Part I - January 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Deweydog]

Ok so this evening just got a bit worse for me, my dr. called and informed me of the results of my CT scan and it is cancer, according to my dr. it is treatable and won't involve any really invasive treatment/s.

 

Needless to say I am taking it as best as possible atm, but hearing those words really changes your psyche in a way I never thought it would for me. My interactions and posts will be limited going forward.

 

Here's hoping it dumps two feet of snow from Nanaimo to Eugene.

 

See you weirdo's soon.

 

 

Went through something similar last year about now. Very interesting how your brain processes things and it tells me that getting a truly horrifying diagnosis is not something I would choose to go through.

 

Surgery got it, along with a couple small radiation implants. Lucky. Good thoughts coming your way from the soon to be Arctic Tundra of Clark County!

[Gradient Keeper]

Ok so this evening just got a bit worse for me, my dr. called and informed me of the results of my CT scan and it is cancer, according to my dr. it is treatable and won't involve any really invasive treatment/s.

 

Needless to say I am taking it as best as possible atm, but hearing those words really changes your psyche in a way I never thought it would for me. My interactions and posts will be limited going forward. 

 

Here's hoping it dumps two feet of snow from Nanaimo to Eugene.

 

See you weirdo's soon. 

 

 

 

I'm very sorry and saddened to hear this. I am sure we all more than understand if your presence here is more absent than usual and why that is. You take care of yourself right now. Stay strong. Kick this cancers butt! You will be in my thoughts and prayers.

[Shawn]

Ok so this evening just got a bit worse for me, my dr. called and informed me of the results of my CT scan and it is cancer, according to my dr. it is treatable and won't involve any really invasive treatment/s.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sorry this is happening to you.  You will be in my thoughts and prayers.

 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I am not well read on January 1902. That cold snap had some bite. 24/12 at SLE even.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Went through something similar last year about now. Very interesting how your brain processes things and it tells me that getting a truly horrifying diagnosis is not something I would choose to go through.

Surgery got it, along with a couple small radiation implants. Lucky. Good thoughts coming your way from the soon to be Arctic Tundra of Clark County!

Good stuff.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Jim your a** is staying on this forum tonight!!!!

[jakerepp]

Seattle... ECMWF vs GFS:

 

 

 

 

GFS GFS GFS!

[runninthruda206]

GFS GFS GFS!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

47F with scattered showers. Mtns are gonna get a nice dump.

 

My thoughts are with you Jbolin. As someone who has had brain surgery, I wish you all the best through this process. You’re going to come out on top!!

[Jbolin]

Sorry to hear about the prognosis, jbolin, but at least it sounds treatable. You got this man.

Thanks dude 

[Deweydog]

Model battle??

 

12Z ECMWF:

 

 

 

18Z GFS:

 

Consistency is KING!

[GHweatherChris]

Jim your a** is staying on this forum tonight!!!!

Keep your attitude in check!!

[Front Ranger]

If it doesn't work out then it's probably because of low solar.

 

And if it does?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Consistency is KING!

The difference is comical.

[Prairiedog]

It's good to see the two models in so much agreement.  18Z on crack?   Maybe off just a degree or two?  That's about what it was showing when we first started this crazy train ride.  That would be epic. 

[BLI snowman]

And if it does?

 

I imagine it would be at least in part because of your aggressively accurate long range winter forecasting abilities.

[The Swamp]

BELIEVE 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Hey I know this isn't not much to go off but what is the site that you can view euro and gfs and shows the line graph with temps, snow depth, rain prep...ik it's not tropical tidbits or weatherbell and it has a lot of ads. Thanks for the help!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

47/41 here today. Currently 41 with light rain. Interesting to see how far into the month we make it without a freeze. Average low goes up to 30 on Thursday. NWS has a 1500' snow level tomorrow night, but forecasting a low in the mid-30s, so it would not stick. 

[weather_fan]

Highs in the teens ??? Just sounds ridiculous. How trustworthy is this model.

Model battle??

 

12Z ECMWF:

 

 

 

18Z GFS:

 

[Front Ranger]

I am not well read on January 1902. That cold snap had some bite. 24/12 at SLE even.

 

Low of 1 at Vancouver. Not shabby.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

PDX radar is lit up like a Kwanzaa Tree.  

[Prairiedog]

Mark Nelsen not drinking the Kool Aid yet.  He said cold air could circulate out over the ocean and bring low level snow to us Tues OR the cold air stays bottled up in N. Wa.  He has 38/32 with a mix for Tues.  Won't commit yet. 

[Requiem]

Mark Nelsen not drinking the Kool Aid yet.  He said cold air could circulate out over the ocean and bring low level snow to us Tues OR the cold air stays bottled up in N. Wa.  He has 38/32 with a mix for Tues.  Won't commit yet. 

 

Really good he's even highlighting the possibility!

 

And of course, the major possible offshore event and snow next week comes right after, so we'll see...

[BLI snowman]

I mean, 1/10/17 was followed by some pretty Arctic temps.

 

Was with a relatively borderline low level airmass though. Temps largely between 30 and 32 degrees during the snow. You do have to go back to February 2014 to find a snowfall here that was synched up with a deeper airmass and temps below the upper 20s. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Was with a relatively borderline low level airmass though. Temps largely between 30 and 32 degrees during the snow. You do have to go back to February 2014 to find a snowfall here that was synched up with a deeper airmass and temps below the upper 20s. 

 

Yup, was on the coast for that one. Pacific City had 10"

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Low of 1 at Vancouver. Not shabby.

 

Legit

[Omegaraptor]

Not sure if these were already posted...

 

KBLI, KPAE, and KPDX 18z GFS ensemble members.

 

Pretty nice. All show each city getting at least 4 inches, except P2 for Portland. He seems to be a stubborn one.

 

 

 

 

p16!!!!!

[snow_wizard]

I see Jan 1902 was brought up.  Fabulous and relatively forgotten event.  Very cold with a big snowstorm to kick it all off.

[Perturbed Member]

18z GFS showed some real impressive cold air at the surface, unusually sharp front for here. Temps in PDX on Monday drop from 39F at 10 AM to 25-26F by 1 PM. I'm not really going to take the surface temps too literally right now but still unusual to see that happening while the 850s are only dropping from -2c to -4c at that time, lot of low level cold coming with this. 

[Kayla]

Ok so this evening just got a bit worse for me, my dr. called and informed me of the results of my CT scan and it is cancer, according to my dr. it is treatable and won't involve any really invasive treatment/s.

 

Needless to say I am taking it as best as possible atm, but hearing those words really changes your psyche in a way I never thought it would for me. My interactions and posts will be limited going forward. 

 

Here's hoping it dumps two feet of snow from Nanaimo to Eugene.

 

See you weirdo's soon. 

 

 

 

Very sorry to hear Jbolin. I can't even begin to imagine what you're going through but I just wanted you to know that I'm sending you all the healing vibes to fight this crap off! You got this!!

[snow_wizard]

18z GFS showed some real impressive cold air at the surface, unusually sharp front for here. Temps in PDX on Monday drop from 39F at 10 AM to 25-26F by 1 PM. I'm not really going to take the surface temps too literally right now but still unusual to see that happening while the 850s are only dropping from -2c to -4c at that time, lot of low level cold coming with this. 

 

That cold pool that is going to be in southern BC is a big wildcard with this.  Really adds some potential punch.

[Perturbed Member]

Ok so this evening just got a bit worse for me, my dr. called and informed me of the results of my CT scan and it is cancer, according to my dr. it is treatable and won't involve any really invasive treatment/s.

 

Needless to say I am taking it as best as possible atm, but hearing those words really changes your psyche in a way I never thought it would for me. My interactions and posts will be limited going forward. 

 

Here's hoping it dumps two feet of snow from Nanaimo to Eugene.

 

See you weirdo's soon. 

 

 

 

Really sorry to hear that. It must be so hard psychologically to deal with this. 

 

Stay strong and keep your head up man, with all the advances in modern medicine I think you're gonna crush this awful disease. 

[MossMan]

So where do I find the projected snow levels in my area from now until Monday?

[snow_wizard]

The first week of January 2017 is pretty underrated IMO. I think a similar solution would be a little more than I am expecting from the upcoming pattern. One of the limiting factors with that event was a total lack of cold air on this side of the pole. 

 

You haven't noticed the extreme cold that is being modeled for southern BC as this event unfolds?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Would be incredible to get a real arctic front with a sharp temp gradient. Maybe have PDX be 28 at noon Monday while it is mid-40s at SLE. Then see 10-15 degree hourly temp drops down the valley with the front.... Happened a few times every winter in Oklahoma (Sometimes up to 20-30 degree temp drops in an hour or two.), and it never got old. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Really cool to see all the support for Jbolin. I recieved the same support from many of you on here and wanted to thank you all because it makes a difference to know you have people that you've never met caring for the situation you are dealing with. Great bunch of people on here.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

You haven't noticed the extreme cold that is being modeled for southern BC as this event unfolds?

 

Yeah I have. Just saying it was a limiting factor with that event. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

You haven't noticed the extreme cold that is being modeled for southern BC as this event unfolds?

Did you see how powerful the outflow could be? The gradient would be close to if not as strong as 1990.

[snow_wizard]

Jim your a** is staying on this forum tonight!!!!

 

I will.  I expect most people are going to be pretty happy.