SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 00z CFS was decent. We are still 7-10 days from seeing much on GFS runs. I’m rooting for a big trough to carve out and lots of onshore flow. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Friday afternoon 60 burgers are on again! Maybe. At least for Eugene. Most recent ECMWF: Previous: 1 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 7 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Friday afternoon 60 burgers are on again! Maybe. At least for Eugene. Most recent ECMWF: Previous: You spamming these pineapple maps on the forum should be considered a war crime against weather weenies. 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Definitely been pretty meh since Christmas Eve overall…low of 36 this morning with 0.09” of rain since midnight. Only 4 weeks until February! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 7 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: You spamming these pineapple maps on the forum should be considered a war crime against weather weenies. Sometimes I think they should rename this the snow forum. Except torching is relevant for snow, too, because it controls whether we get it or not. Way I see it is, if Team Snow has no potential on the horizon to root for, might as well cheer on Team Pineapple. Anyhow, the GFS has recently been trending torchy for Friday afternoon as well: And it’s not just me. I checked the NWS forecast for Eugene, and their forecast max for Friday has now been bumped into the upper 50’s. The official forecasters recognize the trend, too. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said: Yeah it's showtime here and city officials have asked people to not travel but I'm still seeing cars passing by on the main road behind our house. Kinda stupid if you ask me, but nothing new given past recent storms. Definitely a different mentality around here for snow. While there was still the mad dash at Costco yesterday once word got out, just like at Costcos in the PNW before a storm, for the most part people expect to continue on with their daily lives shortly after the storm rolls through. It's not a "the city will shutdown for a week" type of vibe but instead like a "ok let's dig out and move on" feel. Certainly helps we have the plows and gear to maintain roads better than Seattle but I gotta say, it's kind of fun when the city shuts down because of a snowstorm. I miss it just a bit. This cam is just across the border from Sioux Falls in SW MN... I can see why travel is not advised. 8 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: This cam is just across the border from Sioux Falls in SW MN... I can see why travel is not advised. Brings to mind the opening scene from Fargo. 6 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Looking at the models there are going to be plenty of torch opportunities the next few weeks. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Dropped to 32 before I left for work this morning. Nice to see. Looks like fairly widespread light snow in Eastern Oregon and even the Central Gorge this morning. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 31 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Looking at the models there are going to be plenty of torch opportunities the next few weeks. I get the feeling if we get a good round of snow and cold it’ll end up starting on the night of the 31st…and January spites us again. Last year the goodies ended on January 1st so it’d only be fitting if it went down that way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: This cam is just across the border from Sioux Falls in SW MN... I can see why travel is not advised. Yet people will blame officials when they get caught out in it... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: This cam is just across the border from Sioux Falls in SW MN... I can see why travel is not advised. 1/8 mile visibility with thunder snow in the vicinity of Sioux falls 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 1 minute ago, TacomaWx said: I get the feeling if we get a good round of snow and cold it’ll end up starting on the night of the 31st…and January spites us again. Last year the goodies ended on January 1st so it’d only be fitting if it went down that way. Haha it is possible. Some of the longer range models show some opportunities that final week of the month, but personally I will be gone the 25-30th, so I wouldn't mind if it waits. I do think it is coming though. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 That weekend system looks like the real deal for California. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 9 hours ago, WeatherGeek2022 said: dey stole er weather That's great for CA. Currently it is 29F outside. Cool and overcast. Back to work soon and it feels like a Monday. January is our busiest time. Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 32 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: I get the feeling if we get a good round of snow and cold it’ll end up starting on the night of the 31st…and January spites us again. Last year the goodies ended on January 1st so it’d only be fitting if it went down that way. Probably. I’d bet the next round of cold ends up in the east and then the pattern retrogrades towards late January or early February 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Geez that is a horrendous GFS run. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Happy new year. Had some wet snow last night at 34 degrees. 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 3, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 I set up a led light bar at cabin to shine at night to watch the snow. We had 1 mild day last week then it stayed below freezing the rest of the week. 13 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Confirmed light snowfall at the moment. Kinda strange to see it falling straight down. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, North_County said: Confirmed light snowfall at the moment. Kinda strange to see it falling straight down. It's actually even sticking already, which shocked me a bit. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 (edited) 8 minutes ago, North_County said: It's actually even sticking already, which shocked me a bit. Third and final update. This snowfall rate has really become kind of impressive all of a sudden....all things considered. Much prettier to watch than last month's snow. (You probably have to zoom in a bit to see the actual snowflakes in the second picture) Edited January 3, 2023 by North_County 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 CFS has been quite persistent for this time frame. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 15 minutes ago, Cloud said: CFS has been quite persistent for this time frame. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Looking at ENSO, I think next winter might squeak in a weak Nino. Wouldn't be shocked to see a warm neutral. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Added up the final December stats. We over achieved a little on temps last week, and ended the month with a mean of 36.7, just one tenth of a degree cooler than November. 9.10" of precip, which is a little over 2" below average, and 3.4" of snowfall. We only had 17 freezes, which was a little disappointing after 23 in November, we did not have a freeze the final 8 days of the month. At least we have started January with 3 straight. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 We're getting a few flakes. Wife checked for me and says it's graupel. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Even better positive signs for the PNA drop later in the month over yesterday’s forecast. 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Even better positive signs for the PNA drop later in the month over yesterday’s forecast. Daily fuzz! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Daily fuzz! It’s Baaack!!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Just now, MossMan said: It’s Baaack!!! And its coming! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 The end of the GFS isn't horrible. Just looking at the models though that mid-range is going to be UGLY and has major torch potential in the Willamette Valley. Hard to say which days, but with those fronts splitting offshore and lows moving up the coast to the north, it seems like there will be at least a few days in there when there is sunshine and enough south wind to mix out any inversions. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 All eyes now turn towards the 12z CFS. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 3 hours ago, TacomaWx said: I get the feeling if we get a good round of snow and cold it’ll end up starting on the night of the 31st…and January spites us again. Last year the goodies ended on January 1st so it’d only be fitting if it went down that way. Actually did get some snow in January up this way last year, but it was the slushy, sloppy variety. Even when it was falling it was clear that the cold snap was waning and would soon be over. Agree with your general outlook. Not really expecting this month to deliver much in the way of snow. If it does, it will probably be in the final few days as part of a cold snap that straddles months. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 8 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Actually did get some snow in January up this way last year, but it was the slushy, sloppy variety. Even when it was falling it was clear that the cold snap was waning and would soon be over. Agree with your general outlook. Not really expecting this month to deliver much in the way of snow. If it does, it will probably be in the final few days as part of a cold snap that straddles months. We had some wet snow a couple times in early January last year too…but it never accumulated at my house. Did accumulate down south of here in parkland where I was working though. We will see what happens…I’m pretty content with how this winter has gone even if we don’t see anything in a few weeks (I think we will though) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 R.I.P Ken block. I know many of you don't know who is is but he was one of the best race car drivers in the world, rally car racing and a bunch of other stuff. Lost his life in a snowmobile crash. 1 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 If you get bored you tube him and watch the guy drive, Just incredible. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said: R.I.P Ken block. I know many of you don't know who is is but he was one of the best race car drivers in the world, rally car racing and a bunch of other stuff. Lost his life in a snowmobile crash. My son woke up this morning telling me all about this... I had never heard of him. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: My son woke up this morning telling me all about this... I had never heard of him. Watch some vids Tim, The guy was amazing. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 6 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: R.I.P Ken block. I know many of you don't know who is is but he was one of the best race car drivers in the world, rally car racing and a bunch of other stuff. Lost his life in a snowmobile crash. Dude was a f*ckn legendary driver. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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