August 2023 Weather in the PNW

[TacomaWx]

7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

18z GFS essentially ends summer.

Phil’s prophecy coming true! 

[Requiem]

41 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

A typical sunny, late summer afternoon at University of Communist Indoctrination where the high temperatures in October average higher than the high temperatures in May. 

 

 

Did they relocate Irvine up to the PNW?

[The Cats Meow]

87 glorious degrees at 6pm in the Puyallup Valley.

So amazing.

Looks like a chance for some rain again Tuesday morning.

 Refreshing.

[T-Town]

I think we need rain. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

10 minutes ago, T-Town said:

I think we need rain. 

Looks like it.

[Kolk1604]

So I should set my alarm for 1am Tuesday morning? 

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

18z GFS essentially ends summer.

Yeah... as the season changes you can start counting on the GFS to be way too aggressive most of the time.  

[TT-SEA]

17 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

So I should set my alarm for 1am Tuesday morning? 

Pretty sure nature will wake you up without setting an alarm.  

[RentonHill]

12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Pretty sure nature will wake you up without setting an alarm.  

Don’t listen to this fool @Kolk1604 set your alarm. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, RentonHill said:

Don’t listen to this fool @Kolk1604 set your alarm. 

Might as well stay up all night if you are going to set an alarm for 1 a.m.  

[RentonHill]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Might as well stay up all night if you are going to set an alarm for 1 a.m.  

that’s what I plan on then driving straight to twisp for round 2 that evening

[TacomaWx]

Mean temp so far this month is 68.9 degrees. 0.4 degrees warmer than august 2022. We are 0.3 degrees shy of July 2015, the warmest month I’ve ever recorded. The mean temp will come down just slightly but still should end up close to August 2022 and 2014. 

[Cold Snap]

Had a high of 85 today. 15th 85+ high temp of the year IMBY.

[YahRaEl]

Interesting a bit day at my location is actually 88° or over according to this. A night at 49° or less is a cold night for the month.

 https://www.meteoblue.com/en/weather/historyclimate/climatemodelled/swan-creek-county-park_united-states_5812803

[TT-SEA]

00Z NAM is very wet for Tuesday.   

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z NAM is very wet for Tuesday.   

Some of the set ups on the models  have looked similar to the path the storms on 9/17/19 took…just right east of the sound over Seattle. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Some of the set ups on the models  have looked similar to the path the storms on 9/17/19 took…just right east of the sound over Seattle. 

Totally agree... feels really similar.

[TacomaWx]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Totally agree... feels really similar.

Wish I had a better camera for that one, it took like the perfect pathway for us here in north Tacoma. 

[Jbolin]

1 hour ago, T-Town said:

I think we need rain. 

Nah. Your lawn hasn't reached south Texas "brown" quite yet. 

[Jbolin]

5 hours ago, Deweydog said:

RIP Bob Barker

Sooo close to reaching 100 w/o going over

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, Requiem said:

Did they relocate Irvine up to the PNW?

Apparently so. That's why we got so much rain last winter and one of the worst May Gray/June Gloom seasons ever.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

I am in the cone! Might get some Hurricane footage! 

[Cascadia_Wx]

39 minutes ago, Jbolin said:

Nah. Your lawn hasn't reached south Texas "brown" quite yet. 

Do you know what the actual purpose of quotation marks are?

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Would be nice to see this verify:

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

Would be nice to see this verify:

Tuesday and Thursday look quite wet on the 00Z run.   

[Deweydog]

Real deal.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

32 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I am in the cone! Might get some Hurricane footage! 

I hope you don’t live to regret that excitement. A major hurricane is serious stuff.

[jcmcgaffey]

1 hour ago, TacomaWx said:

Some of the set ups on the models  have looked similar to the path the storms on 9/17/19 took…just right east of the sound over Seattle. 

Was just thinking the same thing. 2019 were remnants of a hurricane and was unusually warm and wet with more instability than this probably will be but hoping I’m wrong. 

[lowlandsnow]

Was just looking at trip reports on WTA crazy how fast Inter glacier on Mount Rainier is disappearing. 
This is my photo of it in Mid-August 2019. Here is a link to it in 2023 Burroughs Mountain — Washington Trails Association (wta.org) The summers since 2013 have really been detrimental for glaciers in Washington and even more so for Oregon.

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I hope you don’t live to regret that excitement. A major hurricane is serious stuff.

I hope he lives.

[Meatyorologist]

Tuesday is gonna be a classic. Thunderstorms in the morning, potentially multiple rounds, giving way to stratoform rain into the evening. It'll be a rainy, cool day east of the Sound.

[Dave]

35 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Tuesday is gonna be a classic. Thunderstorms in the morning, potentially multiple rounds, giving way to stratoform rain into the evening. It'll be a rainy, cool day east of the Sound.

Looks like a bag of dikks is in store for the southern WV. Oh well, I won't complain. We had a great light show the other day. It would be nice if we could get at least some rain. .05 isn't gonna be very helpful though.

[NWbyNW]

Lol! Forecast for Sunday was 85F, then down to 83F.  We tipped the scales at 73F in Everett.  Nice.  Currently 64F.  The smoke really kept the sun and heat at bay.  

[Cloud]

Last 3 GFS runs pretty much put an abrupt end to summer. Quite aggressive!

[The Blob]

Went to Costco yesterday and found Christmas. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

8 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I hope you don’t live to regret that excitement. A major hurricane is serious stuff.

I lived through Hurricane Andrew, I understand Hurricanes. My family has been through a dozen of them. I’m prepared.

[Front Ranger]

0z Euro gave a decent amount of rain throughout the region. Looking increasingly like this will be a far different late warm/fire season than last year.

[TT-SEA]

Ran some numbers... SEA is currently at an average of 70.8 for the month and should end up right around 70 taking in account the projected cooler temps from Tuesday-Thursday to end the month.    Last August ended up exactly at 70.0 and was the 4th warmest month ever at SEA.   This month should end up in the top 5 warmest months ever and the 3rd warmest August (just behind 2017 and maybe 2022). 

[Front Ranger]

Euro is still not onboard with Idalia becoming a major hurricane before it hits Florida, and we're talking 3 days out now. 

While the gulf waters are plenty warm, apparently wind shear is not super favorable. 

[TT-SEA]

2 hours ago, Cloud said:

Last 3 GFS runs pretty much put an abrupt end to summer. Quite aggressive!

Technically not true for the 00Z run last night.   It showed a return to something close to the current pattern with temps back into the 80s for week 2.   Definitely true for the 18Z run yesterday and the 06Z run though.     I remember declarations of summer being over at the end of August last year as well based on some aggressive GFS runs.   Although there is absolutely no way this September and October end up like last year.   That was crazy.