PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Currently 4 at Santiam Pass, 11 at Government Camp. 

[Phil]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Looks like a March 2012 pattern at first glance.

I’m hopeful there will be more blocking to neuter any attempt at a plains ridge. If not, then I’ll have to stock up on booze.

Would add insult to injury if we wasted our final weeks before swamp season on a blowtorch. Because the next 5 months are guaranteed to be hot/muggy.

[WeatherGeek2022]

Just now, Phil said:

I’m hopeful there will be more blocking to neuter any attempt at a plains ridge. If not, then I’ll have to stock up on booze.

Would add insult to injury if we wasted our final weeks before swamp season on a blowtorch. Because the next 5 months are guaranteed to be hot/muggy.

nonsense we are going to be in the 50s all the way to june this year don't you worry.

[Doinko]

Still 29 at PDX

[Doinko]

Corvallis could be seeing something

[Doinko]

Hillsboro is down to 27 degrees and reporting blowing snow

[Phil]

The SSW and associated MC acceleration has fully mobilized the MJO. Big WWB projected by the EPS.

Of course this will be followed by a trade burst, but this should be enough to trigger a downwelling OKW and quickly terminate the La Niña.

[GHweatherChris]

I was in the verge of bumping my winter grade up to a D-, but the temp got up to 36 and over half our snow is gone and it is drippy out there.  Still an F.

[Gradient Keeper]

Strongest winds of the day now ripping through the metro are even well up into Clark County.

18z GEFS far snowier through Tuesday 4 AM.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

15 minutes ago, Doinko said:

DANG 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

I was in the verge of bumping my winter grade up to a D-, but the temp got up to 36 and over half our snow is gone and it is drippy out there.  Still an F.

Definitely an A here. 3 separate snowfalls and a sub freezing high is pretty top notch for here.

[Doinko]

Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

Strongest winds of the day now ripping through the metro are even well up into Clark County.

18z GEFS far snowier through Tuesday 4 AM.

Gusts probably in the 40-50mph range right now. Keeping it cooler though, temps are still in mid-upper 20s

[Phil]

New EPS weeklies get VERY cold at Judah’s house in mid-March.  

[Gradient Keeper]

But Wait!
....There's MORE!!!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

New EPS weeklies get VERY cold at Judah’s house in mid-March.  

Sounds like Tim will be happy. 

[TT-SEA]

New ECMWF weeklies... maybe a return to something a little closer to normal eventually?    Maybe the cold is not just entirely focused in the west?

[TT-SEA]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Sounds like Tim will be happy. 

Maybe you will be as well by that point?   

[Omegaraptor]

Snow coming down here!

[Doinko]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

WOW

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, Phil said:

New EPS weeklies get VERY cold at Judah’s house in mid-March.  

Perfect, he can have it then! I will be ready for some sun and warmth by then! 

[WeatherGeek2022]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

WOW

lets go game on for march madness.

[MillCreekMike]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Perfect, he can have it then! I will be ready for some sun and warmth by then! 

Same. I’m full go ready for spring after the first week of March when it looks like this cold spell with snow chances will be wrapping up!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Corvallis getting ROCKED.

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2022 said:

lets go game on for march madness.

Hoping the cold goes well into April and May!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

32 with light snow at 3pm at Brookings. LOL

[Rubus Leucodermis]

11 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Definitely an A here. 3 separate snowfalls and a sub freezing high is pretty top notch for here.

Solid B+ here but if it's anywhere near as snowy as the models allege it will soon be it will move into A+ territory easily.

[Cascadia_Wx]

22 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Still 29 at PDX

Looks like they could pull off an afternoon high in the 20s. Top tier for late February.

[Doinko]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Corvallis getting ROCKED.

Temp went from 40 to 34 in 10 minutes

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Solid B+ here but if it's anywhere near as snowy as the models allege it will soon be it will move into A+ territory easily.

I just cannot get that horrorfest that was the timeframe between the the end of December and the end of January out of my mind…Otherwise I would also Grade an A or A+ 

For now I am sticking with an A-

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Temp went from 40 to 34 in 10 minutes

I am in Albany right now, we had a light grapuel shower about 30 mins ago.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I just cannot get that horrorfest that was the timeframe between the the end of December and the end of January out of my mind…Otherwise I would also Grade an A or A+ 

For now I am sticking with an A-

In order to get an A from me a winter has to have a low in the single digits Fahrenheit or a storm total snowfall of 12" or more, and this winter has fallen just short on both marks. But I will give extra credit for any winter that has 30" or more of total snowfall, and that would get this one to an A+ if such credit is earned.

[NWbyNW]

They are expecting some snow in Western Washington this weekend.  Here are some predicted accumulations by Sunday morning.

 

[SouthHillFrosty]

This winter is tough to grade. My deepest snow depth is 4in but that was a run over event that turned to rain and washed away my snow. However, I have a szn total of 15.5in also…..  However 80% of that was .2in snow events that added up. 
 

A very weird winter tbh 

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

This winter is tough to grade. My deepest snow depth is 4in but that was a run over event that turned to rain and washed away my snow. However, I have a szn total of 15.5in also…..  However 80% of that was .2in snow events that added up. 
 

A very weird winter tbh 

I can’t believe you have that much total. I’ve had like maybe 3 inches max total

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Not sure what to think about the forecast lows tonight. Will be fun to track!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

22 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

New ECMWF weeklies... maybe a return to something a little closer to normal eventually?    Maybe the cold is not just entirely focused in the west?

Can you make it go faster??

[WeatherGeek2022]

2 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

They are expecting some snow in Western Washington this weekend.  Here are some predicted accumulations by Sunday morning.

 

lol those are insultingly low but I guess cautiousness is necessary

[Doinko]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

This winter is tough to grade. My deepest snow depth is 4in but that was a run over event that turned to rain and washed away my snow. However, I have a szn total of 15.5in also…..  However 80% of that was .2in snow events that added up. 
 

A very weird winter tbh 

I'd probably give it a B+ or A-. Not a crazy amount of snow but we had the chilly November, some snow in early December, the arctic blast in late December and ice storm. Late January we had that small cold wave, some snow in mid February and then of course this amazing blizzard and (most likely) a subfreezing high in late Feb.

[lowlandsnow]

The lack of any good snowstorm so far makes this winter a C 

[MossMan]

Think I am around 16” or so for the season, way lower than the past several seasons but hopefully we can add to it over the next week or two! 

[Cold Snap]

4 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

They are expecting some snow in Western Washington this weekend.  Here are some predicted accumulations by Sunday morning.

 

Looks underdone compared to the models.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

5 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

They are expecting some snow in Western Washington this weekend.  Here are some predicted accumulations by Sunday morning.

 

Who did this one? 1.3 at shelton? HAhahahahaha. Ok, try 5.3 that might be close. Is there even a model that is showing only 1.3?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Think I am around 16” or so for the season, way lower than the past several seasons but hopefully we can add to it over the next week or two! 

38 here! 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Can you make it go faster??

I wish I could make time to go faster.   

That is just the default setting on WB for loops... but I could slow it down if you want. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

I wish I could make time to go faster.   

That is just the default setting on WB for loops... but I could slow it down if you want. 

Why do you want time to go faster?

[Doinko]

Snow totals from the snowstorm:
Text Products for PNS Issued by PQR (weather.gov)

[SouthHillFrosty]

6 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

I can’t believe you have that much total. I’ve had like maybe 3 inches max total

Yea I can’t complain

 

Snow 2022/2023

 

11/29: 1.5in

11/30-12/1: 3in

12/2 morning: .5in 

12/2-12/3: 4in

12/4: 2in

12/18: .2in

12/19: .2in

12/20: .6in

12/21: .3in

1/21: Trace 

1/28: .2in

1/31: Trace 

2/13: 3in

2/22: Flurries

 

Szn total: 15.5in

 

Max snow depth: 4in

[Doinko]

We're up to 7" on the season. Not bad at all

12/4: 0.2"
12/22: 0.3" (sleet)
2/14: 0.5"
2/22: 2"
2/23: 4"

[SnarkyGoblin]

40 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

I was in the verge of bumping my winter grade up to a D-, but the temp got up to 36 and over half our snow is gone and it is drippy out there.  Still an F.

I think your scale is off.  What grade would you give for a snowless winter?