ShawniganLake Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 I can say dry! Yes... another ridiculously dry March here so far as well. That might change pretty significantly during the last week of the month. But it will most definitely be a drier than normal month. April will be very wet... count on it.April was dry here too last year. Might be due for a wet one this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 Good news. The 12Z GFS scaled precip WAYYYYY back for the rest of the month. Significantly less mountain snow too. Probably closer to how things will turn out in reality. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 I have been literally counting down the days until this dry and boring weather ends. Just one more to go now, although sadly the GFS has really gutted what looked like a fun and active pattern to close the month, the past few runs, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 Good news. The 12Z GFS scaled precip WAYYYYY back for the rest of the month. Significantly less mountain snow too. Probably closer to how things will turn out in reality. No doubt the trough has been trending more cold and less wet as the time frame narrows. Nice looking pattern overall if you like below normal temps. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 No doubt the trough has been trending more cold and less wet as the time frame narrows. Nice looking pattern overall if you like below normal temps. I do. But I also like a green landscape and trees that aren't dying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 33 here too. The streak is broken. I actually ended up colder than both you and Mossman yesterday. This spot is pretty decent for cold low temps much of the time. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 I do. But I also like a green landscape and trees that aren't dying. True. It's been a lot wetter up here so my perspective is a bit different. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 First morning in the 40s here in awhile this morning. March may just slightly end up being my coolest month of the entire cold season which is pretty hard to pull off. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 We’ve only had 4 freezes here but lots of mornings in the low to mid 30s this month. Lots of frosty mornings. Haven’t had much rain...only 1.09” and no rain the past 8 days. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 True. It's been a lot wetter up here so my perspective is a bit different. Different perspectives based on where its been anomalously wet and where its been anomalously dry... interesting concept. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 We have a good cluster of solidly cold ensemble members around March 29 with several below -6. Could be in response to the coming PV breakup. That event will set the stage for a possible significant cold shot. Even before that time we have a sustained period of sub -4 850s showing up on the mean. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 We have a good cluster of solidly cold ensemble members around March 29 with several below -6. Could be in response to the coming PV breakup. That event will set the stage for a possible significant cold shot. Even before that time we have a sustained period of sub -4 850s showing up on the mean. Looks like a ton of spread in early April. Could be a big ridge or a fairly cold trough. To me that would indicate the potential for an amplified pattern, the models just can figure out whether to put the ridge over us or offshore. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 First morning in the 40s here in awhile this morning. March may just slightly end up being my coolest month of the entire cold season which is pretty hard to pull off. I managed to drop to 35 here before the clouds arrived. Really been an amazing run of cold low temps here with 11 lows of 32 or lower and a number in the 27 to 30 range. With next week slated to be cold this will be a solidly chilly month. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 Looks like a ton of spread in early April. Could be a big ridge or a fairly cold trough. To me that would indicate the potential for an amplified pattern, the models just can figure out whether to put the ridge over us or offshore. I'm all in for a 1949 or 1951 type spring. Years like that had frost deep into the spring with sub 40 lows common in May and June. I have yet to see a spring like that. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 It does seem like the spring green up got off to an early start, thanks in part to a mild mid-winter, but has since slowed down a lot the last 7-10 days due to the generally cool and dry weather. Any rain we manage to get next week will help things along even if it’s cold rain. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 It does seem like the spring green up got off to an early start, thanks in part to a mild mid-winter, but has since slowed down a lot the last 7-10 days due to the generally cool and dry weather. Any rain we manage to get next week will help things along even if it’s cold rain. I noticed the same thing... and was thinking that rain will advance things more quickly regardless of the temperature. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 Today is cloudier than I was expecting. Anyway, just like flipping a switch...Our month long -PNA will be making the jump at the first of the month. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 I sure wasn't expecting today to be this cloudy and chilly. Only 43 at 11:30. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 I sure wasn't expecting today to be this cloudy and chilly. Only 43 at 11:30. Sunny and nice here... and sunny from the start. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 Anyone else noticing the compete lack of contrails today? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 ECMWF is very wet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 Man it really clouded up today. That was kind of a pleasant surprise. Still holding at just 48 here. Could be a good ten degrees cooler than yesterday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 Popcorn looking clouds today. Skies have more of a Spring-like vibe now. SPC actually has a thunder boundary going just north of the OR/CA border, but weak chances I think. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 EPS agreed with the operational Euro in setting up a coolish zonal flow pattern days 7-10. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 Severe clear and 51 here after a low of 35. This shot is looking Northwest. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 54 and mostly sunny here... in the yard working all day. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 Not a cloud in the sky here in Victoria at work. Looks like it’s pushing 60 at home. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 Looks like the euro would put down a bit of snow here around day 8-9. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 New ENSO models are out: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 New ENSO models are out: Remember last fall when some people on here said we certainly heading towards a Nina. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 Need to flatten that curve. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 I honestly think the only thing that will save us from the virus at this point is avoiding a La Niña. I suggest the coast guard lock down the ENSO regions to prevent any further infiltration of not so warm water. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 Remember last fall when some people on here said we certainly heading towards a Nina. Michael Ventrice@MJVentriceTropics update: We are seeing widespread enhanced trade winds around the equatorial belt to take place over the next couple weeks. Strong trade winds will result in enhanced downwelling in the western Pacific & upwelling in the eastern Pacific. #ENSO Paul Roundy@PaulRoundy1·Mar 17Replying to @MJVentriceThe ocean T cross section continues to show a warm downwelling wave superimposed on an anomalously shallow thermocline (cold anomaly under warm anomaly). Suggests when the Kelvin wave exits (w/out new big event), La Niña conditions can begin and grow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted March 21, 2020 Report Share Posted March 21, 2020 Chemtrails were out in full force today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 22, 2020 Report Share Posted March 22, 2020 Nice day. UGLY 18z run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 22, 2020 Report Share Posted March 22, 2020 Nice day. UGLY 18z run. Some variety would nice... some sunny, dry days and rainy days mixed in with alternating ridges and troughs. Not sure why the only "good" runs are the ones that show 2 week straight of rain. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 22, 2020 Report Share Posted March 22, 2020 Some variety would nice... some sunny, dry days and rainy days mixed in with alternating ridges and troughs. Not sure why the only "good" runs are the ones that show 2 week straight of rain.We could really use it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 22, 2020 Report Share Posted March 22, 2020 Remember last fall when some people on here said we certainly heading towards a Nina. I don’t remember that. I thought we were heading for a nino. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 22, 2020 Report Share Posted March 22, 2020 We could really use it. Sure... don't need 2 weeks straight though. That does need to be the only criteria to call it a "good" run. Then you will be right back to complaining when 2 weeks of sun follows the 2 weeks of rain. It would be nice if nature could mix it up on a shorter time scale. But that is not how it works most of the time. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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