Really, really lovely cumulonimbus action tonight! I just happened to have my drone in the car and got some solid shots of DT Seattle/Lake Washington/Mercer Island/Bellevue looking north from Skyway. Alas, the focal length of the lens doesn't do the vertical height justice and my WB was off rendering it into semi-gross HDR territory, but still... fun looking weather! It was quite windy- I was flying right at 390 ft and the drone was giving me all sorts of warnings about sustained winds/gusts.
A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.
NBM is quite an interesting product! Their weighting algorithm is moderately complex and dynamic, though does has some drawbacks as we saw yesterday. For those who don't know, NBM is an attempt by NOAA to create a super probabilistic forecast model that ingests output from all the models above and outputs forecast guidance for local offices that help them to gauge the relative odds of particular weather outcomes. The 'special sauce' is the post-processing, normalization and weighting that they d
Yes, when Israel supporters talk about Israel’s “existential crisis,” they have it exactly backwards. Palestine is the nation experiencing an existential crisis. Has been for about 75 years
Israel’s continued existence is not in immediate jeopardy; they have a nuclear arsenal and the strongest military in the region. Israel does sometimes suffer security crises (see Oct. 7th), but those, bad though they may be, fall short of threatening the continued existence of Israel and thus are not existential crises by any common definition of the word “existential.”
We’ll see. Light precipitation events in spring almost always go the opposite way, the models have over predicted every single storm this spring at my location. The bigger one in late April was the only one that came close to the forecast.
Its essentially a deformation zone tomorrow on the north side of the ULL to the south... and deformation zones often end up farther north than the models indicate.
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