August 2022 PNW Observations and Discussion - 1956 Redux!1!!1!

[Meatyorologist]

100!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still 63F at almost 3AM.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Hurricane smacks into NOLA on the overnight GFS.

[The Blob]

Feels nice outside. Good night to be out.

[snow maniac]

57 and drizzle this morning.

[Meatyorologist]

Pages!

[Meatyorologist]

Noice thick overcast this morning. 61F.

[TT-SEA]

9 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Noice thick overcast this morning. 61F.

Don't think its going anywhere today with the marine layer deepening.

ECMWF says 74 and 74 the next two days... GFS says 73 and 74.     They are in perfect agreement and both are probably wrong.    My phone says 69 and 70 the next 2 days for "SeaTac".     That sounds closer to reality.    Somehow its predicting that without any model support and going to outperform the models.   

[Meatyorologist]

Going to be kind of a strange one today with westerlies strengthening and an increasing marine presence. Could have some clearing around and just after noon before clouds fill in again around dinnertime.

Good shot at some potent PSCZ activity tonight too, with appreciable rainfall in the central Sound. Most models agree with that feature. Vancouver BC could pick up some occlusionary rainfall associated with that ULL sliding along the border. Heaviest rainfall event since June for the area if certain projections pan out (NAM, CMC)

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Don't think its going anywhere today with the marine layer deepening.

ECMWF says 74 and 74 the next two days... GFS says 73 and 74.     They are in perfect agreement and both are probably wrong.    My phone says 69 and 70 the next 2 days for "SeaTac".     That sounds closer to reality.    Somehow its predicting that without any model support and going to outperform the models.   

Your app also takes into consideration satellite and sfc obs trends apparently... That is really sophisticated.

That or its underballing from model projections is simply an error from its design, and that flaw just so happens to compensate for a real bias.

[Meatyorologist]

Drizzling and breezy at UW campus. Tim is probably right in that the marine layer will not clear today, given climo and past experience w/ days like this.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This would be nice. 

[T-Town]

The marine layer is peeking over the cascades this morning. 

[MossMan]

Drizzle and 59. 

[ShawniganLake]

Clear blue skies here this morning. But the air feels nice and cool  

[YahRaEl]

61° Here in Belltown Seattle this morning 

[TacomaWx]

Got down to 60 this morning. 18th +60 low this year which ties the record we just set last year. We’ve got a good shot at breaking it. 

[T-Town]

https://wsdotblog.blogspot.com/2022/08/i-5-hov-construction-in-tacoma-is.html?m=1
 

Can it be?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Cloudy 

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

Drizzling and breezy at UW campus. Tim is probably right in that the marine layer will not clear today, given climo and past experience w/ days like this.

Are they requiring adherence to maskism like UCI is? 

[Meatyorologist]

3 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Are they requiring adherence to maskism like UCI is? 

Good morning to you too man

[Randyc321]

12 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z NAM shows marine layer clouds locked in all day with no breaks even late in the afternoon.    Might well be the first sub 70 day of the month at SEA.    

Bring on the downvotes, but I am past ready for some clouds.  Enjoying this cool morning so far.  Looks like a great day for some yard work.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

Going to be kind of a strange one today with westerlies strengthening and an increasing marine presence. Could have some clearing around and just after noon before clouds fill in again around dinnertime.

Good shot at some potent PSCZ activity tonight too, with appreciable rainfall in the central Sound. Most models agree with that feature. Vancouver BC could pick up some occlusionary rainfall associated with that ULL sliding along the border. Heaviest rainfall event since June for the area if certain projections pan out (NAM, CMC)

That would be quite the rainfall up here, considering we picked up a half inch in early August.

[Cloud]

10 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Just snow totals?  Must have been a lot of blank days then.

Yup! Snow totals, how long they stuck around for and daily temps. I believe it was for a period of 95-99, then I stopped. I was just more interested in winter more than anything. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

33 minutes ago, T-Town said:

https://wsdotblog.blogspot.com/2022/08/i-5-hov-construction-in-tacoma-is.html?m=1
 

Can it be?

It’s a good article. People make fun about highway engineers and DOT’s when projects like this “take forever,” but there is often a tradeoff to be made between lane closures and length of time it takes to complete a project (i.e. you can complete a project quickly if you don’t care about traffic impacts and are willing to close as many lanes as needed to maximize the rate of progress).

[Randyc321]

41 minutes ago, T-Town said:

https://wsdotblog.blogspot.com/2022/08/i-5-hov-construction-in-tacoma-is.html?m=1
 

Can it be?

Nothing personal Dude, but I am so glad I don't live near that nightmare.  Actually used to commute to Puyallup for a few years from East Bremerton.  Not for the faint of heart..  I think it took years off my life!

In other news, no way they are done.  They will be tearing it up again soon.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

15 minutes ago, Randyc321 said:

Bring on the downvotes, but I am past ready for some clouds.  Enjoying this cool morning so far.  Looks like a great day for some yard work.

Mr. Marine Layer downvoted your pleasure at getting a good marine layer. Love it!

[Meatyorologist]

9 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

That would be quite the rainfall up here, considering we picked up a half inch in early August.

I meant the whole Oly-Van corridor in general. You did have some targeted rainfall a while back but it was spotty, and a good majority of the area hasn't seen anything more substantial than drizzle since June.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, Randyc321 said:

Nothing personal Dude, but I am so glad I don't live near that nightmare.  Actually used to commute to Puyallup for a few years from East Bremerton.  Not for the faint of heart..  I think it took years off my life!

In other news, no way they are done.  They will be tearing it again soon.

The only time I had to commute by driving a car an appreciable distance was on my first real job out of college, and that was in a rural area with little traffic to speak of. Could not imagine doing so in the “rush” (it definitely does not rush) “hour” (it lasts far longer than an hour) traffic of a major metro area.

[Cascadia_Wx]

4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Mr. Marine Layer downvoted your pleasure at getting a good marine layer. Love it!

Mr marine layer lives his life in wild eyed terror for any form of condensed water vapor 

[Cloud]

Got some mists and a bit of a breeze right now…. Ahhhh gotta love the natural AC!! Feels great

[Randyc321]

2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

The only time I had to commute by driving a car an appreciable distance was on my first real job out of college, and that was in a rural area with little traffic to speak of. Could not imagine doing so in the “rush” (it definitely does not rush) “hour” (it lasts far longer than an hour) traffic of a major metro area.

After I figured out that I was spending 11 1/2 work weeks in the car driving to and from work each year I found something closer.  This was my first job in Wa. after I moved up here in 2005.  Not a lot of Management choices for a recent Californicator right after one moves up here.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Mr marine layer lives his life in wild eyed terror for any form of condensed water vapor 

Yeah... never the angry instigator.    

 

[Phil]

4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Mr marine layer lives his life in wild eyed terror for any form of condensed water vapor 

He’s not the only one.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

06z Ensembles were decent. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

06z Ensembles were decent. 

I thought so too Andrew. EPS wasn’t as great through.

[TacomaWx]

10 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I meant the whole Oly-Van corridor in general. You did have some targeted rainfall a while back but it was spotty, and a good majority of the area hasn't seen anything more substantial than drizzle since June.

There was some spotty showers in early July…and some convective stuff in august which we got lucky pretty much every time with here. Hasn’t been anything widespread since mid June though. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I thought so too Andrew. EPS wasn’t as great through.

It’s ensemble improvement season.

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

He’s not the only one.

You seem to be one... considering your hatred of moisture in the air.   

[Cloud]

Not much of rainfall for the Saturday system. Onto next one!