TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: It must be super light with the precip like the GFS. Why does this have so much less than the other map posted? Looks like about the same amount of precip as the 12Z run... just a tad warmer. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Wouldn't take much for the Puget Sound to add four inches to that also. Hour 300-340 have cold rain for parts of Puget Sound but snow for Mossman and company. This is all speculative and 300+ hours out What? Are you sure? 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z ECMWF is a step back from previous ECMWF runs for tomorrow night... Should be noted, if it plays out like this, the gfs wins this event 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 11 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Hard to complain when you see things getting colder sooner. Although it would be nice to get the EPS on our side. I will be very surprised if the EPS doesn't improve tonight. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Interesting to see the gfs ensembles actually taking a step forward instead of leaning to the euro. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Me getting back on board after one 18z GFS run 2 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z ECMWF is a step back from previous ECMWF runs for tomorrow night... That white hole is expanding! Why would you post this?! What is wrong with you? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolarCortex Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 30 at Quillayute and 27 in Port Angeles. A beautiful cold, marine airmass is drifting in 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 14 minutes ago, MossMan said: The chunky stuff that fell earlier is now frozen solid! Official warning shot! Oh and I threw all of my forks in that garbage can...I’m not forking anything just yet! That looks like frozen vomit. 35 after a high of 42. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Frozen vomit beats warm vomit any day. 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 00Z ECMWF still shows some snow down south on Sunday... 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 32 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: It must be super light with the precip like the GFS. Why does this have so much less than the other map posted? The GFS has been 100% solid on calling for just 0.20 in qpf in PDX. Tonight's 00z Euro is a step towards the GFS, decreased precip. 12z and 00z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 So glad the NAM has things under control for tomorrow here, it has been trending better for here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Day 8 Ridge merger looks unlikely on the Op, at least to day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z ECMWF still shows some snow down south on Sunday... Hmmmm... some kind of Ana front type situation? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Hmmmm... some kind of Ana front type situation? I think so... 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Hmmm. This doesn’t bode well for an improved EPS run at all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Bit of a cold pool has deepened and expanded a bit over the past 4 hours. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Euro is a lot better than the GFS in the believable range. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Euro is a lot better than the GFS in the believable range. The G FS moved the late week trough way offshore andgrew I saw it and I thought I bet that Andrew won’t like that and i didn’t like it either 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Jesse said: The G FS moved the late week trough way offshore andgrew I saw it and I thought I bet that Andrew won’t like it and i didn’t like it either Great minds think alike. What’s good for me is good for you. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, iFred said: I don't know why anyone would even bother post anything other than the Euro at this point. Anyway, for those of you who keep insisting that winter isn't canceled or are just here to troll our avid tomato gardeners of of the Cascadian foothills with highly inaccurate low resolution models, please make sure that you are saving them and uploading them as a file. Kind of makes it hard to do a retrospective when someone else has taken the time to save the images of all of the warm EPS runs and bare and wet traffic cams while your Pepto and Barney purple maps are lost to the sands of time. I was actually going to mention that after Randy got me looking through the January 2019 topic... most of the map images were gone which made it harder to see how the models evolved. I save and upload now but back then I was hosting and then linking the URL. Not sure if hosted images expire but I assume they do at some point. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, iFred said: Yeah, anything remote link is going to expire unless you are sharing it from a site that deep links their models and has a generous retention policy. Seeing how block storage is apparently expensive when you run a popular model site, they expire after a month or so. I am more than happy to make sure there isn't any serious restriction on file uploads, so I encourage people to save and upload. If anyone is running out of space or having issues with saving model images, let me know. Its much easier now after the upgrade. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 00Z EPS at day 10... 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Pretty funny reading January 2019. You'd almost think it was the January 21 thread. 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Pretty funny reading January 2019. You'd almost think it was the January 21 thread. Easy to forget how pathetically lame that Winter was until February. 3 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Yes indeedy! Big improvement on the EPS. Way higher GOA heights and the control looks just like the last few GFS runs. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 10 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Easy to forget how pathetically lame that Winter was until February. And then Feb and early March was epic. That Feb was pretty easily one of the top 5 of the past 120 years. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 00z (latest) top, 12z bottom. Pretty massive improvement. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 00Z EPS... 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 26, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 Conflicting EPS reports! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 The EPS control has vodka cold pouring into WA at the end of the run. 5 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Conflicting EPS reports! Looks like a stronger retrogression signal. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 26, 2021 Report Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Conflicting EPS reports! No... GOA heights are higher than previous runs. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by OysterPrintout,
3 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.