Jump to content
The Weather Forums

3/5 to 3/14 - Classic Multi-storm event for the first half of March


Recommended Posts

50 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

18z Euro a slight improvement for FSD, MN, and WI through Friday AM.

trend-ecmwf_full-2023030818-f045.snku_acc-imp.us_mw.gif

The Euro shows a clear trend toward lifting the best snow northeastward, mostly out of Iowa.

The DMX snow graphic has 4-8" from Ames to Fort Dodge.  The Euro has 1-2". 

season snowfall: 29.3"

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Both SMI offices with good AFD's this pm. Solid to high-end WWA most likely scenario. After last week's intensity, this won't seem as good as it actually looks to be via better temps, and overnight timing. 

  • Like 1

Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, tStacsh said:

March snow.  meh.   Temps should run in the upper 20's here though, so should be a decent snow event.  

image.png.f94c336b45a60722860d10321ea091fe.png

 

 

 

 

And just like that the heaviest snow shifted south. 1-3”.  Yawn.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

@gimmesnow@MKEstormlook like they will score nicely with the added Lehs bonus...

Quote
Although temperatures will initially be mild, temp profiles will
quickly cool down late today and support all snow with SLR ratios
increasing to 10-12 to 1 during the heaviest burst of snow. Our
snowfall forecast is 6-9 inches, locally more, for the lake
counties including Washington and Waukesha where lake enhancement
will reach. A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for 6 PM today
until 10 AM Fri for this area. Elsewhere across srn WI, 4-7
inches is fcst and is a borderline warning situation, but roads
may not become snow covered until late afternoon or early evening
with only lgt snow remaining for the Fri AM commute.

 

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Light snow started here around 11 last night and is continuing this morning. Not much more than a strong dusting covering the ground so far. Temp at 28.

NWS FSD still calling for 3-5 here by tonight. Seems like latest model guidance is settling between 3-4 inches. Just enough for a nice coating on everything but not too disruptive. I'll take it.

  • Snow 1

Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

NAM, 3kNAM, FV3

I doubt the NWS would issue winter storm warnings in Iowa if they got a do-over.

image.thumb.png.9a73c41171b43249fae76165acda14eb.png

image.thumb.png.f68db91ae98ab2f3533a0182769a82ff.png

image.thumb.png.427c4122a7a25b630578fdf2b18ba2dd.png

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 29.3"

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This snowstorm coming for S MI is looking pretty decent. Accumulations will be enough to shovel once again. At this rate, I would not be surprised to get to near average snowfall, if we get another  one down the road, but should be a close call. Where was this active wintry stuff back in January or February. Anyways, this will be a fast mover, but will make for hazardous driving conditions. 

  • Like 2
  • Snow 1

Snowfall for Winter 2022 -23 for Metro Detroit Area

Oct'22:  Trace / Normal is 0.0"

Nov'22:  2.5" Below Average /Normal is 2.9"

Dec'22:  5.0" Below Average / Normal is 8.5"

Jan'23:  11.2" Below Average / Normal is 14.3"

Feb '23:  2.2"  Well Below Average / Normal is 18.4"

March '23: 16.1" Above Average / Normal is 5.0"

(Season is @ 37.0")

Link to comment
Share on other sites

00z and 06z Euro are going to be off on their totals for FSD. Both runs showed almost 2 inches by 9AM when in reality we are barely at a half inch. GFS showed about an inch and half. Might indicate an underperformance, which it seems the NWS is thinking as well as they just lowered totals to 1-4 inches. Looks like a heavier batch of precip might be moving through shortly. Hopefully we can at least get over 2 inches by the time all is said and done tonight.

What a flop this has become from what it appeared to be just a few days ago. Went from multiple models and ensembles showing 12-20 inches to now just hoping for 2. Kinda lame but tough to complain given how the season has played out so far up here. 

  • Like 4

Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Picked up about an inch of slushy snow this morning in Southwest Omaha. It was just enough to provide a nice wintry scene around here without causing any major issues on the roads… and it will be mostly melted and gone by the end of the day today.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12z GFS

Just about all models have shifted the best snow out of the northern Iowa warning area and into southeast Iowa.

image.thumb.png.1411701939cc398b9b79f7d3fca54a85.png

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 29.3"

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1.7 inches of rain so far, this is from the ENTIRE system.

 

The funny part is that it's the bullseye in Pott. County, OK

  • Like 1
  • Rain 1

Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Tom said:

@gimmesnow@MKEstormlook like they will score nicely with the added Lehs bonus...

 

 

This has a lot of potential. If they are counting for 4-7 on warm ground where most of it will melt, the ski hills will see a lot of snow because it'll be falling on existing snow and the trees will trap it. Looks like Ski Patrol shift tomorrow will be quite fun, dead in the morning and fresh snow for me. Nice for winter to go out with a bang here instead of a soft wimper.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I posted this in the wrong thread so I moved it here though this was awhile ago and now I'm up to around 1" of snow. Not sure how much more will accumulate since it's 33° and rates have slowed down a bit.

 

Earlier.......Have heavy snow here currently and it starting to accumulate on the grass even though soil temperatures are in the upper 30⁰s. It started off as a trace of rain/sleet mix, then after a bit it came in like waves of light to heavy snow showers which I could see coming across the fields. It's consistent now though. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The back end of the system is already pushing through Des Moines.  Unless more develops behind it (which some models are showing) this will end much quicker than anticipated as well.  At least the heavier rates will.  

  • Like 1

Season Snowfall: ~ 20.00"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm at 1.8 inches (fell in about 90 minutes).  The rate has dropped quite a bit after the initial heavy burst.  The latest HRRR shows solid snow filling in early this afternoon for a couple hours, but then becomes pretty light after that.

  • Like 2

season snowfall: 29.3"

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, james1976 said:

Light snow and 35° up here in the TC. Forecast is 3-6"

Some dry air moving in. Going to be tough to even reach 3” with the way the radar is looking. NWS may have jumped the gun with a WWA.  We’ll see what happens this evening once the sun goes down. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

FSD has recorded 1.2" so far but that must be a fairly generous measurement. I'm only about 15 mins SSW of there and the sloppy 3/4 inch I had accumulated has now mostly melted as the temp has risen to 33 degrees.

They're calling for another 1-2 inches by 6PM but I'm not holding my breath. It's become increasingly apparent that about the only thing this "storm" will be good for is having very light daytime snow falling all day, which is nice in it's own right. Otherwise, big time flop. 

  • Like 1
  • Sad 1

Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just measured again and surprised it's adding up as much as it did. I'm up to 4" and some spots it's nearing 5" on the grass and frozen part of the driveway. It's so heavy and wet there's barely any drifting despite a decent wind. Chunks are dropping off the trees because of melting. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, MNTonka said:

Some dry air moving in. Going to be tough to even reach 3” with the way the radar is looking. NWS may have jumped the gun with a WWA.  We’ll see what happens this evening once the sun goes down. 

I see they lowered it to 2-4" now. It's been a nuisance snow. Still 35°. I think tonight we score a bit of accumulation.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

My total is 3.2 inches.  The rest of the snow should be generally light.

The liquid total is 0.38".

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 1

season snowfall: 29.3"

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The mid-level Low gets it's act together a little better over this way for SEMI.

@Niko getting a bump into yellow

DTX23-03-094pmWWA.thumb.png.4dcad1dc88cd0fc114fd2805f92061cc.png

 

GRR also thinking some areas may exceed the 6" threshold:

GRR23-03-099amWWA.thumb.png.1e300cb5fec14f870e11e638de3e518e.png

 

  • Like 3

Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Radar is pretty broken up in terms of rain. Developed better to the east and south. 
Maybe it will form still.
I’d like some rain. 

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm sitting at 3.5", currently in a lull.  I'm hoping the final band, over central Iowa, can get my total to 4".

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 29.3"

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

I'm sitting at 3.5", currently in a lull.  I'm hoping the final band, over central Iowa, can get my total to 4".

That's pretty impressive considering how the models have overhyped everything this season and how these March snowstorms almost always end up massively disappointing. I'm just hoping most of this falls after the ski hill closes so I can wake up and make some fresh tracks. It's sticking pretty well up here in grass and stuff, took a while to start on the streets.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like another slopfest Sat-- 18Z Euro trending more robust-- 24hr totals

image.thumb.png.dd4529db9d5e54736b02e8a7c1b77e61.png

  • Like 1

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Eeked out 1.4" snow today. Much of the precip fell as snow. A couple hours of sleet/rain mix snow most of day had snow at varying rates. 

Currently sitting at 24.5" for the season. Not too bad for this far south. Dsm now at 22.8" for the season. 

20230309_105510.jpg

20230309_115420.jpg

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

^^ DSM up to 25.0" for the season after 2.2" today.

 

add .4" to the below-

CLIMATE REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
534 PM CST THU MAR 09 2023

...................................

...THE DES MOINES IA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MARCH 9 2023...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0520 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1878 TO 2023


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST      
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                          
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         39    224 AM  72    1986  46     -7       32       
                                      1990                           
                                      2021                           
  MINIMUM         33    459 PM  -4    1912  27      6       21       
  AVERAGE         36                        36      0       27     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                    
  TODAY            0.37          1.01 1909   0.06   0.31      T       
  MONTH TO DATE    0.46                      0.54  -0.08     1.70     
  SINCE MAR 1      0.46                      0.54  -0.08     1.70     
  SINCE JAN 1      4.11                      2.96   1.15     3.36     

SNOWFALL (IN)                                                              
  TODAY            1.8           8.6  1909   0.2    1.6       T       
  MONTH TO DATE    1.9                       1.9   -0.0      5.1      
  SINCE MAR 1      1.9                       1.9   -0.0      5.1      
  SINCE JUL 1     24.6                      32.6   -8.0     30.9      
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 

  • Like 2

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

The final total is 1.8 inches for me.

 

Storms over @Andie as of 4:40 PM CST.

Everything is SE and moving away now.  
Missed my chance. 🥲

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Tom unpinned this topic

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...