Never underestimate the GFS’s ability to cling to a goofy solution until the last possible minute.
And once in a blue moon, the goofy solution is correct. Doesn’t seem likely this go around, but it’s not impossible.
Wasn’t May 1993 ridgy out there too?
Then again, both 1983 and 1993 are crappy analogs because they retained clean niño elements into/through the summer, unlike this year (residual niño LF signal is already imploding and will likely be gone entirely by the solstice).
So a ridgy May this year doesn’t indicate the same thing about the system state that it did in ‘83 and ‘93.
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