2/14-2/17 Possible Winter Storm Train

[Hawkeye]

12z FV3...likely over juiced but the take-away is that the 2nd wave is holding together better over here...

 

They probably need to tweak the FV3's juiciness down before it goes operational in March.

[OmahaSnowFan]

My call for maybe 2” total out of these systems is looking pretty good. Just makes you laugh that much harder when you see those clown maps the models keep spitting out

[Minny_Weather]

Omaha and Lincoln deserve nothing out of this.  You guys have gotten 3 or 4 snow events just like this where my area didn't see even an inch.  It's my turn to enjoy something.  Took a walk for an hour while the best returns were here.  Had moderate to heavy snow and good flake size for a bit.  Probably around 3 inches with the back edge now approaching.

Uhhhhhhhh.. Sorry?

[gosaints]

Oh no not more who deserves the snow talk

[East Dubzz]

I think I deserve it!

[Tom]

They probably need to tweak the FV3's juiciness down before it goes operational in March.

Indeed, and coincidentally, they will have it fully operational on the Spring Solstice (3/20).

[snowstorm83]

Moderate/heavy snow right now, but flake size is small. It's accumulating of course but not as fast as I'd like it with these rates.

[Tom]

12z GGEM is looking mighty good for IA folks...

 

[james1976]

Trying to catch up in here. Thanks for all the posts. I like where I sit for the 2nd wave. Def high end advisory

[Clinton]

1.5 in snowing heavily, more wind than I thought we would have today so it's going to drift.

[Grizzcoat]

Ukie coming around to moisture totals of others....

[Bryan1117]

My call for maybe 2” total out of these systems is looking pretty good. Just makes you laugh that much harder when you see those clown maps the models keep spitting out

Yeah unfortunately it looks like your prediction might end up being dead on. Dry air always seems to get us here in Omaha with these types of setups, never fails.

 

Enjoy the snow Clint, you guys did need this one a little bit more than all of us in Eastern Nebraska... I won’t argue with you there.

[CentralNebWeather]

I am in KC now so not official, but people I follow on Twitter from Central Nebraska saying my area is 4-5”. Still looking for more information. Local radio Twitter said 4.3 as of 9:30 am. If it is 5” it would be our first 2nd largest snow of the season.

[Hawkeye]

12z UK

 

[OmahaSnowFan]

[Minny_Weather]

Well, not sure what has happened but a lot of the good returns over Central Nebraska just suddenly got zapped. That sucks for here.

 

Currently, we're finally getting some good sized flakes. I'll go outside and measure when I get the chance.There's no wind which is making this beautiful. 9.9*F.

[CentralNebWeather]

Local ABC Meteorologist saying he measured 4” south of Kearney.

[Bryan1117]

Well, not sure what has happened but a lot of the good returns over Central Nebraska just suddenly got zapped. That sucks for here.

 

Currently, we're finally getting some good sized flakes. I'll go outside and measure when I get the chance.There's no wind which is making this beautiful. 9.9*F.

Well be sure to take what you can get from this system, still haven’t seen one snowflake fall here in Omaha and might not at all the way it is looking.

 

Dry air is king around here.

[FarmerRick]

Well be sure to take what you can get from this system, still haven’t seen one snowflake fall here in Omaha and might not at all the way it is looking.

 

Dry air is king around here.

 

 

#OMADOME

[CentralNebWeather]

On the west side of KC metro, I would say definitely 3” and still snowing.

[jaster220]

Who knows, maybe SEMI can score a few flurries from this.. It looks much better for peeps south of me.

 

I think SMI west and east is SOL for snow for awhile.

 

Nah. I said b4 2nd wave gonna be a 1-2" deal, and most models continue that theme. NAM and jacked-up F(unny)V(s)3 aside.  Should refresh the left-overs just enough to look like the season it is here in Marshall. 

[Grizzcoat]

Euro for 2nd wave definitely longer snows and slightly more Qpf. Good trends.

[brianc400]

They probably need to tweak the FV3's juiciness down before it goes operational in March.

 

With only a month left, I would not expect any more tweaks. Such tweaks in complex models of any type (economics, social, etc.) do not stand alone. A "fix" to the juiciness here has some effect in other aspects of the model, perhaps not even directly related to the QPF. It might be easier or more likely for the forecasters to mentally adjust the suggestion of the model, or to simply favor other models for the amount of moisture.

[pack402]

im just as salty as you but none of us can control what falls from the sky. Move to upper Michigan if it’s that big a deal. We’ve been nickeled and dimed I’m omaha all year and gone without a major storm for years now. Frustrating yes, but nothing we can do to change it.

 

 

Omaha and Lincoln deserve nothing out of this. You guys have gotten 3 or 4 snow events just like this where my area didn't see even an inch. It's my turn to enjoy something. Took a walk for an hour while the best returns were here. Had moderate to heavy snow and good flake size for a bit. Probably around 3 inches with the back edge now approaching.

[Minny_Weather]

im just as salty as you but none of us can control what falls from the sky. Move to upper Michigan if it’s that big a deal. We’ve been nickeled and dimed I’m omaha all year and gone without a major storm for years now. Frustrating yes, but nothing we can do to change it.

You're allowed to be frustrated. Not being to control the weather isn't a valid argument against that.

[pack402]

I was replying to Clint’s post earlier. I get the frustration, but to say Omaha and Lincoln “deserve nothing” is ridiculous to say the least

[hlcater]

Nebraska’s climo sucks. It’s astonishing the amount of people in here that forget that.

[Minny_Weather]

Nebraska’s climo sucks. It’s astonishing the amount of people in here that forget that.

Not much worse than yours. I'm not complaining this year cuz we're above our overall seasonal average, but I feel anyone who is at half of their season-to-date average can complain. I just personally don't like the way he worded that. Nobody here expects 100" a year.

[bud2380]

Looks like a classic 2-4/3-5" storm in Iowa.  Not bad.  For how active this winter has been it's hard to believe that 5" is still the most I've received  in any storm.  

[snowstorm83]

Nebraska’s climo sucks. It’s astonishing the amount of people in here that forget that.

 

That's a bit true. NE is a bit drier than areas to the east in the winter, so I do generally expect less than places like Iowa and Chicago. We're at the same latitude, but storm track (especially clippers) tend to favor you guys. OTOH, there's no denying it's still been a terrible stretch, especially for Eastern NE. This is the first above average season in Lincoln since 2012-13.  Areas like North Platte, Grand Island, and Norfolk have all scored big multiple times. The gap in average snowfall between Omaha and Des Moines is currently the widest it's ever been in history, when Omaha used to generally average around the same to a few inches less and now the difference is like 10". 

[Minny_Weather]

That's a bit true. NE is a bit drier than areas to the east in the winter, so I do generally expect less than places like Iowa and Chicago. We're at the same latitude, but storm track (especially clippers) tend to favor you guys. OTOH, there's no denying it's still been a terrible stretch, especially for Eastern NE. This is the first above average season in Lincoln since 2012-13. Areas like North Platte, Grand Island, and Norfolk have all scored big multiple times. The gap in average snowfall between Omaha and Des Moines is currently the widest it's ever been in history, when Omaha used to generally average around the same to a few inches less and now the difference is like 10".

I don't even like to count 2012-13 as above average. If it weren't for those crap April and May snowfalls, it'd be an inch or two below average. This is for sure the best year since 2009-10 imo.

[pack402]

I love snow and fondly remember much better systems each year growing up in eastern ne in the 80’s. I come here to look at maps and discussion on upcoming systems. When someone says someone isn’t deserving of what comes their way is insane to me. We have a complaint section for that garbage. Congrats to all who saw snow today. I could count the flakes as they fell but that’s life.

[gabel23]

Totally going off eye balling but looks like somewhere between 3-4" of snow. Forecast for my area was calling for 3-5" so I would say they nailed it! I thought I was going to miss out with that dry air to the north east inching ever so closely to my county. I'll take it though; been too long staring at brown grass all winter long good nice to finally have some white around! 

[Minny_Weather]

About 2" here. Should have gotten more but someone (probably Clint) vacuumed up all the returns before they got here. Gotta hope tomorrow's wave overachieves cuz I don't think this powdery 2" will survive even the slightest hint of sun.

[East Dubzz]

About 2" here. Should have gotten more but someone (probably Clint) vacuumed up all the returns before they got here. Gotta hope tomorrow's wave overachieves cuz I don't think this powdery 2" will survive even the slightest hint of sun.

Good, because you don’t deserve it anyway. Karma!

[OmahaSnowFan]

Sun shining through the clouds here

[jcwxguy]

Saturday night and Sunday wave

[Clinton]

Snow starting to let up a little have not been out for a measurement yet but I would guess around 4 inches.  Kiddos are enjoying it the sleds are out!

[james1976]

Looks like a solid 3-5 event. WWA prolly go out tonight

[Hawkeye]

Snow starting to let up a little have not been out for a measurement yet but I would guess around 4 inches.  Kiddos are enjoying it the sleds are out!

 

Looks like you still have a few good bursts coming.