FroYoBro Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Salem down to 32 with light snow. Even if we only have as much Precip as Monday there will be more low elevation snow with the lower temps. Yep, this is much less marginal as far as temperatures go. 32 degrees and a dp of 16 here before any moisture makes it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 The latest HRRR is showing a good push of snow come up the Willamette Valley to PDX Metro 10pm to midnight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 It was probably already mentioned and I just missed it but the 00z 3km NAM had a nice increase in overall totals from previous runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Light snow and 32 at Newport, OR. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 WRF shows the east wind dying off completely tomorrow afternoon but does not show much (if any) snow for King County tomorrow night. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 It was probably already mentioned and I just missed it but the 00z 3km NAM had a nice increase in overall totals from previous runs. I was too busy looking at my area of blue and the finger of blue over my old place...then I zoomed out. One sad face down south. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Light snow and 32 at Newport, OR.Not often you see that! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Hope it turns out better for me haha I live in between 2 snow holes Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Total snow per WRF through Thursday morning... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 I have a feeling this is gonna be a peninsula special. Does this have the look of the febuary 23rd 2018 event? I think you're thinking of the Feb 21st event. This is different, that event was triggered by a low sliding down the trough axis from the north into a cold airmass. I think it pulled some moist coastal air in from the west and there was a bit of enhancement resulting from the outflow. There wasn't anything like the cut-off low hanging off the coast tomorrow. I can't ever remember seeing snowfall from such a feature in the past; they typically phase with the trough axis, but this one is too far separated. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 I think you're thinking of the Feb 21st event. This is different, that event was triggered by a low sliding down the trough axis from the north into a cold airmass. I think it pulled some moist coastal air in from the west and there was a bit of enhancement resulting from the outflow. There wasn't anything like the cut-off low hanging off the coast tomorrow. I can't ever remember seeing snowfall from such a feature in the past; they typically phase with the trough axis, but this one is too far separated.So do you think the cut off low could hurt us or help us? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Tiny little flakes falling here, but it is also super gusty. Hard to tell if they are even reaching the ground. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Radar is still down here. Not only that, NWS still does not have an explanation why it's down. http://i65.tinypic.com/jb3bl1.jpg http://i65.tinypic.com/sz9xqv.jpg Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Tiny little flakes falling here, but it is also super gusty. Hard to tell if they are even reaching the ground. Same here. If it's not temps holding it back it's something else! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 So do you think the cut off low could hurt us or help us? All depends on where exactly it ends up. The models will struggle modeling the deformation band until the low that's currently over Oregon starts to wind down. It'd be a far easier call if this were a low running up from the S/SW, we'd end up with a major overrunning snow and fully take advantage of this cold dry airmass. This thing looks hit or miss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Radar is still down here. Not only that, NWS still does not have an explanation why it's down. http://i65.tinypic.com/jb3bl1.jpg http://i65.tinypic.com/sz9xqv.jpgNeed to hire new engineers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Same here. If it's not temps holding it back it's something else!Once some heavier moisture makes it's way further North, the atmosphere should get saturated enough where we start seeing some snow. Right now I'm thinking this won't happen until midnight here at PDX Metro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Whole lotta snow here. Up to 35” now. Insanity. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Whole lotta snow here. Up to 35” now. Insanity.35 inches new? Since when? Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Once some heavier moisture makes it's way further North, the atmosphere should get saturated enough where we start seeing some snow. Right now I'm thinking this won't happen until midnight here at PDX Metro. I doubt the air mass is going to get saturated at all in the Portland area. The dewpoint needs to go up about 15 degrees. Does not seem like there is enough moisture coming in to make that happen. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 35 inches new? Since when?Since yesterday morning. Started about 9am. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Since early yesterday morning. Started about 9am. Wow! That is pretty much the same thing that happened here 2 weeks ago. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Need to hire new engineers.I hear the Pendleton guys are great. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Nws Seattle put out a bulletin on their Twitter for accumulations of under 1” basically everywhere in Western WA and said south interior with elevation could see 1-2”They still say rain during afternoon hours however Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 So do you think the cut off low could hurt us or help us? I can say one thing, these setups are usually terrible for precipitation here in the late spring/summer. But I'm not sure the same dynamics will apply this time with low level outflow and the Juan de Fuca being warmer than surrounding landmasses/Strait of Georgia. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Since yesterday morning. Started about 9am.Is the most you've ever had in this amount of time? Crazy. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Windy and 30 degrees here at home with some very light flurries. I’m honestly surprised to see anything making it to the ground at this stage, especially so close to the outflow. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 All depends on where exactly it ends up. The models will struggle modeling the deformation band until the low that's currently over Oregon starts to wind down. It'd be a far easier call if this were a low running up from the S/SW, we'd end up with a major overrunning snow and fully take advantage of this cold dry airmass. This thing looks hit or miss.The main band has been trending south in the models for the past 24 hrs. I wouldn’t be surprised if it continues to trend south and hit us instead of Vancouver Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Flurries here, starting to wet bulb but of course temp is already down to 30.6F and DP of 14. Gonna use a pretty good amount of the precious moisture just to help saturate the airmass. Hopefully we have a bit more juice than expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Windy and 30 degrees here at home with some very light flurries. I’m honestly surprised to see anything making it to the ground at this stage, especially so close to the outflow.That's a good sign my friend. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Windy and 30 degrees here at home with some very light flurries. I’m honestly surprised to see anything making it to the ground at this stage, especially so close to the outflow. Think we'll get more than a dusting out of this? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 FWIW... the 12Z ECMWF showed the dewpoint at PDX at 4 p.m. to be 12 degrees and then 16 by 4 a.m. and 19 at 10 a.m. tomorrow. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 I doubt the air mass is going to get saturated at all in the Portland area. The dewpoint needs to go up about 15 degrees. Does not seem like there is enough moisture coming in to make that happen.There he is, #buzzkilltim Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Think we'll get more than a dusting out of this?It’s a tough call. I’m guessing I’m probably in one of the worst spots being relatively close to the Gorge. But for you and others west and south of here, like FroYoBro, I could pretty easily picture 1-2” if things work out right. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 You can't just look at surface dewpoints and think that the air is dry at all levels. Jesus. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 It’s a tough call. I’m guessing I’m probably in one of the worst spots being relatively close to the Gorge. But for you and others west and south of here, like FroYoBro, I could pretty easily picture 1-2” if things work out right. Doesn't hurt that something is actually falling out of the sky for you though. Here is what the NAM thought would happen. Looks better than that for sure. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 FWIW... the 12Z ECMWF showed the dewpoint at PDX at 4 p.m. to be 12 degrees and then 16 by 4 a.m. and 19 at 10 a.m. tomorrow.All this wasted energy you always spend trying to talk everyone out of being excited over an event. Like your ridiculous predictions regarding the #trendingnorth low that ending up landfalling down near the California border a few days ago. Just let it ride and let people have their fun. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 There he is, #buzzkilltim I don't get this. I just like to know the facts good or bad... even with things I really want to happen. I don't understand cheerleading the weather. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ewnichols25 Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 Top of Crystal Mountain is at zero degrees with easterly gusts of 68 mph and a wind chill of -30*F. Incredible. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 27, 2019 Report Share Posted February 27, 2019 You can't just look at surface dewpoints and think that the air is dry at all levels. Jesus.You easily can. Just like you can look at a totally different 500mb pattern and expect the low the trend the same way regardless, then spend days stubbornly digging your heels in when people try tell you you’re wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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