Kolk1604 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 981 Low paying Rob a visit on the 12z CanadianĀ 1 2 1 Quote Ā Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 36 minutes ago, MossMan said: A backhoe and drain rock is in your future. I had similar issues here at my place when we first bought the place over 4yrs ago.Ā Did you run French drains?Ā That was originally my plan, but my buddy who helped me with the deck said with the soil I have it wouldn't do a lot of good.Ā I had a towable one man auger to do the footings for the deck, and there were spots where it could only go down about 4-5" and that was with me putting my full 270# on it. Ā Its too tight of a space to get a backhoe in my back yard, I was going to get a dingo with the trenching attachment. Ā Up to 1.29" for the day here. 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station:Ā Ā https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 17 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GFS in 1 hour 17 minutes What ya guys and gals thinking? As cold as 18z? a total dud? or chilly at times with some rug pull? Ask me in JanuaryĀ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 3 Quote Ā Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Went over the Oyster Saloon near the Hamma Hamma river,Ā on the West shore of the Hood Canal today.Ā Good grub, kinda rustic for the price, but a great day out.Ā Took the chance to stop by Rocky Brook Falls by the Dosewallips on the way to lunch.Ā Nobody else was there and it was just sprinkling.Ā Nice. Oh, and caught this shot of this good sized rock stopped by the two fir trees at the bottom of a steep slope and right on the trail.Ā The rock was about five feet long. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 19 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GFS in 1 hour 17 minutes What ya guys and gals thinking? As cold as 18z? a total dud? or chilly at times with some rug pull? wiper effect. torchy and drier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Look at these weenies down south. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 I can't wait until the block development is within range of the NAM! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: I can't wait until the block development is within range of the NAM! And we're a week away from earlier runs! Good Times aheadĀ 1 Quote Ā Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Rain seems to be tapering off now. 2.47" for the day, 6.58" for the month. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 3 hours ago, NWbyNW said: Legit... I am in that little circle with NO precipitation all day. Ā What gives? Ā Literally EVERYWHERE ELSE. Ā Lol! This is almost too funny. Ā Ā Ā Ā Ā That is one incredible shadow. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Ā Winter 2023-24 stats Ā Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Ā Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 10 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Rain seems to be tapering off now. 2.47" for the day, 6.58" for the month. I'm around 2.5" for the month.Ā We've had a lot of shadowing here. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Ā Winter 2023-24 stats Ā Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Ā Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 33 minutes ago, The Blob said: Look at these weenies down south. Wimps 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 58 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GFS in 1 hour 17 minutes What ya guys and gals thinking? As cold as 18z? a total dud? or chilly at times with some rug pull? I'm going with a moderate cold snap.Ā Highs in the low 40s / lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s type thing.Ā A major cold shot is certainly possible though. 3 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Ā Winter 2023-24 stats Ā Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Ā Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 I have been thinking that a near normal monthly average may not be all that crazy of a call for November on the whole.Ā We could have a week of cold weather and then go into a firehose situation.Ā I don't have a good feel for that yet.Ā Nina climo does favor a fairly mild November in most cases. 3 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Ā Winter 2023-24 stats Ā Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Ā Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 10 hours ago, Eujunga said: You need to understand that model-riding, like gambling, isn't really about results. It's about the thrill of anticipation. It's about chasing the high. Everyone knows that any given model run showing snow is unlikely to pan out, just as any spin of the roulette wheel is unlikely to come up on your number.Ā The excitement itself is the goal. The next model run to get excited about is never more than 6 hours away, and hey, if the snow and cold it depicts happen to come true, that's just icing on the cake! Absolutely right! I'm from CA originally so I grew up model riding for rain which is really important too. Model riding for Snow is a bit different but same idea. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days withĀ trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Ā 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 41 minutes ago, The Blob said: Look at these weenies down south. I mean in all fairness, 67 in Palm Springs?Ā That's a bit chilly for speedos.Ā Ā 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 31, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 0.07ā so far this eveningā¦rain hasnāt started up bigtime just yet but weāre definitely not being shadowed anymore.Ā 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I have been thinking that a near normal monthly average may not be all that crazy of a call for November on the whole.Ā We could have a week of cold weather and then go into a firehose situation.Ā I don't have a good feel for that yet.Ā Nina climo does favor a fairly mild November in most cases. November can have a way of surprising you regardless of what the LR says.Ā I always look forward to November, it's usually our first dynamic month of the year. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 5 hours ago, Eujunga said: Seems like a lot of arguments on here start when people extrapolate that the weather in their backyard applies to the region as a whole, or when they cherry-pick isolated data points to support a narrative (I'm guilty of this at times). That's when I like to look at the ACIS maps to get a more accurate overall picture of the region. In this case, they verify that the nights this October have overall been on the warm side, and that it has in fact been drier than normal in most of Oregon and Washington (thus supporting my heat/drought narrative). I think Mat and myself were the clear winners for the month in precip. If you see the green line in the Palouse through Garfield and Whitman counties I am right where the darker shade of green meets the light green. This is also interesting because I'm right on the border of snow maps because to the East and South (and North usually but not always) there is usually more and to the west it drops off dramatically towards the Basin.Ā It looks like Tri Cities was also a winner. They are usually shadowed for everything. 2 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days withĀ trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, Randyc321 said: November can have a way of surprising you regardless of what the LR says.Ā I always look forward to November, it's usually our first dynamic month of the year. 2010 was dynamic on steroids. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Ā Winter 2023-24 stats Ā Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Ā Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 The 18z CFS was one of those rare runs where every month Nov - Feb is cold. That reminds me....1978 is showing up as an analog now and that was a rare case of Nov - Jan all being abnormally cold.Ā 1984 has also been there and it was persistently cold. 3 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Ā Winter 2023-24 stats Ā Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Ā Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: 2010 was dynamic on steroids. A true northern blast. Rare. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 00z GFS Day 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Day 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The 18z CFS was one of those rare runs where every month Nov - Feb is cold. That reminds me....1978 is showing up as an analog now and that was a rare case of Nov - Jan all being abnormally cold.Ā 1984 has also been there and it was persistently cold. WOW, would. Ā 1978-12-28 15 -2 6.5 -21.5 58 0 T T 11 1978-12-29 2 -16 -7.0 -35.0 72 0 0.00 0.0 11 1978-12-30 -4 -21 -12.5 -40.6 77 0 0.00 0.0 11 1978-12-31 -5 -22 -13.5 -41. Ā 1979-01-01 2 -22 -10.0 -38.2 75 0 0.00 0.0 11 1979-01-02 11 2 6.5 -21.7 58 0 0.00 0.0 11 1979-01-03 13 1 7.0 -21.3 58 0 T T 11 1979-01-04 17 -2 7.5 -20.9 57 0 0.00 0.0 11 1979-01-05 9 -11 -1.0 -29.5 66 0 0.00 0.0 11 1979-01-06 8 -11 -1.5 -30.1 66 0 0.00 0.0 11 1979-01-07 8 -13 -2.5 -31.2 67 0 0.00 0.0 11 1979-01-08 12 -7 2.5 -26.3 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Day 3 (Past 4 runs) Sorry for the delay. Damn veggies always give me the shits! Damn veggies! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 21 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The 18z CFS was one of those rare runs where every month Nov - Feb is cold. That reminds me....1978 is showing up as an analog now and that was a rare case of Nov - Jan all being abnormally cold.Ā 1984 has also been there and it was persistently cold. At PDX the warmest departure that month was -2.7! 9 subfreezing highs too. And on the 10th, PDX was 32/28 with 1.35" of precip and no snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 00z looks a little faster with the second trough 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Doinko said: At PDX the warmest departure that month was -2.7! 9 subfreezing highs too. And on the 10th, PDX was 32/28 with 1.35" of precip and no snow. ice storm? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Just now, Doinko said: 00z looks a little faster with the second trough Digging off southern Alaska a few notches sooner. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Ā That rain shadow over the Central Sound finally broke down for much of the area. Ā I've still personally had no rain though....Ā 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 3 (Past 4 runs) Sorry for the delay. D**n veggies always give me the shits! D**n veggies! I hope this model run doesn't do the same thing to you. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Just now, Phishy Wx said: ice storm? Yeah it looks like a big one too. SEA was 45/36 on the same day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Sonny Summers said: I hope this model run doesn't do the same thing to you. I'm gonna need a new couch! 00z ECMWF in 1 hour 48 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, NWbyNW said: Ā That rain shadow over the Central Sound finally broke down for much of the area. Ā I've still personally had no rain though....Ā Gotta love a bit of suppression to go from westerly to southwesterly. Rain for everyone. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) I do believe I like these trends so far. Ā 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Day 5.5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by SouthHillFrosty,
Congrats Frosty!!!
Recommended by Meatyorologist
35 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by T-Town,
Incredible tornado footage.
Recommended by Meatyorologist
13 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.