Timmy Supercell Posted November 15, 2020 Report Share Posted November 15, 2020 19 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Pretty unusual for that area. Way wetter than it's been here today. Yeah most of our soakers are from convection in the warm months. You would have been thrilled to see our one week in May 2013 we had 5 t'storm days in a row, and two of them (May 7th-8th) flooded downtown. Back then I used a cruddy camera but I have vids up from that. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 15, 2020 Report Share Posted November 15, 2020 Up to 51. Warmest day in a while. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 15, 2020 Report Share Posted November 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 18z NAM still looks good for fairly widespread, quick-hitting 50-60 mph gusts. They'll call this the Quick Blow of 2020! 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 15, 2020 Report Share Posted November 15, 2020 https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/11/a-meteorological-bomb-will-hit-northern.html?m=1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 15, 2020 Report Share Posted November 15, 2020 Pouring here from a mini cell. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 15, 2020 Report Share Posted November 15, 2020 The day 10 period or thereabouts looks a lot more interesting than earlier runs had indicated. More potential for a chillier more active pattern. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 15, 2020 Report Share Posted November 15, 2020 29 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/11/a-meteorological-bomb-will-hit-northern.html?m=1 It's going to take a surface low removed from the parent low to give us much in this area. The track of the main low is not good for winds in Seattle. The possible associated surface low spinning up SE of the parent low could have potential. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 15, 2020 Report Share Posted November 15, 2020 Heatwave!! Up to 49! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 15, 2020 Report Share Posted November 15, 2020 A very interesting study in contrasts when you compare the 500mb pattern since the big change on October 21st to the pattern during the same number of days before the change. Quite a dramatic reversal. For reference sake...you can see the center of the positive anomaly center since October 20 has been at 49N - 149W. The sweet spot we are looking for this winter is about 55N - 155W. Hopefully the longer wavelengths during the winter will put it closer to that. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 15, 2020 Report Share Posted November 15, 2020 29 minutes ago, MossMan said: Heatwave!! Up to 49! Same here. looks like I missed hitting 50 again. Ten straight days of sub 50 highs. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Same here. looks like I missed hitting 50 again. Ten straight days of sub 50 highs. Got up to 55 here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 A nice 45, 93% humidity and all-day rain! Still raining now. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 54/44 spread here today, with scattered showers and sunbreaks. Warmest day since 11/5. 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Some pockets of advection fog appear to be forming over in parts of eastern Oregon as the warmer air passes over all that snow on the surface. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Meh. Seems like the off-hour runs of the Euro struggle a bit just like the GFS. The fluctuations with the 06z and 18z runs lately have been noticeable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 34 minutes ago, Jesse said: 54/44 spread here today, with scattered showers and sunbreaks. Warmest day since 11/5. Should get pretty toasty tomorrow once the warm front moves north. Tuesday as well with the southerlies. Back to back 60+ feels likely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Uploaded a nice radar animation of this continuous barrage of rain in southern Oregon today. 15-16 hour straight rain in Klamath Falls. So far over >0.90" has fallen at the airport. (Dropbox link) https://www.dropbox.com/s/nc9ej180v6zcuvd/CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-MAX-N0Q-20201116-0054-200-100.gif?dl=0 (Last 24hrs UW radar loop) https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.old.cgi?max_ncr+/24h/+-noauto Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Should get pretty toasty tomorrow once the warm front moves north. Tuesday as well with the southerlies. Back to back 60+ feels likely. Possible. Although it also feels like a situation where nighttime decoupling and light offshore flow could mitigate things to a degree tomorrow. Tuesday looks like a better bet for 60+ with a more favorable setup for the warmth working its way to the surface, IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 16, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 58/49 for the day. A +8.5F departure for the date. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Guess I can put my generator away now. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Uploaded a nice radar animation of this continuous barrage of rain in southern Oregon today. 15-16 hour straight rain in Klamath Falls. So far over >0.90" has fallen at the airport. (Dropbox link) https://www.dropbox.com/s/nc9ej180v6zcuvd/CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-MAX-N0Q-20201116-0054-200-100.gif?dl=0 (Last 24hrs UW radar loop) https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.old.cgi?max_ncr+/24h/+-noauto Gotta be close to a record for the date? This is like 9% of your annual rainfall. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Gotta be close to a record for the date? This is like 9% of your annual rainfall. Hoping someone else here has that info. Wunderground has gotten all screwed up and leaves those records blank. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Hoping someone else here has that info. Wunderground has gotten all screwed up and leaves those records blank. Latest AFD is saying Medford is amazingly close to their daily record of 1.8". Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 5 hours ago, snow_wizard said: Pretty surprising to see the forum so dead on the weekend and with an active pattern going. Jim this is just run of the mill November weather. It's doesn't turn the cranks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, iFred said: Probably for the rest of the season too. Split flow until April. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 53 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Seems like the off-hour runs of the Euro struggle a bit just like the GFS. The fluctuations with the 06z and 18z runs lately have been noticeable. Best not to put too much stock into one run either. If it’s a trend then it’s a problem. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 1 minute ago, puyallupjon said: Jim this is just run of the mill November weather. It's doesn't turn the cranks. Tomorrow's Quick Blow might have something else to say about that Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 52/45 0.14” so far today...3.42” for the month. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Tomorrow's Quick Blow might have something else to say about that It certainly could. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Just now, hawkstwelve said: 00z NAM ain't half bad. Could be worse. I’m in the light orange! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 1 hour ago, puyallupjon said: Jim this is just run of the mill November weather. It's doesn't turn the cranks. There is a potential windstorm. When I posted that this place was totally dead. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Pretty meh weather, but definitely better than last November. Phil? When is our next superharmonic wave breaker? 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: There is a potential windstorm. When I posted that this place was totally dead. Yeah but most people are not going to get super excited over typical November weather is the point. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, Weather1011 said: Yeah but most people are not going to get super excited over typical November weather is the point. It’s been nice to have typical November weather. The last 2 have been pretty meh this ones been much better but nothing crazy or out of the ordinary. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Who's ready for tonight's runs!!!!! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 57 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 00z NAM ain't half bad. Could be worse. NAM shows 45 to 51 gusts in the puget sound area higher winds on the west side i would take it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 00z GFS Day 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 35 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Who's ready for tonight's runs!!!!! Not this year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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