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Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion


snow_wizard

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Wow! What an incredible event!

 

Fell asleep waiting for the last shower to pass so I could get a final measurement for the night. Stayed on the north side of the front until 10:30 when the snowflake bombs began to drop and we shot up to 31F, but that's when it really started to accumulate.

 

Received 5" between 7 pm and midnight and another 2" after midnight which gave me a total for January 14 of 8.5" and a storm total of 10.75". For comparison, this is about half an inch less than I received during all of last winter.

 

Snow depth is about 8-9", deeper than anything I've had since 2011, or maybe even 2008. Now with the temperature at 33F the melt begins. I'll post some pics later.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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Truly amazing! 17* here off Slater Road and all the way to about Fairhaven and nuking snow. Was 28* at North Lake Samish when I hit a tree laying across the freeway... 33 up the front end of the family Honda Pilot. My wife told me not to venture out tonight too. OH WELL. It was worth it. Thank god i have full coverage on it... my cheap a** always goes with the cheapest s**t... figured since my wife was going to be driving it i’d get full coverage.... . Amazing drive though.. went all around lake whatcom to south bay drive, to Glenhaven.. stopped and hung out with bry for a bit them made the treck from Alger exit 240 to 260 in Ferndale... hit the tree between 246 and 250... damnit...

 

Amazing temperature gradiet... 30 at exit 240 in Alger. 28* at North Lake Samish exit 246... 20*f in Fairhaven exit 250 and 17*f at 260. WILD. Dumping snow everywhere but Glenhaven was the clear winner in terms of Depth.

If the snowfall pattern exhibited by the recent event(s) is typical, it is going to be seriously difficult not to entertain thoughts of moving to a cabin in the Chuckanut Mountains.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Added another 1/2” after I went to bed it looks like. I have a lot of snow to plow in a few hours! Still only 30.5 degrees. DP is 28.

 

Probably around a foot of snow.

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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PDX hit 32 before midnight yesterday. SCORE.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Dropped to 23 around 3am. Back up to 27 now with clouds. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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PDX hit 32 before midnight yesterday. SCORE.

SEA had a morning low of 34. And the south wind is still going there.

 

Looks like the low temp there today will be above freezing. Wonder how many bets you could have won with that stat last week when the models showed a high in the teens for today?

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Well that was a bummer of a night. And of course the first thing I hear on the radio this morning was the host complaining that it ‘wasn’t supposed to snow Monday and it did, but it was supposed to snow last night and it didn’t’ so they had a guy from the NWS come on to explain.

Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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SEA had a morning low of 34. And the south wind is still going there.

 

Looks like the low temp there today will be above freezing. Wonder how many bets you could have won with that stat last week when the models showed a high in the teens for today?

 

Pretty wild. Temps already on the way up here. I would imagine I'll hit somewhere in the 38-40 range today before the colder air behind the system starts moving in. Probably cooler tomorrow and Friday up here. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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SEA had a morning low of 34. And the south wind is still going there.

Looks like the low temp there today will be above freezing. Wonder how many bets you could have won with that stat last week when the models showed a high in the teens for today?

Looks like I was right about the heavy snow I mentioned for Port Angels last week but totally wrong on how it happened.
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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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SEA had a morning low of 34. And the south wind is still going there.

Looks like the low temp there today will be above freezing. Wonder how many bets you could have won with that stat last week when the models showed a high in the teens for today?

Pretty disappointing how close we came to a historic pattern for the entire region and fell short by a sliver.
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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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Pretty disappointing how close we came to a historic pattern for the entire region and fell short by a sliver.

 

 

So incredibly close for the Seattle area.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Could get ugly here this afternoon with the east wind and heavy wet snow. Almost every model shows between 10 and 20 inches over a large part of the kitsap peninsula and hood canal over the next 30 hrs. Not sure how aggressive the euro looks. Temp still holding at 30 here.

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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Looks like I was right about the heavy snow I mentioned for Port Angels last week but totally wrong on how it happened.

 

 

Remember when someone said that there will probably be lots of snow on a day we were not even considering right now?   That was a good call.   Nothing went as planned... but for some people that meant much more snow!

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Remember when someone said that there will probably be lots of snow on a day we were not even considering right now?   That was a good call.   Nothing went as planned... but for some people that meant much more snow!

How do the models look for wind at your place compared to past events? 16mb gradient over the cascades is powerful.

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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Hope Timmy Supercell is staying warm. Looks like K-Falls has hit 0 this morning. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Could get ugly here this afternoon with the east wind and heavy wet snow. Almost every model shows between 10 and 20 inches over a large part of the kitsap peninsula and hood canal over the next 30 hrs. Not sure how aggressive the euro looks. Temp still holding at 30 here.

 

 

The difference between my area and your area is going to be huge the next couple days.   There will be barely any precip at all out here between now and Friday.   Its fascinating how the script is completely flipped in this situation.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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How do the models look for wind at your place compared to past events? 16mb gradient over the cascades is powerful.

 

 

I have not really been paying attention.    Maybe this will surprise me too.

 

I just looked at the ECMWF and it does not look too extreme... the wind peaks for a couple hours late this afternoon and then its done this evening.    Its certainly quick compared to some of the extended events that we have in the past that went on for days.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The difference between my area and your area is going to be huge the next couple days.   There will be barely any precip at all out here between now and Friday.   Its fascinating how the script is completely flipped in this situation.

Yeah it's been awhile since we've had a powerful upslope event here. Probably 2008 was the last big one. Will you see temp drop there with the offshore today or will you warm?

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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GFS ensemble is pretty much climo once we get past a brief torch at the beginning of next week. Operational looks pretty mild though. Some ensemble noise about maybe some cool troughing the end of next week. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Hope Timmy Supercell is staying warm. Looks like K-Falls has hit 0 this morning. 

 

Looks like they hit -2 on the 5min obs. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Whats been great this week is that there has been very light traffic out there for my commutes. Loving that!

Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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Truly amazing! 17* here off Slater Road and all the way to about Fairhaven and nuking snow. Was 28* at North Lake Samish when I hit a tree laying across the freeway... 33 up the front end of the family Honda Pilot. My wife told me not to venture out tonight too. OH WELL. It was worth it. Thank god i have full coverage on it... my cheap a** always goes with the cheapest s**t... figured since my wife was going to be driving it i’d get full coverage.... . Amazing drive though.. went all around lake whatcom to south bay drive, to Glenhaven.. stopped and hung out with bry for a bit them made the treck from Alger exit 240 to 260 in Ferndale... hit the tree between 246 and 250... damnit...

 

Amazing temperature gradiet... 30 at exit 240 in Alger. 28* at North Lake Samish exit 246... 20*f in Fairhaven exit 250 and 17*f at 260. WILD. Dumping snow everywhere but Glenhaven was the clear winner in terms of Depth.

Bummer about nailing the tree, hopefully you rig is not too bent up.  Those Pilots do really good in the snow, we have an ‘07 and never had an issue of getting stuck.  I almost ventured out last night and but was too tired by the time I could get out there.

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