TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Really feels like early April... complete pattern flip and will probably stick around for a long time again. Deep troughing in November is usually quite nice. Flat ridging is the absolute worst. Too early to say anything about November yet... but I am liking how things are evolving. 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 12 hours ago, selkirks said: Rain is really necessary to stop the endless smoke improve air quality across the state. And some of us like to ski! Beyond that, we need it to keep my wife's car clean. Getting really dusty. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 There is a new fire now south of the Bolt Creek fire (south of Hwy 2) and its putting out much more smoke which is heading to the northwest. Really filling in the North Sound with smoke while its crystal clear here. Just a few more days of smoke and then it will be a distant memory. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
awright-31 Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Oh, how this makes me happy. It's still Hr180, so anything can happen, but I think It's almost time. 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Looks like the southerly surge is ahead of schedule. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Nice! 4 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 1 hour ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: I can’t get on board with the rain for the end of next week until the ICON is on board. It’s not at this point, but it is for a big cooldown. https://weather.us/model-charts/german/washington/acc-total-precipitation/20221023-0000z.html As I said in an earlier post...the precip is the main question mark now. Not sure why some people call me a weenie for that. Kind of beclowning themselves IMO. 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Looks like the southerly surge is ahead of schedule. What southerly surge? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: There is a new fire now south of the Bolt Creek fire (south of Hwy 2) and its putting out much more smoke which is heading to the northwest. Really filling in the North Sound with smoke while its crystal clear here. Just a few more days of smoke and then it will be a distant memory. Yep, the smoke is increasing quickly here. 50 right now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Just a hunch, but something tells me this pattern change (snap back to average) isn’t going to bring us 3-4 consecutive record cold and/or wet months. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 46 minutes ago, T-Town said: Looks like the neighbors tree is thirsty. The brown wasn’t there a few days ago. That is probably going to die. So sad to see that. As I've told Jesse before there are some very old (hundreds of years) Douglas Fir trees near Liberty that are dying from the recent very dry and hot summers. It is a rare situation where huge Douglas Fir trees and sagebrush exist in the same place. I really hate seeing things like that. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Just a hunch, but something tells me this pattern change (snap back to average) isn’t going to bring us 3-4 consecutive record cold and/or wet months. You're probably correct. Nobody ever said it would. BTW the snap back will be below normal for temps. It's well advertised. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Already in the 80s just after noon in Wagoner County. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 25 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Really feels like early April... complete pattern flip and will probably stick around for a long time again. Deep troughing in November is usually quite nice. Flat ridging is the absolute worst. Too early to say anything about November yet... but I am liking how things are evolving. I agree...the flat ridging / gloom stuff is awful. Although one month of it in either Nov or Dec is ok. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: You're probably correct. Nobody ever said it would. BTW the snap back will be below normal for temps. It's well advertised. That wasn’t in response to anything you said. Just making the somewhat obvious point that we likely aren’t going to see a true flip side. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Air quality alerts are up and red flag warnings abound. The unhealthiest air is in Eugene, Oregon and the Puget Sound, Washington. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Just now, NWbyNW said: Air quality alerts are up and red flag warnings abound. The unhealthiest air is in Eugene, Oregon and the Puget Sound, Washington. I'm so used to it at this point I'm almost numb to it. Slowly but surely shortening my lifespan. 1 3 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I'm so used to it at this point I'm almost numb to it. Slowly but surely shortening my lifespan. We're close to this ending. It has gotten beyond old though. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: That wasn’t in response to anything you said. Just making the somewhat obvious point that we likely aren’t going to see a true flip side. I do think we will have a month or two that will make up for some of this though. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That is probably going to die. So sad to see that. As I've told Jesse before there are some very old (hundreds of years) Douglas Fir trees near Liberty that are dying from the recent very dry and hot summers. It is a rare situation where huge Douglas Fir trees and sagebrush exist in the same place. I really hate seeing things like that. We have many trees like that around here… it’s really sad actually. And it ain’t foliage either because they’ve been like that since Aug/Sept as their brown crunchy leaves fell off. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 So the Fishhawk Loop Fire in Clatsop County we brought up last night doesn't appear to be emitting much to any smoke based on satellite maps. Here we have two satellite views. The lower quality one is from moments ago, while the higher quality one is focusing just one he BIG smoke emitters and cleaning up the rest. Over the course of the winds winds will start to shift NW and it should allow for smoke to blow out of the Puget Sound but also suck in more smoke from burning fires when they belch out their smoke columns. Same can be said for Oregon today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 13 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That is probably going to die. So sad to see that. As I've told Jesse before there are some very old (hundreds of years) Douglas Fir trees near Liberty that are dying from the recent very dry and hot summers. It is a rare situation where huge Douglas Fir trees and sagebrush exist in the same place. I really hate seeing things like that. Santa Cruz Mtns in CA is a great place to observe Large Doug Firs bordering Chaparral. Had on the property we lived on. Redwoods too backing against Chaparral. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Air quality alerts are up and red flag warnings abound. The unhealthiest air is in Eugene, Oregon and the Puget Sound, Washington. The air looks horrible north of Seattle on the visible sat pic. I had no idea there were so many new fires. So far the smoke is staying mostly north of here, but I suspect a north wind will kick in later today. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: Santa Cruz Mtns in CA is a great place to observe Large Doug Firs bordering Chaparral. Had on the property we lived on. Redwoods too backing against Chaparral. Are they still standing? I just work under the assumption that all of the wildlands in California are a blackened wasteland at this point. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 These maps are looking at diff things, one is showing smoke columns and the other is ground level. Washington is expecting at least two major dumps of smoke today from fires. They are posted below. Oregon's ground level smoke around Eugene will be very high. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 The GFS was pretty darn impressive. 7 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Got to love the trends this morning. It might start looking and feeling like fall in about a week. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Dramatic improvement on the 12z GEFS vs the 6z. 6 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: Got to love the trends this morning. It might start looking and feeling like fall in about a week. You should have been here this week. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The air looks horrible north of Seattle on the visible sat pic. I had no idea there were so many new fires. So far the smoke is staying mostly north of here, but I suspect a north wind will kick in later today. The PNW and So Cal have played switcheroo this month, but sometimes the Santa Anas don't peek until late October or early November. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Bipolar GFS at it's finest. Now deepest and most persistent with troughing long term. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TacomaWx Posted October 15, 2022 Author Popular Post Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Looks pretty nasty back home. 0 smoke today in kalispel all of it is gone. Coming home tomorrow morning. 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, GobBluth said: Bipolar GFS at it's finest. Now deepest and most persistent with troughing long term. This has been a bipolar year. The weather is moving into a cooler and wetter regime, but will it be a prolonged pattern change? I guess we'll find out shortly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 81 at 11am on 10/15 in Aurora. 1 3 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 They've got a long way to go if they're gonna reach 79. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
awright-31 Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 46 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Already in the 80s just after noon in Wagoner County. I spent some time in Wagoner County earlier this year. I'm from WA so not used to the extreme humidity. Remember when I arrived and my hands started sticking to the steering wheel. I'll take the dry heat, thanks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 18 minutes ago, awright-31 said: I spent some time in Wagoner County earlier this year. I'm from WA so not used to the extreme humidity. Remember when I arrived and my hands started sticking to the steering wheel. I'll take the dry heat, thanks. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Timing we are now less than a week away! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 And by Friday afternoon. A decent rain maker. Still going. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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