Anti Marine Layer Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 1 hour ago, SouthHillJimmy said: Long time lurker here, decided to make an account and interact. This week will definitely be one hell of a ride! Welcome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 00z ICON Day 4.5 (Past 3 runs) Large shift to the east with the arctic trough. Hmmm... If only the ECMWF follows suit later. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillJimmy Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, Meatyorologist said: Welcome! Joining will most definitely be the worst best decision of your life! One thing I can say from my time lurking, is that the emotional highs and lows are very extreme here on the forum. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z ICON Day 4.5 (Past 3 runs) Large shift to the east with the arctic trough. Hmmm... If only the ECMWF follows suit later. That looks D**n good Rob for us Orygunians. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 16 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Favorable shift on the ICON. The Germans can be trusted again 1 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 00z GFS Day 1: 4 Run Trend: 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 1 hour ago, SouthHillJimmy said: Long time lurker here, decided to make an account and interact. This week will definitely be one hell of a ride! Welcome! Hope it's a fun rollercoaster for you and all of us. You gotta leave while you still can 2 1 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Snownerd3000 said: The Germans can be trusted again We won't know that for about a week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 My wife is watching Edwin Staplerhands. That feller sure loves to turn individual pieces of paper into booklets. Ole Mr. Edwin Staplerhands, he sure knows how to keep that paper from flyin' away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said: You gotta leave while you still can You should have made the front smaller. It's not safe here. Don't let them see this. Warn the others. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 00z GFS Day 2: 4 Run Trend: 1 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, Terreboner said: That looks D**n good Rob for us Orygunians. Orgyunians...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said: Welcome! Hope it's a fun rollercoaster for you and all of us. You gotta leave while you still can 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: Orgyunians...? Apparently you never saw the license plates. And you spelled it wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: You should have made the front smaller. It's not safe here. Don't let them see this. Warn the others. Should the back be smaller too? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 00z GFS Day 3: 4 Run Trend: 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Full on bombogenesis on the 00z GFS. Low bombs to 976mb. Not what you want to see. 1 2 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Yuck 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Oh god. Why did I volunteer for this. This is disgusting. Now *I'm* the one who has to watch this roll out. 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Wednesday doesn’t look good now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 9 minutes ago, Terreboner said: My wife is watching Edwin Staplerhands. That feller sure loves to turn individual pieces of paper into booklets. Ole Mr. Edwin Staplerhands, he sure knows how to keep that paper from flyin' away. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Wow 975mb low now. This could get fugly. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Might honestly pop up a ridge Wednesday if these trends continue 2 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Wow 975mb low now. This could get fugly. A couple days ago models had it at 1015mb South of Astoria. Now it’s 975mb at Queen Charolette Island. 1 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Still showing a Seattle North bullseye with marginal temps. Foothills probably will do good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 00z GFS Day 4: 4 Run Trend: 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Digggggggg!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: Digggggggg!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! It’s digging too much. The energy digging so much SW out of BC is what’s causing the low to strengthen and pop SW flow over us. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Tim gonna get buried. Non event for most of us. Even up here I doubt this rivals early November. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Still not even close to sold on that snowstorm for Seattle. Makes no climatological sense and has no precedent as far as I am aware. Reminds me of the snows predicted for 1/2/2022. 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Checkmate What a waste... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 27, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 It looks like that the PNW is going to be on a insane rollercoaster for the next 5-10 days! Buckle up! It's going to be a wild ride! 2 Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Unironically, it's over. 1 1 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 00z GFS Day 5: 4 Run Trend: 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 The 00z GFS looks incredible tomorrow night for here. It drops 7-12" (5-8" Kuchera) directly over my house. Unfortunately I have no faith in it, but it would be nice if the 36 hour forecast verified. 2 Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 27, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Digggggggg!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Please don't dig down too much like what could happen to you when you do the same thing going straight down in Minecraft! 2 Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 ICON snow by early Thursday morning 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 (edited) 1 minute ago, Skagit Weather said: The 00z GFS looks incredible tomorrow night for here. It drops 7-12" (5-8" Kuchera) directly over my house. Unfortunately I have no faith in it, but it would be nice if the 36 hour forecast verified. Mind posting a map? How does it look just to your south? Edited November 27, 2022 by MossMan Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Big cz at hr 114 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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