TT-SEA Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 But everywhere you stated is in "our region". To each their own I guess.Yep. Many times we have included all of ID and western MT when talking about regionally cold or warm seasons in the PNW. Phil and Jared have done this many times when making a "regional" point they want to make at the time. I was told many times that the summer of 2016 was cold across the PNW "region" which at that time included places like Boise and Missoula. Jesse feels surrounded by drought. We are definitely not surrounded by drought up here... its something we hear about happening down south. Like we hear about CA drought all the time as well. It will pass. Texas and Georgia were in catastrophic drought a few years back... now its normal there again. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Rain is definitely busting here in Portland, I doubt we will hit expected totals. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 The fv3-gfs shows an interesting setup this weekend. It appears to show snow down to the lowest levels in nw Oregon and sw wa. A low moves in from the west and I’m guessing the lack of S wind and an offshore component are good enough for snow! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 The fv3-gfs shows an interesting setup this weekend. It appears to show snow down to the lowest levels in nw Oregon and sw wa. A low moves in from the west and I’m guessing the lack of S wind and an offshore component are good enough for snow!Excellent guess! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Rain is definitely busting here in Portland, I doubt we will hit expected totals.It’s been raining pretty steadily here for the last few hours with plenty more to come. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Yep. Many times we have included all of ID and western MT when talking about regionally cold or warm seasons in the PNW. Phil and Jared have done this many times when making a "regional" point they want to make at the time. I was told many times that the summer of 2016 was cold across the PNW "region" which at that time included places like Boise and Missoula. Jesse feels surrounded by drought. We are definitely not surrounded by drought up here... its something we hear about happening down south. Like we hear about CA drought all the time as well. It will pass. Texas and Georgia were in catastrophic drought a few years back... now its normal there again.Narratives!!!! Spin the data to match the feelings..... weird! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Yep. Many times we have included all of ID and western MT when talking about regionally cold or warm seasons in the PNW. Phil and Jared have done this many times when making a "regional" point they want to make at the time. I was told many times that the summer of 2016 was cold across the PNW "region" which at that time included places like Boise and Missoula. Jesse feels surrounded by drought. We are definitely not surrounded by drought up here... its something we hear about happening down south. Like we hear about CA drought all the time as well. It will pass. Texas and Georgia were in catastrophic drought a few years back... now its normal there again.I’ll be sure to remind you of the impressively stoic perspective you have regarding historic regional drought next time we see a period of slightly above average rainfall in the warm season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 I’ll be sure to remind you of the impressively stoic perspective you have regarding historic drought next time we see a period slightly above average rainfall in the warm season. Do not get in between a man and his yacht! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Rain is definitely busting here in Portland, I doubt we will hit expected totals.Been raining steadily for awhile here. Seems on track for an inch or so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Been raining steadily for awhile here. Seems on track for an inch or so. Maybe I'm looking at the radar wrong. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Euro sure digs that cold way south in the middle of the country. Negative 850 temps all the way into mexico Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Maybe I'm looking at the radar wrong.Possible. Watch out for those droughty yellows and oranges. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 I’ll be sure to remind you of the impressively stoic perspective you have regarding historic drought next time we see a period of slightly above average rainfall in the warm season. You would do that regardless. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Do not get in between a man and his yacht! Calling our boat a yacht is like calling my son's high mileage 2007 Outback a Rolls Royce! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 You would do that regardless. I was thinking the other day. You’ve got to be close to 50 years old now. You were only 6-8 years older than I am now when I first joined this forum. Hard to believe... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 I was thinking the other day. You’ve got to be close to 50 years old now. You were only 6-8 years older than I am now when I first joined this forum. Hard to believe... Time goes by. The 80s are now the equivalent of what the 60s were when we were young. It's been 10 years since December 2008. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Looking at the radar, definitely some shadowing going on in the valley. When I looked at the radar earlier I thought a big break in the rain was coming, but it keeps filling in. Only 0.20" so far. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 27, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Time goes by. The 80s are now the equivalent of what the 60s were when we were young. It's been 10 years since December 2008. Hard to believe the June t'storm outbreak was almost a full decade ago. I can still feel the excitement of tracking those storms and looking at those skies through my veins like it was sooner than that. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 What is with the NAM and wind? It is forecasting gusts of 40 in PDX in the coming hours. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 I was thinking the other day. You’ve got to be close to 50 years old now. You were only 6-8 years older than I am now when I first joined this forum. Hard to believe... Not until the next ice age begins. Don't rush me! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Time goes by. The 80s are now the equivalent of what the 60s were when we were young. It's been 10 years since December 2008. Most of the babies born in 2003 are driving around now with their learners permit. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Time goes by. The 80s are now the equivalent of what the 60s were when we were young. It's been 10 years since December 2008. The Moon landing is older now than the Wright Brothers' first flight was when we went to the moon. And the kindergarten class I first worked with my senior year of high school are in high school themselves now. Crazy. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 EUG currently at 62 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 EUG currently at 6220 years ago they were at 42. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 00Z ECMWF is pretty much dry up here from Thursday through almost the end of the run (days 3-9). Weak system comes through on the morning of day 10. It also shows a very weak system sliding through Oregon on Friday and afternoon and evening... otherwise the same down there. Total snow over the next 10 days: I actually went through each 6-hour period trying to find that dusting of snow in Portland and it does not show up on any frame yet its there on the 10-day total. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Not until the next ice age begins. Don't rush me!Maybe by then you will finally outgrow petty weather wars. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Maybe by then you will finally outgrow petty weather wars. I have given up waiting for you to outgrow it! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 I have given up waiting for you to outgrow it!When you were my age you were still nearly half a decade away from the tantrums of ‘06. I think I’ll be ok. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 00Z ECMWF is pretty much dry up here from Thursday through almost the end of the run (days 3-9). Weak system comes through on the morning of day 10. It also shows a very weak system sliding through Oregon on Friday and afternoon and evening... otherwise the same down there. Total snow over the next 10 days: I actually went through each 6-hour period trying to find that dusting of snow in Portland and it does not show up on any frame yet its there on the 10-day total. Interesting. But you know how skeptical I was of the snow it showed for Pullman last week and we all know how that turned out! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 00z ensembles really weren’t that bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 00z ensembles really weren’t that bad. No, they are actually quite decent. Our expectations are probably a bit high right now. What we are going to see coming up will be decent. Really no reason for anyone to worry. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 No, they are actually quite decent. Our expectations are probably a bit high right now. What we are going to see coming up will be decent. Really no reason for anyone to worry.My expectations are probably the lowest they’ve been for awhile right now, but that’s kind of a good thing. You enjoy the little stuff more, like tonight’s seasonable front. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 00Z EPS: 5-10 day period... 10-15 day period... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 00Z EPS: 5-10 day period... 10-15 day period... Looks like the GFS. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 The Moon landing is older now than the Wright Brothers' first flight was when we went to the moon. And the kindergarten class I first worked with my senior year of high school are in high school themselves now. Crazy.Not quite, 1969 is only 49 years ago and the flight at Kitty Hawk was in 1903. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 27, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Incoming... http://i63.tinypic.com/x2qhw7.jpg Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 I really hope it snows before Christmas this year... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Finally a normal front for November. 0.29" yesterday and 0.45" so far today. Warm out there this morning with a high of 56 so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 You all can thank me now, I am having surgery on my back on 12/6, guarenteed goodies of the winter weather variety will occur shortly after that day while I am recovering and cannot enjoy it myself!!I hope all goes well. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2018 Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 I had my surgery in May! Mine was to re-attach my Achilles tendon. PT said I am now okay to jump around in the snow. Must mean something! Although they say I am getting too old now to really jump around like I used too so maybe not as much snow:(. Maybe my age is tied to global warming...That’s a b*tch. How did you rupture it? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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