SouthHillFrosty Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Another day where western WA enjoys lots of sun while the WV does not... been several such days this month. 2 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Another day where western WA enjoys lots of sun while the WV does not... been several such days this month. WV is really in the score zone for inversions. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 38F and pleasant. Smoking on the porch under a cloudy inversion. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Doinko Posted January 20, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 GEM blasts the region with arctic air and even the Euro brings cold air into the Columbia basin and a chilly easy wind 6 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 You know it’s been a loser winter when a 20 second snow flurry grabs your attention. Haha. Literally the 3rd best snow “event” so far this winter here. I’ve got maybe 0.1” total from all 3 snow showers combined. Only other winters that were *this* bad (to date) in my lifetime are 1997/98, 2006/07, and 2012/13. Even 2011/12 had multiple accumulating snowfalls by now. Both 2006/07 and 2012/13 got better in Feb/Mar. 1997/98 was a suckfest all the way through, finished with < 1”. Hope to not repeat that. 3 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, Phil said: You know it’s been a loser winter when a 20 second snow flurry grabs your attention. Haha. Literally the 3rd best snow “event” so far this winter here. I’ve got maybe 0.1” total from all 3 snow showers combined. Only other winters that were *this* bad (to date) in my lifetime are 1997/98, 2006/07, and 2012/13. Even 2011/12 had multiple accumulating snowfalls by now. Both 2006/07 and 2012/13 got better in Feb/Mar. 1997/98 was a suckfest all the way through, finished with < 1”. Hope to not repeat that. Not much here either. Maybe 0.2" of snow total and then some sleet and ice. What parts of the country have been doing well this winter for snow? The Dakotas and Minnesota? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 5 minutes ago, Phil said: You know it’s been a loser winter when a 20 second snow flurry grabs your attention. Haha. Literally the 3rd best snow “event” so far this winter here. I’ve got maybe 0.1” total from all 3 snow showers combined. Only other winters that were *this* bad (to date) in my lifetime are 1997/98, 2006/07, and 2012/13. Even 2011/12 had multiple accumulating snowfalls by now. Both 2006/07 and 2012/13 got better in Feb/Mar. 1997/98 was a suckfest all the way through, finished with < 1”. Hope to not repeat that. I used to just generally assume everywhere north of Virginia got tons of snow every winter…but there’s been several years where I’ve had more snow than you or other east coast cities. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: I used to just generally assume everywhere north of Virginia got tons of snow every winter…but there’s been several years where I’ve had more snow than you or other east coast cities. I think NYC is snowless on the season so far, I know they were when I was there NYE 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 9 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: I used to just generally assume everywhere north of Virginia got tons of snow every winter…but there’s been several years where I’ve had more snow than you or other east coast cities. Yup, Indianapolis is at like 5" below their normal snowfall for the winter. That should change in Feb-Apr but it's still notable. It won't always be this way. They did however already produce what would be considered an A+ winter for some on here with a 1F/-9F day with an inch of snow on 12/23 and a white Christmas. 5 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: I used to just generally assume everywhere north of Virginia got tons of snow every winter…but there’s been several years where I’ve had more snow than you or other east coast cities. Lol, if only. It is always feast or famine here. Our average snowfall is skewed higher by a small number of very snowy winters. Every decade we get a couple of huge winters, a few average ones, and the other half are a complete suckfest. This one has (so far) fallen into the suckfest category. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: NAM 3km and HRRR aren’t calling for anything in the lowlands tomorrow, but HRDPS is. 2nd shade of grey! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: Yup, Indianapolis is at like 5" below their normal snowfall for the winter. That should change in Feb-Apr but it's still notable. It won't always be this way. The Ohio Valley will almost always get interesting winter weather. Much harder on this side of the appalachians. That bomb cyclone in December delivered a solid snowfall to Timmysupercell, but the terrain ate it all up before it reached here. Had a brief snow squall with the arctic front that whitened the ground, but the ferocious winds blew it all away in 10 mins. It blew so hard you just knew its sole mission was to remove any hint of snow cover. 2 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 minute ago, Phil said: The Ohio Valley will almost always get interesting winter weather. Much harder on this side of the appalachians. That bomb cyclone in December delivered a solid snowfall to Timmysupercell, but the terrain ate it all up before it reached here. Had a brief snow squall with the arctic front that whitened the ground, but the ferocious winds blew it all away in 10 mins. It blew so hard you just knew its sole mission was to remove any hint of snow cover. When was the last really big storm there? January 2016? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 13 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: I think NYC is snowless on the season so far, I know they were when I was there NYE That makes me feel at bit better. Lol. If we got snow as often as we got these roaring downslope winds, this place would look like Buffalo NY. Been happening so often this year that NWS stopped issuing wind advisories for gusts under 55mph. Everyone is acclimated to it now. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 48 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Another day where western WA enjoys lots of sun while the WV does not... been several such days this month. Pretty sunny here 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, Doinko said: When was the last really big storm there? January 2016? That was the last top notch blizzard, yes. And that was one of our warmest winters on record, lol. A storm dropped 13” in January 2019, and two back to back storms dropped 16” in January 2022, but those are more typical, and both were also warmer than average winters overall. Our last colder than average winter was 2014/15. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 minute ago, Terreboner2 said: I must've got lucky then the year and a half I lived in N. Virginia/D.C. area. Got hit by a monster NorEaster in 1999 that dropped 22" in Herndon, near Dulles airport where I lived. I believe that was January 2000. I don’t remember it being that much though, more like 10-15”? That winter was also warmer than average and snowfall finished near average regionwide. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said: That's a very good signal that far out. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: That's a very good signal that far out. It is, I am just being a weather weenie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Watching for snowflakes tomorrow. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: 38F and pleasant. Smoking on the porch under a cloudy inversion. I've noticed no matter the temperature or overall weather, your observations include "pleasant" if you're smoking. 1 2 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Phil said: You know it’s been a loser winter when a 20 second snow flurry grabs your attention. Haha. Literally the 3rd best snow “event” so far this winter here. I’ve got maybe 0.1” total from all 3 snow showers combined. Only other winters that were *this* bad (to date) in my lifetime are 1997/98, 2006/07, and 2012/13. Even 2011/12 had multiple accumulating snowfalls by now. Both 2006/07 and 2012/13 got better in Feb/Mar. 1997/98 was a suckfest all the way through, finished with < 1”. Hope to not repeat that. My guess is this winter ends up something like 2006-07 for you. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Doinko said: Not much here either. Maybe 0.2" of snow total and then some sleet and ice. What parts of the country have been doing well this winter for snow? The Dakotas and Minnesota? Much of the West did great in November/December. Sierras have had a huge snow year so far. Locally, we're running a little bit above average to this point for snowfall, but could be well above average by this time next week. 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 As of right now, I am giving this winter a D-. 1 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: My guess is this winter ends up something like 2006-07 for you. I’d take that. Though February is usually a difficult month here during La Niña. I’m banking on March. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 winter cancelled until further notice 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 I don’t know why, I just can’t get on board until GFS shows something. 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 6 hours ago, Kayla said: Congrats on the new job! I've been interviewing for several new work opportunities. Might be headed to SE Alaska this spring for the summer! Thanks. It is fully remote so it is definitely giving me some tempting relocation ideas, but we'll see as I get more acclimated. SE AK would be fun. Ideal summer weather, long days and not hot! 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Dramatic improvement with the 12z ECMWF with the ridge merger, amplification of the block, did away with that nagging cut-off low quickly, and was not too far from moving into an arctic pattern in 7-9 days. The GFS Op is still lost, tragically so. GEFS, CMCE, EPS all fairly similar with handling of the block and its axis. Cautiously optimistic. 00z GFS in 4 hours 28 minutes 00z ECMWF in 6 hours 38 minutes 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Dramatic improvement with the 12z ECMWF with the ridge merger, amplification of the block, did away with that nagging cut-off low quickly, and was not too far from moving into an arctic pattern in 7-9 days. The GFS Op is still lost, tragically so. GEFS, CMCE, EPS all fairly similar with handling of the block and its axis. Cautiously optimistic. 00z GFS in 4 hours 28 minutes 00z ECMWF in 6 hours 38 minutes EPS was meh. Still a chance. A slight adjustment and we get hammered. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: EPS was meh. Still a chance. A slight adjustment and we get hammered. Quite a good chance if you ask me, which you were not, BUT yeah if you were. I'd even hoist a lofty ~25-30% this early in the game. Of course that still means we end up with a likelihood of a ~70-75% chance of nothing. 00z NAM in 2 hours 17 minutes (Who's staying up?) 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: Quite a good chance if you ask me, which you were not, BUT yeah if you were. I'd even hoist a lofty ~25-30% this early in the game. Of course that still means we end up with a likelihood of a ~70-75% chance of nothing. 00z NAM in 2 hours 17 minutes (Who's staying up?) I agree with those odds. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 49 minutes ago, Phil said: I’d take that. Though February is usually a difficult month here during La Niña. I’m banking on March. Interisting that Larry Cosgrove and Justin Berk both went cold snowy herr for febuary which gos against the La nina climo but then again they both went for the not typical La nina winter idea so we will see. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 This feels like 10+ runs in a row that GFS Op diverges from the mean right around the 28th and is warmer than just about every ensemble member every run 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 hours ago, Phishy Wx said: bookend winter snowy > thaw > snowy at least over on this side My wife's still mad about the fun snow we got in April due to messing with her plants. 3 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 minute ago, RentonHill said: This feels like 10+ runs in a row that GFS Op diverges from the mean right around the 28th and is warmer than just about every ensemble member every run I think there was one good GFS OP. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Little colder on GEFS. 4 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just now, Slushy Inch said: I think there was one good GFS OP. ya...yesterdays 12z sort of looks like what GEM and Euro are trying to show 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just now, RentonHill said: ya...yesterdays 12z sort of looks like what GEM and Euro are trying to show Looks just like Euro control but farther east. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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