Popular Post Iceresistance Posted March 4 Popular Post Report Share Posted March 4 A multi-storm event is possible across the plains for a whole week! For the first part, heavy rain and snow are possible. Those who may get the heavy rain: @Black Hole, @OKwx2k4, @Iceresistance (me), and @Andie. Those who may get snow are @CentralNebWeather, @Tom, @OmahaSnowFan, @gabel23, @Clinton (rain and snow possible for you), @Hawkeye, @Niko, @hawkstwelve, and those who I can't mention. Several days out, but this is looking crazy! 10 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 Again? Here we go. Only day forecast for rain at this time is Wednesday and that’s 50%. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 5 Author Report Share Posted March 5 44 minutes ago, Andie said: Again? Here we go. Only day forecast for rain at this time is Wednesday and that’s 50%. Well, the WPC shows otherwise, need the rain to keep away the drought! Also looks like it could either trend north or south, it does have a bad tendency to trend west now that the La Nina is dying. 2 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 Shouldn’t complain even a little. We should take it while we can. There was property damage in this recent one. Top wind speed recorded was a 114 mph gust. Pretty tough storm. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 5 Author Report Share Posted March 5 8 minutes ago, Andie said: Shouldn’t complain even a little. We should take it while we can. There was property damage in this recent one. Top wind speed recorded was a 114 mph gust. Pretty tough storm. 80 in DFW, I think the 114 was West Memphis from February. Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 I mean, not gonna lie... This is starting to look pretty dang nice. Always good to have the EPS on your side and it's trending quite well for the Northern Plains at the moment. 3 Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 GFS does seem to be trending a bit further south over the past couple runs. 2 Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 Area blackout tonight. I think all that lightning weakened a relay or something and it finally croaked. 2 hrs later we were back in business. Not bad for a big city. 59 currently. 77 tomorrow. Sunny. Should be gorgeous! 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 Nice improvement for Iowa folks on the 00z GEFS. 2 Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 It appears the models are suggesting a general I-80 on north significant snow event but the caveat may be a trend towards a weaker system. Although, it's still a wide swath of heavy snow. 00z EPS snow mean... 0z CMCE... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 0z UKIE... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 0z GEFS...not a bad looking "share the wealth"... 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 Slight bettering of trends for Iowa and E NE folks on the NBM over the past couple runs. 2 Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 GFS looks fun Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 This storm has went from 50”, clown numbers, to basically nothing in 2 days of models. I really hope we can get moisture out of it in some form. There are parts of the Central Plains really struggling with rainfall deficits. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 5 Author Report Share Posted March 5 2 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: This storm has went from 50”, clown numbers, to basically nothing in 2 days of models. I really hope we can get moisture out of it in some form. There are parts of the Central Plains really struggling with rainfall deficits. The GFS is refusing to give up, it has 8 inches of snow for your area when the storm-after-storm pattern is done. 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 12z UK 1 1 Quote season snowfall: 29.3" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 30 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: The GFS is refusing to give up, it has 8 inches of snow for your area when the storm-after-storm pattern is done. We’ll see what occurs. NWS Hastings has pretty much given up on it, saying it will keep heading north. Model trends today seem to back them up. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 12z Euro sure is different. More of an open wave than a strong closed low. 1 Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 The Euro just has some nuisance wet snow and around here that won't accumulate much. 1 Quote season snowfall: 29.3" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 5 Author Report Share Posted March 5 Even the EPS (Euro Ensembles) does not agree with the OP Euro Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 1 hour ago, Iceresistance said: Even the EPS (Euro Ensembles) does not agree with the OP Euro But it has been trending weaker and closer to the new OP solution. 1 1 Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 5 Author Report Share Posted March 5 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: But it has been trending weaker and closer to the new OP solution. Fooey! I forget the trends! (Facepalm reaction is on myself, not you) Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 All my weather apps decreasing snow and rain chances. This escalated quickly and not in a good way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 5 Author Report Share Posted March 5 25 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: All my weather apps decreasing snow and rain chances. This escalated quickly and not in a good way. That has escalated drier, hopefully, the models can trend this stronger again. It could be just windshield wiper fashion in terms of strength. 1 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 Icon looks a lot like the euro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 5 Report Share Posted March 5 18z gfs brings in a secondary system a day or two after Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 GFS coming in really good for Iowa, minny and WI Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 0z GFS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 0z GEM pretty similar to GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 GFS brings in another system two days later again with a drawn out light snow system that adds up. Looks like some LE snow in eastern WI as low passes by to the south Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 GEM also shows that second system with a sub 998 low in central IL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 Some 6-7" totals are being reported in the sw MSP area where heavy bands have been parked late this evening. 1 Quote season snowfall: 29.3" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 6z GFS/ICON Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 Well, some of the models are pretty juiced up over the span of the next 7-10 day in the snow dept. I posted a graphic in the March Discussion of the "haves and have not's". Does the pattern continue or will nature TRY to share some snow wealth?? 0z Euro...seems like the only model that's not as amped/juiced but still mirrors a similar storm track for the weekend Pre St. Patty Day event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 0z UKIE... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 0z Euro Control....just like some of you who have these "imaginary" cut-off's, we have them here to...as they say, "the cheddar curtain" may be that battle zone around here. 0z GEFS... 0z CMCE... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 0z EPS... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 Man, this thing has quickly turned into a 'no big deal' on the Euro and EPS. 4 inches on the OP and a mean of 5 on the EPS. What a huge change from just two days ago. Wow. 1 Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 You can see the weakening on the Canadian as well. Luckily it looks like we have three separate systems (Tues/Wed, Thurs/Fri, Sat/Sun) so hopefully if the main one is a dud the other two can overperform to make up for it. The weekend one in particular is starting to look a bit more interesting. Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 haven't been out yet, but looks like 5 ir 6" last night 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 The GFS is running really slow this morning. Quote Season Snowfall: ~ 20.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 GFS for Thursday into Thursday night. Colder in Iowa, further south. 2 1 Quote Season Snowfall: ~ 20.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 Gfs with 12-18 across most of southern WI for the first system Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 This now covers most of the storm. 1 Quote Season Snowfall: ~ 20.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 6 Report Share Posted March 6 The snow depth change is likely more accurate. Unfortunately, that causes the southern edge totals to drop way down. The latest GFS is south, but it still has the 500 mb low tracking right over me. I need it to track through southern Iowa. 2 Quote season snowfall: 29.3" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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