May Winter Continue 2022 PNW

[TacomaWaWx]

Today has been nicer than I thought. Little breezy but some sunshine too. Might help instability later this afternoon. 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Today has been nicer than I thought. Little breezy but some sunshine too. Might help instability later this afternoon. 

Nicer than I expected here as well... there have been lots of sun breaks and blue sky and no rain since early this morning.

[TacomaWaWx]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Nicer than I expected here as well... there have been lots of sun breaks and blue sky and no rain since early this morning.

Yeah no drizzle since 7:30am…definitely not nearly as muggy as yesterday either. DP is 51 instead of 61 like yesterday. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Pretty solid cloud deck here in Salem. Looks like it is 61 at SLE. 

[Phil]

Check out the match between the 12z EPS mean and early June phase-8 MJOs:

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Check out the match between the 12z EPS mean and early June phase-8 MJOs:

That is almost identical.    

And not a cold pattern here... might be occasionally wet but probably fairly "humid" by our standards.

[TacomaWaWx]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That is almost identical.    

And not a cold pattern here... might be occasionally wet but probably fairly "humid" by our standards.

I figured we would have gotten some type or decent convective set up over the last few weeks with how wet it’s been…but maybe next month we will finally cash in. Would like to see it happen at some point soon. 

[Phil]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

That is almost identical.    

And not a cold pattern here... might be occasionally wet but probably fairly "humid" by our standards.

It’s a high amplitude phase-8 so it makes sense the correlation would be strong. Depending on the specifics it could even be warm out there.

Or at least, if there’s going to be a warm period out there, the first 7-10 days of June have the highest chance to pull it off.

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

It’s a high amplitude phase-8 so it makes sense the correlation would be strong. Depending on the specifics it could even be warm out there.

Or at least, if there’s going to be a warm period out there, the first 7-10 days of June have the highest chance to pull it off.

There’s a couple warm days shown in early June on the euro but nothing really exceptional. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Looks like some rain showers are trying to move into the south sound…nothing too interesting yet this afternoon but maybe later. 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

It’s a high amplitude phase-8 so it makes sense the correlation would be strong. Depending on the specifics it could even be warm out there.

Or at least, if there’s going to be a warm period out there, the first 7-10 days of June have the highest chance to pull it off.

So wet and cold for the first 10 days of June and then nicer.  

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

I figured we would have gotten some type or decent convective set up over the last few weeks with how wet it’s been…but maybe next month we will finally cash in. Would like to see it happen at some point soon. 

We haven’t seen anything close to a traditional setup at this point. Way too progressive and a complete lack of warm core diffluence. Yesterday tried, but ultimately too much of a SW’erly component for anything more than an occasional rumble.

[Phil]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

So wet and cold for the first 10 days of June and then nicer.  

Not this year.

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

We haven’t seen anything close to a traditional setup at this point. Way too progressive and a complete lack of warm core diffluence. Yesterday tried, but ultimately too much of a SW’erly component for anything more than an occasional rumble.

Oh yeah I understand, it’s just that time of year you’d figure in an overall wet spring we would manage a decent set up eventually it just hasn’t materialized. 

[Deweydog]

Just now, TacomaWaWx said:

Oh yeah I understand, it’s just that time of year you’d figure in an overall wet spring we would manage a decent set up eventually it just hasn’t materialized. 

Plenty of cold core setups, but those are always a big roll of the dice for ground based stuff.  

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Plenty of cold core setups, but those are always a big roll of the dice for ground based stuff.  

We’re due for something decent…have had a couple random 1 hit wonders over the last 18 months…but no real significant thunderstorms here since 10/13/20. Last summer and 2021 was kind of a bummer for that too seemed like it might happen in august but never came. 

[TT-SEA]

12 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

We haven’t seen anything close to a traditional setup at this point. Way too progressive and a complete lack of warm core diffluence. Yesterday tried, but ultimately too much of a SW’erly component for anything more than an occasional rumble.

No sharpness to the troughs this spring... everything is way too rounded.    (that's what she said)   

[Doinko]

7 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Plenty of cold core setups, but those are always a big roll of the dice for ground based stuff.  

I haven't seen anything more than heavy rain/hail with that this spring.

[TT-SEA]

Garden is still progressing... if we can pull it off this year with this cold/wet spring it will be a win.   And next year has to be better.

[T-Town]

Looks like we’re trying to get something going. 

[T-Town]

24 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Garden is still progressing... if we can pull it off this year with this cold/wet spring it will be a win.   And next year has to be better.

The little garden that could…

[TT-SEA]

Just drove to Issaquah... sky looking convective.    And the Scotch Broom is happy so that is good.   

[crf450ish]

This is the worst spring I've ever experienced here in western WA. Literally relentless. Thank God for cheap airline tickets and my permanent RV spot in Phoenix. Vitamin D is necessary. 

[TT-SEA]

19 minutes ago, crf450ish said:

This is the worst spring I've ever experienced here in western WA. Literally relentless. Thank God for cheap airline tickets and my permanent RV spot in Phoenix. Vitamin D is necessary. 

Just think how much nicer a normal spring will be now.

[Meatyorologist]

Fun sky out there!

Headed to eastern WA through Tuesday, going to soak in the sun. I’ve thoroughly enjoyed the cooler weather over the incessant torching this last decade, but I’d be disengenuous if I were to say that I haven’t been mentally effected by the constant clouds.

[Meatyorologist]

All things said, I still hope we have a very cool summer. Still means mid 60s-low 70s and more sun than not.

The cloudiness and rain associated with Spring troughing does not translate to Summer, contrary to what Tim may lead you to believe…

[Meatyorologist]

[TacomaWaWx]

another 0.02” so far this afternoon with these light showers. Looks like we maxed out at 62/50 today…58 now. 

[TacomaWaWx]

This map has gotten better over the last couple months. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Raining hard here now…this showers pretty juicy despite not looking too impressive on radar. 

[TT-SEA]

14 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

All things said, I still hope we have a very cool summer. Still means mid 60s-low 70s and more sun than not.

The cloudiness and rain associated with Spring troughing does not translate to Summer, contrary to what Tim may lead you to believe…

It might be a cool summer... but the chances of it being persistently rainy out here (like 2019) are very low given what has happened in April and May.     

[SilverFallsAndrew]

21 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

This map has gotten better over the last couple months. 

We are no longer in drought. 

 

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Just drove to Issaquah... sky looking convective.    And the Scotch Broom is happy so that is good.   

It is one of the worst invasive species we have, I would probably rank it 3rd behind Himalayan Blackberries, and English Ivy. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Garden is still progressing... if we can pull it off this year with this cold/wet spring it will be a win.   And next year has to be better.

Sometimes these things come in pairs. Relative to average it has been a bit wetter down here. 

[jcmcgaffey]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Just drove to Issaquah... sky looking convective.    And the Scotch Broom is happy so that is good.   

Funny I just drove through there and was thinking the same thing about the sky and scotchbroom.   Did a hike this morning at little si and then went into work at Swedish Issaquah. 

[TT-SEA]

9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Sometimes these things come in pairs. Relative to average it has been a bit wetter down here. 

Its hard to find many years in which it rained on 54 out of 61 days in April and May.    That is pretty crazy even for this area.    And then throw in multiple days with snow falling and snow on the ground in April.    And then find years in which SEA was warmer than normal on only 3 out of 61 days in April and May.    I doubt next year will be this bad.      

[RentonHill]

Pouring heading up to the pass very dangerous driving hope I don’t crash 

[Meatyorologist]

Driving up to Snoqualmie Pass is like going back in time on the season. Up at the pass the trees have finally just begun their leaf out, with hard concrete like snow remaining. Reservoir is full too. I haven’t seen it this snowy this late in the year since 2012.

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Driving up to Snoqualmie Pass is like going back in time on the season. Up at the pass the trees have finally just begun their leaf out, with hard concrete like snow remaining. Reservoir is full too. I haven’t seen it this snowy this late in the year since 2012.

The reservoir up there has been full right up to the freeway at this time of the year in most years recently.

[Phil]

22 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Pouring heading up to the pass very dangerous driving hope I don’t crash 

Don’t text and drive, man.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Driving over the pass rn also. Apparently we are all headed east