60s in Iowa City, and even Sigourney and Oskaloosa continue to have an east wind.

+1- temp here 20 miles NW of DSM is allready starting to drop. Maxed out at 50.4F, now 49.8F.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Barney rampage as far down as Western Texas.

Euro 1.png

  • Like 4

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
  • Tom unpinned this topic

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...