August 2023 Weather in the PNW

[MossMan]

30 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Biggest concern over the next few days will be new fires on a local level, we have had a couple out this way relatively close in the last week or so, but were contained in a reasonable amount of time.

Yeah it’s quite concerning. Until a few years ago I was never concerned about fires west of the Cascades but that is now a big concern, even with my own backyard. There was someone at the Skagit fair that had a booth about wildfire prevention. I sure as hell hope it’s NOT coming. 

[LowerGarfield]

10 hours ago, Tanis Leach said:

Haven't posted yet, even though I've had an account for a few months, but I feel like now is a good time. I have a Bachelor's in Climate Science from OSU with a focus on meteorology, and while in school, I have somewhat maintained a YouTube channel with Willamette Valley "severe weather" videos, when appropriate (schedule was too crazy to warrant a consistent schedule). The upcoming heatwave has hit my criteria that causes me to make a video, so I'd thought I'd share it. I take comments, questions, complaints, (niceish) hate mail. 

I will not post technical info tonight, but typically, I have as a weather forum/FB group exclusive technical info for my forecast rationale. I also am aware I need a better YouTube profile image and am intending to change it probably in October (assuming I can get around to it). When that gets updated, I'll change this as well (I just copied it over as a placeholder). I also may do a graphics overhaul (granted its all PowerPoint so my options are limited) around the same time. I also have done long range winter forecasts, presenting at the winter weather conference at OMSI the last 3 years, and 3 more before for private uses (aka early education learning). 

Welcome!!!!!

[LowerGarfield]

2 hours ago, MossMan said:

 

Glad I'm not the only one with the error message and unable to react. I'm sure @iFred or @Meatyorologist know about it. But it's more fun to react. Currently 86F here.

[High Desert Mat?]

It’s going to be hot outside early next week but will she know?

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Yeah it’s quite concerning. Until a few years ago I was never concerned about fires west of the Cascades but that is now a big concern, even with my own backyard. There was someone at the Skagit fair that had a booth about wildfire prevention. I sure as hell hope it’s NOT coming. 

It would take a strong east wind to spread any fire on the west side.   Just need decent rain before the first east wind event in September or October. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

6 hours ago, T-Town said:

Last night’s sunset. 

[GobBluth]

Less of a ridge and more a significantly displaced zonal jet.. I really don't remember this type of pattern more than 10 years ago.

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS... not much of a heat wave and then back to the warm side of normal where we have been most of the summer.   

[TigerWoodsLibido]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS... not much of a heat wave and then back to the warm side of normal where we have been most of the summer.   

Going to be over 100F for 4 days here with east winds and high fire danger. I wish you could experience it. Plus the impending wildfire disaster. Just to get an ethnographic understanding of how dire the situation is in this part of the region.

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Going to be over 100F for 4 days here with east winds and high fire danger. I wish you could experience it. Plus the impending wildfire disaster. Just to get an ethnographic understanding of how dire the situation is in this part of the region.

We experienced it last September.   There was a couple days of explosive fire growth on the west side with an east wind.   Then those fires smoldered in place for another month putting out tons of smoke.

[TT-SEA]

Tuesday and Wednesday are the hottest days per the ECMWF and the wind is decidedly onshore those days.   

[lowlandsnow]

It's crazy that Eugene has had more 90-degree days in August so far and July than the number of 80-degree days Seattle Boeing Field has had. 18 vs 16

[TigerWoodsLibido]

2 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

It's crazy that Eugene has had more 90-degree days in August so far and July than the number of 80-degree days Seattle Boeing Field has had. 18 vs 16

Par for the course anymore. We are the new California.

[Timmy]

22 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS... not much of a heat wave and then back to the warm side of normal where we have been most of the summer.   

Can you do Portland ?

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Timmy said:

Can you do Portland ?

Significantly worse for the heat wave.

[YahRaEl]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Significantly worse for the heat wave.

Even OLM is worse than SEA but still not like PDX.

[YahRaEl]

Euro forecast for Eastside Tacoma 

[YahRaEl]

75-80° right here currently in Eastside Tacoma Neighborhood per the 7 WX Stations around. 

[Deweydog]

@Front Ranger

[Phil]

3 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

Cousin is visiting from Europe for a couple weeks after spending some time in Chicago as well.

One of his biggest observations about our climate is apparently how little wind there is.

I had noticed that too. Especially at night.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

48 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We experienced it last September.   There was a couple days of explosive fire growth on the west side with an east wind.   Then those fires smoldered in place for another month putting out tons of smoke.

Oh please. That was like 1% of what we go through year after year.  

[GobBluth]

39 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Significantly worse for the heat wave.

Nice to lose the secondary spike Thursday 

[FroYoBro]

Just hit 90 here. Nice bonus day to start the streak.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

And it's official. Another 90F burger in the books.

[Front Ranger]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS... not much of a heat wave and then back to the warm side of normal where we have been most of the summer.   

 

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Significantly worse for the heat wave.

Would be highly unusual for PDX to peak 16 degrees warmer than SEA in a heatwave.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

 

Would be highly unusual for PDX to peak 16 degrees warmer than SEA in a heatwave.

Agreed.

[YahRaEl]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Agreed.

I think temps will be higher than forecast slightly for SEA

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

I had noticed that too. Especially at night.

We notice the same thing every year during our trip to MN.  Seems like it's usually more windy everywhere else than it is at home.

[Snownerd3000]

3 hours ago, High Desert Mat? said:

It’s going to be hot outside early next week but will she know?

We need reactions back ASAP lol

[YahRaEl]

Yes please

[Cold Snap]

5 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

Oh how quickly our standards change!

The fact that Seattle now has a higher all time record high than the majority of big U.S. cities is pretty remarkable. And prior to 2021, 108 was considered about the upper end of westside heat potential for anyone from the Willamette Valley north.

There was a station out in Maple Valley that hit 118 during that heat wave. I never thought it would be possible to get 115+ let alone 110+ west of the Cascades in WA. Redmond hit 112 and Duvall hit 107 but I remember the heat index being 115 because of the dew point. That is the hottest weather I’ve ever experienced in my life. The fact that I’ve been to Las Vegas and Phoenix in August before and haven’t witnessed as hot of weather there as I have in WA is crazy to me.

[Front Ranger]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We notice the same thing every year during our trip to MN.  Seems like it's usually more windy everywhere else than it is at home.

Definitely much windier here in CO. However, this map may be suspect as it shows Phil barely windier than Tim.

[Tyler Mode]

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Definitely much windier here in CO. However, this map may be suspect as it shows Phil barely windier than Tim.

Is this a map of where there are and aren't trees? lol

[High Desert Mat?]

7 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Definitely much windier here in CO. However, this map may be suspect as it shows Phil barely windier than Tim.

Seems real suspect. Feels pretty windy here year round, at least compared to the Portland area when I lived there. 

[MossMan]

Quite the NW wind blowing this afternoon. 

[MossMan]

Sick Phil gently swaying in the wind. 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Definitely much windier here in CO. However, this map may be suspect as it shows Phil barely windier than Tim.

That is somewhat underdone here, though Aug/Sep can be dead calm outside convection in some years.

Feb-Apr are always very windy though, no matter the year. Roars day and night.

[Phil]

There is condensation dripping from the ceiling at the house we’re staying at. This is a sealed indoor room. Absurd humidity.

[MossMan]

11 minutes ago, Phil said:

There is condensation dripping from the ceiling at the house we’re staying at. This is a sealed indoor room. Absurd humidity.

[YahRaEl]

78-82° the high here at Eastside Tacoma