SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 I am going to bet SLE doesn't see a high of 18 later this week. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: A well deserved break in the action by the 20th. Snow cover, low thicknesses, light winds. Going to be a lot cold mins. I really want this to work out right. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, mtep said: Noob question: is the reason that the Bham area is getting shafted on the maps snow-wise because the outflow winds are modeled to be too strong for much precip to make it up here? The low pressure systems are tracking too far south. That combined with the outflow makes it hard to get much there. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Kind of a bummer to see it completely abandon the King/Snohomish County line CZ it had been showing the last three runs. Maybe a sign things are more suppressed than expected already. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: The low pressure systems are tracking too far south. That combined with the outflow makes it hard to et much there. I see. Thanks for the explanation! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, Cloud said: Satisfying run in the mid-range. Now to take a breather and hold our breaths for King Euro. Oh boy. It HAS to be good! 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 00z UKMET looks good. Snow totals Thursday 10am to 10pm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, mtep said: I see. Thanks for the explanation! Things may change. Nobody should be too discouraged on here yet. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, mtep said: Noob question: is the reason that the Bham area is getting shafted on the maps snow-wise because the outflow winds are modeled to be too strong for much precip to make it up here? Last year was a good example of how Bham did not get shafted. Very dependent on the low placement as it's too wide of net to cast. When Bham does well, the rest of the region will typically see cold rain from my experience. But if Bham is shafted, we're typically in for some major cold stuff. But overall, just low placement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 9 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 00z WRF shows Tim's area doing well and surprisingly shows an inch falling here in the morning. Not holding my breath on that though. Really hoping that we can get something on Wednesday, in case the dry/cold solutions win out for the end of the week. IM IN THE LIGHT GREEN. LET’s GO!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 UKMET less snow than the 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: 00z UKMET looks good. Snow totals Thursday 10am to 10pm. The snow line stops 10 miles south of me. That is obviously splitting hairs though. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 HOLY COWS 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That's one deep cinnamon roll. Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 19 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, wxmet said: UKMET less snow than the 12z run Yeah but Arctic air still in place at day 5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: HOLY COWS -8 in The Dalles while it’s 20 in Yakima. 2 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Not a fan of how dry it looks to be up this way 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Looks like a big batch of moisture training along the north slope of the Olympics is going to dump down into the C-Zone. Could get fun later. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: HOLY COWS I expect nothing less than a frozen Columbia. Let's go! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 24 minutes ago, SeanNyberg said: Sure, makes sense. Just is becoming more and more apparent. It's either all or nothing. A bit exhausting, but interesting. Exhausting it is! Like being in Vegas for two weeks with high stake wins and losses, loud carpets, flashing lights and porno baseball cards being slapped at you as you walk the strip! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: -8 in The Dalles while it’s 20 in Yakima. I feel like it is really overstating the radiational cooling snow cover will provide. lol 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Bryant said: Not a fan of how dry it looks to be up this way That Sean guy said you’re all super okay with it. 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Looks like a big batch of moisture training along the north slope of the Olympics is going to dump down into the C-Zone. Could get fun later. Little bit of activity also starting to fire up around and just East of Everett right now. Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 21 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The GEM says we better do well with the Arctic front for snow up here. Dry and cold after that for us. As long as the Front puts on a good show that will make my winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 1 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, Deweydog said: That Sean guy said you’re all super okay with it. I suppose I'm not a true weather nerd. Cold alone doesn't do it for me. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Bryant said: Not a fan of how dry it looks to be up this way We finally get more than a trace of snow... at hr 348. Hard to imagine a pattern this unstable-looking not delivering up here at some point this week. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 21 minutes ago, Timmy said: Channels it’s inner third eye blind? First Andrew needs to cut ties with all the lies that he's been livin in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, Jesse said: First Andrew needs to cut ties with all the lies that he's been livin in. Then I will step down from that ledge my friend. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 UKMET has less snow and precip for 00z but still keeps the precip south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: We finally get more than a trace of snow... at hr 348. Hard to imagine a pattern this unstable-looking not delivering up here at some point this week. You guys are probably fine after all just a couple of hours ago we were talking about the possibility of a Vancouver landfall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Then I will step down from that ledge my friend. You could cut ties with all the lies That you've been living in 1 1 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: We finally get more than a trace of snow... at hr 348. Hard to imagine a pattern this unstable-looking not delivering up here at some point this week. With how entrenched the cold looks to be, we'd need quite a few sad members on here before the moisture could make it up this way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The snow line stops 10 miles south of me. That is obviously splitting hairs though. This run stays colder though for the weekend. With a stronger cold pool. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Rob's FB group is going to go over 500 comments on this run. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Ukmet has much less precip for Thursday but still a food NW Oregon SW Washington snowstorm. And Saturday is further south like the GEM and GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 Didn't Bellingham have highs in the teens last January? 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 GEFS 00z still looks good regionally 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 I'm old enough to remember eating a massive bag of dicks in December 1996 while roofs were caving in from snow in Bellingham. 1 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 8, 2021 Report Share Posted February 8, 2021 I feel like my brother on the Southern Oregon Coast may be out of luck with this pattern. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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