El_Nina Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Snowing in Woodburn now. 30 here 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Snowing here as well and through a lot of fog. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Hope you all see snow down there this morning!! You guys are a bit overdue for something. 3 Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Beginning here now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Still have about half hour to an hour here. Sitting at 33 which is probably a benefit. Fog is still thick surprisingly. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 The leading edge weakened a bit as it pushed north. Some light snow is finally falling here now though! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Very wet 34 degree snow, but it is snow! Big beautiful flakes now! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Light snow just started in Ridgefield. Fog is still thick. 33 degrees. 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 31 now with some big heavy flakes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Down to 33 and starting to stick a bit. Nice late night treat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Raining now. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 I'm convinced that I'm never going to see any appreciable snow for another decade at this point. 33 degrees with moderate rain. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 06z GFS doesn't want us to see the sun ever again. 1 Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Heavy 33 degree rain. Not even a positive splat. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Update from Cliff... The meteorological bounty extended beyond snow. There has been lots of rain that has helped to fill local reservoirs. For example, consider Seattle's reservoir system (see below). Its reservoirs have surged--not only WAY above normal (blue line), but as high as typical as the normal high in June. Seattle will have plenty of water in the future. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Looks like we picked up another 2" of snow. Pretty much a best case scenario according to what the models were showing. This did not turn out too bad for snow up here. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Sloppy dusting here now, heavy wet flakes starting to wind down. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Looks like I ended up with a colossal 1/2" of snow. It started out as moderate sleet, then mixed with ZR, then turned to snow, then to a ZR/snow combo, then heavy snow with big flakes, then back to a ZR, snow mix combo thingy, then rain/snow mix, then who ******* cares! I can't speak for everyone, but for my area this 'event' for PDX metro was very similar to the brief November 30th snow with a weak shortwave moving up from the southwest and not a lot of moisture, with marginal temps and no cold air support. The next two weeks look like pure . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Schools closed again here today... a little bit of snow overnight and temperature right at 32. The pendulum has swung the other way here with a new superintendent responding to parents complaining if there is school on any day when there is any snow anywhere. It won't last long in this area where winter weather is pretty common. If we were get another extended period of cold and snow this winter... people are just going to have to learn to deal with the snow. Or have the school year go until August and run up against the next school year. You can't close school every time the temperature drops to 32 or lower or there is a skiff of snow in this area. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Schools closed again here today... a little bit of snow overnight and temperature right at 32. The pendulum has swung the other way here with a new superintendent responding to parents complaining if there is school on any day when there is any snow anywhere. It won't last long in this area where winter weather is pretty common. If we were get another extended period of cold and snow this winter... people are just going to have to learn to deal with the snow. Or have the school year go until August and run up against the next school year. You can't close school every time the temperature drops to 32 or lower in this area. Yeah kind of silly. In those kinds of situations the roads are not typically a concern. We had 1.5" yesterday morning, the local school appeared to be carrying on as normal. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 06z GFS was slightly more interesting... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 If you're like me you're probably saying to yourself, "WTF is wrong with these models?" The past month or so I've never seen such poor model performance, lack of run to run consistency or any model continuity. Mesoscale models can't even get any details correct within just 12-18 hours. Pure s**t. Even the holier than hour Euro. Garbage. Upper level pattern recognition has been badger . Why? I don' t know. Do I look like the f***** Shell answer man? Yeah well. Nope! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Chunky rain here. 34°F Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Looks like we got another 1” or so in Bellingham, it’s been hovering between 29-32 after being in the mid 20’s last night before midnight. The roads are really crappy again this morning, almost got taken out by a plow truck (private business) bombing out of a driveway between 2 buildings without even looking. I about jumped out of the car to rip him a new one but decided to give him the benefit of the doubt since he’s probably worked 60-70 hours at this point. I-5 through the canyon is utter garbage according to a few co-workers. Glad to see parts of Oregon/ SW Washington getting some flakes in the air! 3 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 We actually had a trace of wet snow on the ground at 4:30 or so. I just woke up again to rain and absolutely everything melted. A lot of people probably have no idea that we had brief sticking snow last night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
antipex Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Woke up at 4:30 this morning and it was 31 outside with heavy freezing rain on top of snow. Now it’s still frozen in the backyard with freezing rain but the road is melted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 22F with about 1/2” of snow overnight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 My wife said Mt. Angel had a dusting, Silverton had nothing. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Gargantuan WWB cycle has established of late..this latest one features healthier convergence east of the dateline to help depress the thermocline further, perhaps triggering a stronger downwelling OKW. So maybe we finally get that stronger niño in 2020/21 to finish draining the warm pool and prime the multiyear Niña thereafter. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ventrice/real_time/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.gif 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Ended up with 5 of the past 6 days seeing accumulating snow. Not a bad stretch even if the cold didn't work out. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Downwelling easterly shear/-QBO (associated with raised/cool tropical tropopause and reduced static stability over the Pacific) as we approach the equinox also favors El Niño growth, as does the extended IPWP/solar min, as all of these will want to help contract/intensify the Hadley Cell with time. Of course, a 2005/06 or 2007/08 outcome is also within the realm of possibility, albeit less likely. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Requiem should be seeing snow this morning. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 31* icyI’m assuming the same that Pdx got if this band holds together Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 If nothing else, I’ve learned a lot about how to forecast seasonally in regimes like this. I way underestimated the QBO/IOD —> NAM/PV connection that would want to keep things more zonal. My hunch is usually to weight these factors higher than the “consensus” so I’m not sure why I didn’t this year. Even during solar minimum, this connection would hold with westerlies at/below 40mb. Just a dumb move on my part. I also put too much weight on the IPWP structure and seasonality/modern climatology of forcing dynamics, which would have favored more -EPO. But in hindsight there are decadal/multidecadal oscillations involved that aren’t always stable/predictable, and we appear to be approaching another “flip” in one (or many) of those. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 My son at UW wanted to know if our snow was melting... he was hoping it was not. I sent him this on Snapchat. Snow seems to get put back on the trees every night... here is the view this morning. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 This month could have been one for the ages in the PNW. Unfortunately, this motherf**ker ruined it. Just too much zonal momentum at the wrong latitudes at the wrong time. Next window for an Arctic blast is February 10th-20th. In the meantime..the PV is gonna climax, then the -AAM propagation begins to attack from the top-down. 4 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 some 2AM snow in Bellingham tonight! (Meridian neighborhood) https://i.imgur.com/EQD1g48.mp4 So that's when it fell. Noticed a dusting of new stuff on the walk this morning. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Clear and 17 here. Had a dusting of new snow overnight. Downtown Bellingham (just a few miles away) is getting some marine influence and is 32 right now. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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