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11/26 - 11/28 Winter Storm


Tom

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A scattered, but widespread, area of showers and storms just moved through the area. Somehow, every cell went around me. I got nothing.

Had a few brief downpours here of maybe only a bit over a quarter of an inch total so far. Only a few faint rumbles of thunder. Was hoping for better.

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No wonder the wind died down in the last hour. The surface low is getting very close and appears to be across se. Ia. That’s a bit further se. than I was expecting.

It's odd- DSM was down to 991.6 MB for SLP with ALT of 27.27-- which is very close to what it is in SE IA. DSM magnet- but an odd strung out low system.

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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I will post a pics from my Twitter page of yesterday’s storm. Reports locally of 8-10”. Local radio says 9.3”. Sounds good to me for any storm but especially in November.

 

https://twitter.com/toddwayneveal/status/1199701697939030017?s=21

 

Beautiful. Nice when the sun comes out right after a strong storm - so picturesque like mid January there! 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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I received 0.40" of rain.  That's a bit more than I thought I would find in the gauge.  It certainly could have been better if one or two of the thundershowers had passed over me.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I like this one..  

 

(W UP of Mich)

 

0902 AM SNOW 1 W WAKEFIELD 46.48N 89.95W
11/27/2019 U0.0 INCH GOGEBIC MI TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY SNOW REPORTED WITH VISIBILITIES OF
LESS THAN A MILE FROM IRONWOOD TO WAKEFIELD
ON U.S. HWY 2. CONFIRMED REPORT OF GOGEBIC
COUNTY ROAD COMMISSION PLOW TRUCKS GETTING
STUCK DUE TO THE SLICK CONDITIONS UNDERNEATH
THE GROWING/BLOWING SNOW.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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I like this one..

 

0902 AM SNOW 1 W WAKEFIELD 46.48N 89.95W

11/27/2019 U0.0 INCH GOGEBIC MI TRAINED SPOTTER

 

HEAVY SNOW REPORTED WITH VISIBILITIES OF

LESS THAN A MILE FROM IRONWOOD TO WAKEFIELD

ON U.S. HWY 2. CONFIRMED REPORT OF GOGEBIC

COUNTY ROAD COMMISSION PLOW TRUCKS GETTING

STUCK DUE TO THE SLICK CONDITIONS UNDERNEATH

THE GROWING/BLOWING SNOW.

UP will be buried by the end of the weekend. 

 

WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 10 to 27

inches. The lowest accumulations will be along the Lake Superior

shoreline and the heaviest will be in the higher terrain areas

away from Lake Superior. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

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UP will be buried by the end of the weekend. 

 

WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 10 to 27

inches. The lowest accumulations will be along the Lake Superior

shoreline and the heaviest will be in the higher terrain areas

away from Lake Superior. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

 

My cousins at deer camp in Baraga Cnty will do well. How cool to be snowed-in with an 18-24" bliz! 

 

20191128 MQT Snowfall Forecast map.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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GRR just updated. Look closely at their text. Already hit 56 mph gust here in KJXN with even stronger winds later, yet NO HWWarning here for Calhoun Cnty.  :rolleyes:

 

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1202 PM EST Wed Nov 27 2019

Forecast remains on track this morning and only one small change
to the headlines. We have started the northern lakeshore wind
advisory now instead of 4pm. Muskegon is already pushing advisory
criteria so we will just start it now.

Low pressure near 987mb is centered near the Door Peninsula in
Northeast Wisconsin. The cold front associated with the low has
swept through the bulk of Southwest Lower Michigan as of 1130am.
Temperatures in the 50s are being pushed off to the east and cold
air advection is in full swing. We will fall through the 40s and
into the 30s by the time the evening rolls around.

The surge of wind immediately behind the cold front has produced
wind gusts in excess of 50 mph already...with gusts of 56 mph in
Jackson.
..55 mph in Grand Rapids...54 mph in Holland and 52 mph at
Battle Creek. The strong winds will continue right through the
afternoon and evening.

Of note is that the core of the strongest winds over Lake
Michigan have yet to arrive.
The RAP and the HRRR both show the
strongest winds between 1pm and 7pm along the Ottawa, Allegan and
Van Buren County shorelines. Wind gusts will likely push towards
or eclipse 60 mph in these areas.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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From Huron Mnts NW of Marquette, MI (same place that got the huge bliz just last Feb)

 

15” so far (halfway to 30” forecast). Power’s out, road snowed over completely, no tracks at all. Gotta conserve my battery now. 

 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Whoa!

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1225 PM EST WED NOV 27 2019

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 WSW ADA 42.94N 85.54W
11/27/2019 KENT MI BROADCAST MEDIA

POWER POLE SNAPPED AT CASCADE RD AND
SPAULDING AVE. TIME ESTIMATED.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Lots of 50+ mph gusts across SMI this morning. Guys at work talking about a semi blown over on US23 x-way south of Ann Arbor. 

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1124 AM EST WED NOV 27 2019

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ENE SANDSTONE 42.27N 84.47W
11/27/2019 M56 MPH JACKSON MI ASOS

ASOS STATION KJXN JACKSON COUNTY-REYNOLDS
FIELD AIRPORT.

1049 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSW CASCADE 42.88N 85.52W
11/27/2019 M55 MPH KENT MI ASOS

ASOS STATION KGRR GERALD R FORD INTL.

1023 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 S HOLLAND 42.75N 86.10W
11/27/2019 M54 MPH ALLEGAN MI ASOS

ASOS STATION KBIV W MICH REGIONAL ARPT.

0948 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 17 W KEELER 42.12N 86.49W
11/27/2019 M52 MPH LMZ844 MI MESONET

MESONET STATION XSTJ ST. JOSEPH PIER.

0629 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WNW ROOSEVELT PARK 43.22N 86.35W
11/27/2019 M52 MPH LMZ847 MI MESONET

MESONET STATION XMSK MUSKEGON NORTH
BREAKWATER LIGHT.

1011 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNW SAUGATUCK 42.68N 86.22W
11/27/2019 M52 MPH LMZ845 MI MESONET

MESONET STATION XSTK SAUGATUCK PIER.

1041 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNE EDGEMONT PARK 42.78N 84.58W
11/27/2019 M52 MPH CLINTON MI ASOS

ASOS STATION KLAN LANSING.

1029 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WNW JACKSON 42.26N 84.44W
11/27/2019 M52 MPH JACKSON MI MESON

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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One of the larger reports to this point I've found:

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
206 PM EST WED NOV 27 2019

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM SNOW 1 N ISHPEMING 46.51N 87.66W
11/27/2019 M15.0 INCH MARQUETTE MI NWS EMPLOYEE

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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I've been out and about taking care of errands and my goodness is it windy out there.  The only thing that would have been awesome to see with the strong winds today is a light & fluffy snowfall!  One could only dream....anyhow, peak wind gusts in the area have reach the low 60mph range.

 

 

 

Peak wind gusts through 10AM:
66mph Valparaiso, IN
64mph CHI-Harrison-Dever Crib
63mph Peru, IL
61mph CHI-O’Hare
57mph DeKalb
56mph CHI-Midway
54mph Michigan City LH

 

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Reports are around 8 inches for GI which sounds about right. Great storm for late November standards and shattered the previous daily snowfall! Here's a few pictures, I always spend a lot of time out in these storms

 

'grats on FINALLY joining the Neb Storm party! Better late than not at all.  ;)

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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I'm not too confident in my airport's anemometer tbh. Always seems much lower than say a major reporting site like KJXN. With temps dropping we have windchills in the upper 20s now and spitting "stuff". It's not very inviting outside after the past few days of sunny-n-mild.  Matter of fact, this morning looked and felt like a mild April morning, now this rude turn-about. 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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From what I'm seeing from the snow reports, it appears the area from northeast Nebraska through MSP received snow mostly in the 4-8" range.  I think the NWS forecast was up in the 8-12" range.  I know I saw a map just before the storm with a 12" bullseye over MSP.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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From what I'm seeing from the snow reports, it appears the area from northeast Nebraska through MSP received snow mostly in the 4-8" range.  I think the NWS forecast was up in the 8-12" range.  I know I saw a map just before the storm with a 12" bullseye over MSP.

I know our NWS upgraded the forecast to 7-12" for northeast Nebraska and most reports were on the lower end of that.

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Models were actually really good with this system. The track seemed to barely budge in the 4-5 days leading up to the storm and verified pretty closely. OAX's original headlines were actually the closest. Counties included in the last minute WSW extension (Seward, Saunders, etc.) did not receive anything close to warning amounts, more like 1-3".

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

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Ended up with 1" of sleet/snow here in my backyard.

Yep, right about the same amount here. The thundersnow/sleet storm was pretty neat to see, but other than that this event was pretty much a dud as expected around here. It doesn't bug me too much as it didn't hamper Thanksgiving travel plans too much around here at all which is nice. 

 

We can only hope to catch a better part of the next big snow system for our area. 

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
807 PM EST WED NOV 27 2019

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0806 PM LAKESHORE FLOOD SAUGATUCK 42.66N 86.21W
11/27/2019 ALLEGAN MI EMERGENCY MNGR

RECEIVED A REPORT OF FLOODING IN BUILDINGS
ALONG WATER STREET IN SAUGATUCK. SOME AREAS
SAW WATER RISE UP TO 6 INCHES TO 1 FOOT IN
THE LAST COUPLE HOURS.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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