I’m definitely not on Team Wind. I don’t like wind. More accurately I don’t like the results of big wind. I don’t have a generator, it’s Christmas Eve. Just no

I mean, kind of the 'closest' with trajectory? but no other wind storm has ever originated so far south in latitude off the southern CA coast and then moved due north inside ~128 W. This would be the first and unprecedented.

Dude. Do you really think it is more likely that the one outlier is correct over literally almost every other model? If the Euro is 90% accurate at this range, and 10 other models are 80% accurate at this range (not the real numbers, just hypothetically for the example), it is still a near statistical certainty that the other models are correct. In this case, if the Euro is the outlier. It can both be true that the Euro is substantially more accurate than the other models, but it's also very unlikely to be correct in this situation.

Like I said last night…The November 2006 snowstorm took out power for a week and did major tree damage. Yet everyone would be frothing at the mouth if the models were showing that setup!

Content for weather forums I think mostly