Requiem Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Hmm, GFS is quite far south with the mid-week low, GEM is far north. Lots of potential. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 It might snow for 8 months straight. I need some snow shoes to go buy bread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 OMG. MAJOR changes on the GFS ensembles. As of 10z Tuesday the operational is barely below the mean. 5 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I really would pay an unhealthy proportion of my money to see this run verify.I’m in for $2,500. Who else is in? I’ll get a pen and paper... 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 00z UKMET days 5 and 6. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_120_0000.gif http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_144_0000.gif 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 516 thickness line drops to SLE by hour 354. 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Hmm, GFS is quite far south with the mid-week low, GEM is far north. Lots of potential. The GEM trended much further south with that low. 00z 12z 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Back up to 48 at PDX. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I’m in for $2,500. Who else is in?I’ll get a pen and paper...I'll match that and raise you 2,500. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Seasonably cool Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I really hope the rain train that has run rough shod over us here this first 7 days of the year pays off with a snow train as well, 8.22" of rain so far, 82 plus inches of snow wasted in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 The GEM trended much further south with that low. 00z 12z Oh, I meant north in relation to the GFS. I hope the GFS brings back the idea the low will crash into the state instead of meander offshore, but the latter is more plausible. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I’m in for $2,500. Who else is in? I’ll get a pen and paper...99.99 on a buy one get one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I’m in for $2,500. Who else is in? I’ll get a pen and paper... We should just do a gofundme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I'll match that and raise you 2,500.Lol, you will make that back in one night of snow plowing, we are gonna need a higher bid from you lol!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 We’re gonna need a bigger coat ! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I calling it now. Low land flooding by MLK. Heavy snow followed by heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I calling it now. Low land flooding by MLK. Heavy snow followed by heavy rain.You could be right on that! The madness is about to start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 GEM has a tendency to scour out cold air too quickly IMO. This track looks really good for SEA though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 At one point 15 of 20 ensemble members are below -10C at PDX. 5 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Lol, you will make that back in one night of snow plowing, we are gonna need a higher bid from you lol!!I've already been getting calls from clients. This will be 46 years that plow has been on that truck. My grandfather bought it in 1974 and installed the plow and believe it or not the hydraulic ram and pump that operate the plow have never been rebuilt. 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 00z GFS vs 18z GFS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 GEM has a tendency to scour out cold air too quickly IMO. This track looks really good for SEA though. We know how the scouring game goes....bring on the challengers 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Improvements for every model. Not even lying. Maybe not in the snow department, but we don't know about that part yet. The cold in the believable range and mid-range is amazing. It's gonna be fun, I think. Bitter east winds, possible snow, cold. I'm...cautiously optimistic. 5 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 00z GFS shows surface temps falling below freezing at 10PM Sunday in Seattle and it doesn't cross that mark again until D13. That’s like, what, two days? My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Good thing is the Hawks will be able to come home late Sunday and enjoy the PS blizzard on Monday without having to worry about preparation for the 9ers the following week.Because they will be prepping for the Vikings at home! 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 This looks pretty insane, looks like -20C 850mb temperatures over the Salish Sea. Can't remember the last time the upper levels were anywhere close to that cold. Even more impressive given there's still Arctic air pouring out of the Northern BC Coast. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 00z GFS vs 18z GFS Crazy cold a week out and now variability at 372 hours? What’s next???? My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 We’re gonna need a bigger coat !Thicker underwear as well! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 0.42" so far today in Tacoma. 3.14" for January. 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 FrontalSquall already predicted last winter’s epicness way out in advance. Like in July or something. I’m a dime a dozen these days. #worthless I know there is probably more background reasoning/joking behind the MLK call but he called it back in fall of last year and would be funny if it actually came to fruition. Worst case it is just off by a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 GEM has a tendency to scour out cold air too quickly IMO. This track looks really good for SEA though. Looks Dec 1996ish there; would be lots of low level cold spilling out of the Fraser into that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 We should just do a gofundme.The proceeds should be able to get us all a month’s worth of Paxil when this crashes and burns. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 We’re gonna need a bigger coat ! Well done, sir. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Looks Dec 1996ish there; would be lots of low level cold spilling out of the Fraser into that.Yep, would be a perfect mess! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Crazy cold a week out and now variability at 372 hours? What’s next???? Tim would have posted it if it had gone in the other direction. Just keeping it balanced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I don't think it can get any better than this. We will always cherish these runs. 5 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Um... well... OK then.. uh... about those GFS ensembles... That is not seen everyday. 2 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I don't think it can get any better than this. We will always cherish these runs. I'm wary after February, but this seems a bit colder in the low levels. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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