Blizzard777 Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 41 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: “CONE of Uncertainty” My new favorite phrase! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 35 minutes ago, dolt said: Alert! Tornado in St Helens today. Holy Cow! I drove under that cell earlier on the other side of the river. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 Not sure of picture credit, obviously not major damage, but I'm interested to see if that weather station was recording at the time. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 Is Phil banned? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 Holy cow. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 That is a massive AR on the long range GFS. 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 Helluva GFS run. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 The most recent major damaging windstorm. We’ve had several big windstorms since...but none of them have matched the power of this one. 3 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 Hopefully all that rain later in the run does not wash away the snow in the mountains 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 5 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: The most recent major damaging windstorm. We’ve had several big windstorms since...but none of them have matched the power of this one. I don’t want that one again. it destroyed my Christmas decoration display and power was out for a week. Countless trees down everywhere. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 5 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: I don’t want that one again. it destroyed my Christmas decoration display and power was out for a week. Countless trees down everywhere. Was very extreme. Power was out for 3 days here which for this area is a long time. I was 7 when it happened but I remember it pretty well. It was a very powerful storm hard to forget. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Was very extreme. Power was out for 3 days here which for this area is a long time. I was 7 when it happened but I remember it pretty well. It was a very powerful storm hard to forget. Yeah, that was by far the strongest storm I've ever lived through. Wind gusted to 85 mph just about a mile from my house and there were so many power poles snapped that we couldn't even leave our neighborhood for more than a day afterward. We were out of power for a week following that, actually one of the last times we've lost power. I unfortunately didn't have my weather station up at that point, but probably would have registered gusts above 60 even though it's pretty sheltered. 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 10 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: I'd be fine if we didn't have one quite that strong. I remember going to sleep hearing nothing but wood cracking all around and praying that nothing would hit the house. Woke up the next morning and it looked like a war zone across our 5 acre property at the time. Literally could not see the grass there were so many trees, branches, etc. down everywhere. Apparently our power was out for a week but luckily for us, we flew out to the Caribbean the morning after. Getting to the airport was... a challenge. A couple notches down from that and I'd be a happy camper. I’d be happy with something not quite that powerful either. Once you start getting gusts over 60mph thats not good. The windstorm we had 12/20/18 was a good one then we had another one on 1/6/19. Both produced 60mph gusts but it wasn’t to the point it was scary. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 11 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: Yeah, that was by far the strongest storm I've ever lived through. Wind gusted to 85 mph just about a mile from my house and there were so many power poles snapped that we couldn't even leave our neighborhood for more than a day afterward. We were out of power for a week following that, actually one of the last times we've lost power. I unfortunately didn't have my weather station up at that point, but probably would have registered gusts above 60 even though it's pretty sheltered. When I was 7 I lived on the 3rd floor of a condo right above the narrows about 2 miles north of the bridge. We could actually feel the building shaking when the winds were hitting. I have no idea how strong the winds were but the narrows is like a wind funnel so probably 80mph. I can remember seeing all the substations flashing looking outside as the storm rolled through. That was pretty crazy and scary as well. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted November 10, 2020 Report Share Posted November 10, 2020 The 2006 storm wasn't nearly as strong down here, but I definitely remember leaving my dad's work Christmas party driving down Mill Plain (a major road through Vancouver) and seeing a huge power flash and everything went out. Even the stop lights weren't blinking. It was a fun drive home through that mess. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 1 minute ago, Tyler Mode said: The 2006 storm wasn't nearly as strong down here, but I definitely remember leaving my dad's work Christmas party driving down Mill Plain (a major road through Vancouver) and seeing a huge power flash and everything went out. Even the stop lights weren't blinking. It was a fun drive home through that mess. Yeah it was a good windstorm for my area as well but not one of the epic ones. Power was still out around Lake Goodwin where I was living for about 24hrs but places south got nuked. I remember driving to Moses Lake several days later and most areas from I-405 to I-90 were all dark all the way to the summit of Snoqualmie. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Hopefully this one isn’t a dud like the legendary non storm 4yrs ago! 2 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Anyone remember the 1981 wind storm, also about this time of year? https://climate.washington.edu/stormking/November1981.html#:~:text=The November 13-14%2C 1981 windstorm followed just such a,80.5 mph average peak gust. That was less than 3 years from the 1979 storm that sank part of the hood canal bridge. And there was also the Thanksgiving 1983 storm too. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 47 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: I'd be fine if we didn't have one quite that strong. I remember going to sleep hearing nothing but wood cracking all around and praying that nothing would hit the house. Woke up the next morning and it looked like a war zone across our 5 acre property at the time. Literally could not see the grass there were so many trees, branches, etc. down everywhere. Apparently our power was out for a week but luckily for us, we flew out to the Caribbean the morning after. Getting to the airport was... a challenge. A couple notches down from that and I'd be a happy camper. Agree on notching it down a bit. The fir trees were violently blowing and as you said the cracking of trees singing in the night was disturbing and scary. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 8 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Anyone remember the 1981 wind storm, also about this time of year? https://climate.washington.edu/stormking/November1981.html#:~:text=The November 13-14%2C 1981 windstorm followed just such a,80.5 mph average peak gust. That was less than 3 years from the 1979 storm that sank part of the hood canal bridge. And there was also the Thanksgiving 1983 storm too. I don’t remember 79 since I was not quite 3yrs old but I very vaguely remember 81 but 83 is what got me super interested in the weather and windstorms! That was super memorable for me! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjb Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 10 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Anyone remember the 1981 wind storm, also about this time of year? https://climate.washington.edu/stormking/November1981.html#:~:text=The November 13-14%2C 1981 windstorm followed just such a,80.5 mph average peak gust. That was less than 3 years from the 1979 storm that sank part of the hood canal bridge. And there was also the Thanksgiving 1983 storm too. That 1981 storm was a really hard blow for the south sound !!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 15 minutes ago, MossMan said: Hopefully this one isn’t a dud like the legendary non storm 4yrs ago! Swing and a miss! Wasn’t the weather channel out here for that one? They were out here for one of our classic wind events and it was a none event. Poor Jim Cantore . No refunds given either 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 41 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Anyone remember the 1981 wind storm, also about this time of year? https://climate.washington.edu/stormking/November1981.html#:~:text=The November 13-14%2C 1981 windstorm followed just such a,80.5 mph average peak gust. That was less than 3 years from the 1979 storm that sank part of the hood canal bridge. And there was also the Thanksgiving 1983 storm too. I remember transformers lighting up the sky on both events! I was living in Portland at the time. Back when we would get a couple good blows every fall. The high winds didn’t bug me then since I didn’t own a house. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Up to 13" at Hoodoo now! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Looks like people need to remember that it does in fact snow in the mountains sometimes... Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 That Hanukkah Eve Storm was the end of finals week for me and I actually was not all that intoxicated. I just remember us sitting outside under our covered patio and it was like 50-ish degrees with the occasional blustery moment and some decent rain, then it got quite a bit colder as the night went on. The next day I read about how it was a significant event up north. And was like, well at least we didn't lose power while playing Halo 2. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Looks like people need to remember that it does in fact snow in the mountains sometimes... Pure idiocy. Dumb asses. Morons. Add your own remark (here) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Just wait til we have multiple major events this year. Going to bring the region to its knees. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 15 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Just wait til we have multiple major events this year. Going to bring the region to its knees. I’m expecting 2020 to have some type of crazy weather event before the years over. Major windstorm or snowstorm or ice storm who knows but it’ll be something. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 47/41 today. Picked up 0.13” so far to hit 1.92” for November. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 46 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: I’m expecting 2020 to have some type of crazy weather event before the years over. Major windstorm or snowstorm or ice storm who knows but it’ll be something. No snow days for the kiddo’s this year...The zoom meetings will go on as usual even with 5’ of snow on the ground. Glad I was a kid of the 80’s/early 90’s! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: That Hanukkah Eve Storm was the end of finals week for me and I actually was not all that intoxicated. I just remember us sitting outside under our covered patio and it was like 50-ish degrees with the occasional blustery moment and some decent rain, then it got quite a bit colder as the night went on. The next day I read about how it was a significant event up north. And was like, well at least we didn't lose power while playing Halo 2. https://c.tenor.com/FkmLHW0onWwAAAAM/big-daddy-hell-yes.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 I'd love to live to see a windstorm comparable to the Columbus day storm of 62' https://climate.washington.edu/stormking/October1962.html 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 13 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 00z NAM continues to think that winds won't get any higher than 30-40 mph. Eh, still relatively far out in terms of the NAM, I’m putting my money on it eventually at least becoming somewhat like every other model. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Just now, Requiem said: Eh, still relatively far out in terms of the NAM, I’m putting my money on it eventually at least becoming somewhat like every other model. Exactly. Since the jet is moving so fast, it is probably out of its view at initialization. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
markjb Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 1 minute ago, crf450ish said: I'd love to live to see a windstorm comparable to the Columbus day storm of 62' https://climate.washington.edu/stormking/October1962.html Remember that one too !!! I was only 7 years old, but still have vivid memories of how hard the wind was blowing. No power... in the dark, but the thing I remember most from that night is the noise ! My moms sister called us on the phone in hysterics saying Shelton was blowing away !!! Very scary night !! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 2 hours ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Anyone remember the 1981 wind storm, also about this time of year? https://climate.washington.edu/stormking/November1981.html#:~:text=The November 13-14%2C 1981 windstorm followed just such a,80.5 mph average peak gust. That was less than 3 years from the 1979 storm that sank part of the hood canal bridge. And there was also the Thanksgiving 1983 storm too. Interseting that this storm may occur on another Friday, 11/13. I was 12 living in Stayton, OR and it is still the most intense windstorm I have ever experienced. Spent that Saturday cleaning up my house, my grandparent's house and a friend's house. So many trees down in the mid valley. Power out for days. I love extremes but I don't need a repeat of that now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Currently 34 after a high of 40. .20” on the day, 1.89” for the month. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 00z GFS initializing the disturbance ejecting out of the western Pac differently. Quite differently, in fact. I wonder if it will form sooner and be weaker on landfall/further north. We'll see soon enough... 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 00z GFS Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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