June 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Jesse]

46F at EUG but 52F in Springfield. Weird.

EUG is in a prime radiational cooling spot. Probably less clouds too since it’s not up against the hills.

[Jesse]

Sun is out here after some early clouds.

 

Low of 49.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Might be some sprinkles here this weekend. 

[Dave]

Santiam State Forest. We went there early last May via Fern Ridge Road in Mehama. Nice spot.

I've pulled my raft out at Fisherman's Bend campground a few times. Nice area. I've always wanted to pay a visit to the 3 pools park, but I've heard it's a bit of a zoo there.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Cool beans.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I've pulled my raft out at Fisherman's Bend campground a few times. Nice area. I've always wanted to pay a visit to the 3 pools park, but I've heard it's a bit of a zoo there.

 

Oh yes. It is an amazing swimming hole, and beyond what you expect in terms of natural beauty. Very crowded in the summer though. I have gone in the off season though and it is not bad. The Little NF Santiam is where everyone in Salem goes to cool off in the summer. 

[Jesse]

Oh yes. It is an amazing swimming hole, and beyond what you expect in terms of natural beauty. Very crowded in the summer though. I have gone in the off season though and it is not bad. The Little NF Santiam is where everyone in Salem goes to cool off in the summer.

 

No love for the Lukiamute?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

No love for the Lukiamute?

 

My guess would be about 2% of people in Salem have ever heard of it. 

[Jesse]

My guess would be about 2% of people in Salem have ever heard of it.

 

I always knew you were part of the 2% Andrew

[BLI snowman]

End of month trough party should seal this as our first cold JJA month since 2012.

[Omegaraptor]

Out of 16 days this month... 10 have reported at HIO as mostly or fully overcast. More typical of January than June.

[Front Ranger]

End of month trough party should seal this as our first cold JJA month since 2012.

 

Indeed.

 

OLM scored 4 out of 5 decidedly cool Junes from 2008-2012. This June will not be as cool as any of them.

 

#pdomatters

[BLI snowman]

Indeed.

 

OLM scored 4 out of 5 decidedly cool Junes from 2008-2012. This June will not be as cool as any of them.

 

#pdomatters

 

Upcoming multi-year super Nina will probably be warmer than the GOAT level 2006-12 cold phase. Another decade of warming to account for. 

[Blizzard777]

End of month trough party should seal this as our first cold JJA month since 2012.

July Imminent !!! Unbelievable 

[Blizzard777]

Low solar continued.......sun on its own lockdown 

 

64* and spotless sun shining 

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF was pretty nice.

 

Sunday is looking decent again as well.

[Jesse]

Pretty amazing how the heat threat has evaporated in recent runs...although wouldn’t surprise me too much to see trend the other way in the coming days.

 

Still looks like some very nice early summer weather on tap. Highs mostly in the 70s the next seven days, with some 80s thrown in too.

[Omegaraptor]

Very nice ECMWF run and nice day.

[Jesse]

Very nice ECMWF run and nice day.

Amazing for January.

[TT-SEA]

With a developing Nina... its safe to assume very little heat and if it comes it will be fleeting.

[The Swamp]

Very nice ECMWF run and nice day.

but that model has been crap lately 

[BLI snowman]

With a developing Nina... its safe to assume very little heat and if it comes it will be fleeting.

 

Years like 1970, 1988, and 1998 definitely had some hawtness. Just depends on the Nina.

[Jesse]

Years like 1970, 1988, and 1998 definitely had some hawtness. Just depends on the Nina.

Yeah, even more recent Niña-tainted warm seasons like 2007 and 2008 had some decent, fairly dynamic heatwaves. Although it’s usually the fun kind, not the stale spells that drag on for 10-12 days.

[Kayla]

but that model has been crap lately 

 

Nope. Week after week, it's still the best we have.

 

[GeorgeWx]

Pretty amazing how the heat threat has evaporated in recent runs...although wouldn’t surprise me too much to see trend the other way in the coming days.

 

Still looks like some very nice early summer weather on tap. Highs mostly in the 70s the next seven days, with some 80s thrown in too.

http://lmgcorporate.com/kptv/weather/web_7-day.jpg

For the middle of summer yes but average high at PDX for this time of year is 74. It will be warmer than that through the next week

[BLI snowman]

Yeah, even more recent Niña-tainted warm seasons like 2007 and 2008 had some decent, fairly dynamic heatwaves. Although it’s usually the fun kind, not the stale spells that drag on for 10-12 days.

 

 

July 2007 was extremely hot east of the Cascades. Not sure the intermountain region has seen a hotter month since.

[TT-SEA]

but that model has been crap lately

Unfortunately yes.

[MossMan]

With a developing Nina... its safe to assume very little heat and if it comes it will be fleeting.

So no July 2009 redux??? Bummer.

[Jesse]

July 2007 was extremely hot east of the Cascades. Not sure the intermountain region has seen a hotter month since.

All time record hot summer in Montana if I recall.

[Jesse]

http://lmgcorporate.com/kptv/weather/webday.jpg

For the middle of summer yes but average high at PDX for this time of year is 74. It will be warmer than that through the next week

A little warmer than average doesn’t mean hot. And a few of those days are definitely overdone given recent model trends.

[Front Ranger]

Yet another fantastic day for sunshine lovers in Seattle/CHOP. 

 

[Front Ranger]

Nope. Week after week, it's still the best we have.

 

Screen Shot 2020-06-17 at 1.29.31 PM.png

 

Doesn't fit the narrative. Toss it out.

[Phil]

Indeed.

 

OLM scored 4 out of 5 decidedly cool Junes from 2008-2012. This June will not be as cool as any of them.

 

#pdomatters

The PDO is a low frequency echo of what’s actually forcing these pattern(s).

[Phil]

With a developing Nina... its safe to assume very little heat and if it comes it will be fleeting.

This year, yes. But there are other reasons for that in addition to the niña, in my opinion.

[Front Ranger]

The PDO is a low frequency echo of what’s actually forcing these pattern(s).

 

[Kayla]

All time record hot summer in Montana if I recall.

 

July 2007 was absolutely insane out here. Average high in Bozeman was 92.4F. Normal average high is 81.5F for the month of July. Blows away any other month by a long shot.

 

Developing Nina's do tend to favor a hot Intermountain West but that has yet to develop thankfully. Looks like we'll go through June without hitting 90 this year so far in Bozeman and just 83 degrees is my high mark thus far.

[Kayla]

Approaching 3pm here and it is currently 42 degrees and still raining. And some on here complain about PNW summer weather! 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Cool beans.

 

 

Buy your ski/snowboard passes!! If there's a bunch of goodies over in Sunriver or that area, I'm going to try and get over there to experience some snow.  I think most of the action will be to the north of us down here but I still have a feeling we will see an Arctic event and a sub-freezing high at some point, even if it's a dry blast.

[Farmboy]

Approaching 3pm here and it is currently 42 degrees and still raining. And some on here complain about PNW summer weather!

Holy smokes! Talk about the year without a summer!! Ouch..

[Jesse]

Holy smokes! Talk about the year without a summer!! Ouch..

One cold day doesn’t make a year without a summer. Even a cold week doesn’t.