Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Friday 12 AM - 6 AM Strong winds for the Straits, Northwest Interior of Washington, Northern Puget Sound, Southwestern BC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Friday 12 AM - 6 AM Strong winds for the Straits, Northwest Interior of Washington, Northern Puget Sound, Southwestern BC Move that thing a bit south and we're in business. Been way too long since an appreciable windstorm's hit PDX. Hmmm...wind, cold, snow, things are looking up it seems. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Friday 12 AM - 6 AM Strong winds for the Straits, Northwest Interior of Washington, Northern Puget Sound, Southwestern BC It’s all because I test ran my generator and made sure all was a go for my mower plow today! You’re welcome! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 One thing that I like about recent model runs is the propensity to move moisture in with the cold troughs. The 00z ensembles show this as well as the operational. Nice to see cool/cold air while moisture is around. All too often we have one thing and not the other. Of course details will change but it certainly does not look cold and bone dry by any means. All models have been clear this will be more of a -PNA block than -EPO. -PNA is snowier in general. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 IF that's a new trend that tonight's EURO showed to pinch the energy off with a Kona Low already at Day 7.... Look out! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 It’s gonna hit Washington state. Wind storm for Portland and snowstorm for BC. We can hope. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 All models have been clear this will be more of a -PNA block than -EPO. -PNA is snowier in general.Wouldn't a -PNA and -EPO combo give us a higher chance of a snowy pattern than just a -PNA in and of itself? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 The GFS and Canadian ensemble 500mb means both look better than the 12z. They indicate the block will gradually strengthen and sharpen during the 10 to 15 day period. This might be a case of starting out kind of borderline and then working into the really good stuff with time. The EPS has been wanting to get things going a bit faster. We will see if that holds true tonight. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Wouldn't a -PNA and -EPO combo give us a higher chance of a snowy pattern than just a -PNA in and of itself? Not sure. I do know that Jan 1909 and Jan 1950 were the two cases of the lowest PNA in the 20th century and both events were epically cold and snowy. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Outskirts of PDX should be kinda chilly tonight-- and there seems to be a line of showers coming through areas like Banks and Hillsboro with some moderate rain. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 A sort of mix here. 34 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Models still show nothing great for my backyard, next! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Wouldn't a -PNA and -EPO combo give us a higher chance of a snowy pattern than just a -PNA in and of itself? I would imagine an -EPO would generally mean drier all other things being equal. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 33F and partly cloudy. Made it down to 32F back at 8:50 for freeze #30 on the season. Night shift for sure tonight. What's everybody smoking? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Just maybe. Almost all members had at least some snow. The EPS has been the coldest and it's supposedly the best model out there. Do you have to pay for access to this data? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I would imagine an -EPO would generally mean drier all other things being equal. Yeah...I always think dry cold with strong -EPO. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Just maybe. Do we have these for other towns down the I-5 corridor? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 33F and partly cloudy. Made it down to 32F back at 8:50 for freeze #30 on the season. Night shift for sure tonight. What's everybody smoking? Nothing in over 20 years. Maybe about 17 for cigarettes. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 33F and partly cloudy. Made it down to 32F back at 8:50 for freeze #30 on the season. Night shift for sure tonight. What's everybody smoking?I don’t smoke. I’m guessing there will be lots of black ice on the roads tomorrow morning here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 We have success on the EPS! Nice improvement over the 12z even before day 10. It's way sharper with the block than the operational models. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 We have success on the EPS! Nice improvement over the 12z even before day 10. It's way sharper with the block than the operational models. Anybody have a map? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 We have success on the EPS! Nice improvement over the 12z even before day 10. It's way sharper with the block than the operational models. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Holy crap! 8 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Holy crap!Vodka cold! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Holy crap! Something brewing... 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Holy crap!There we go!!!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 10 out days always looks good this time of year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Great looking pattern, but the coldest air is still way up in mid B.C. Temp anomalies are not that great. Good enough for me, for sure, but not good enough for Western WA and OR. At least at face value. Lots of potential though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Nobody say a goddam thing. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Another good run on the EPS control. It gets us cold fairly early on. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 10 out days always looks good this time of year.The map I posted was 8 days out. But still a ways away, your'e right. Potential, but not proven yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 10 out days always looks good this time of year. You really get tiresome. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 10 out days always looks good this time of year.The TigerWoodsLibido of Washington State! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Another very good thing about the EPS is it lifts out the Eastern trough a lot faster than earlier runs. That gets us going faster. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Nobody say a goddam thing.Oops... Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Holy crap!Low heights and cool temps, but not bitter cold arctic air. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 You really get tiresome.You as well, as well as others. And you know what, that is ok, we all don't have to be on board right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 The TigerWoodsLibido of Washington State!A realist? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 The EPS mean and control like the idea of a further amplifcation of the block late in the run. This might be a classic where it gradually builds to the big stuff. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Low heights and cool temps, but not bitter cold arctic air. I was mostly referring to improvement and the fact it's an ensemble mean that far out. The control has been quite cold on every run. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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