January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part I)

[SilverFallsAndrew]

38 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I think Wilsonville or so was the prime latitude for that particular storm. 

I remember amounts being lighter on the west side. I believe even down to Eugene had snow so it was pretty widespread. The Salem area got about 3-6” with higher amounts east of I-5. We had about 6” in Silverton. 

[ShawniganLake]

11 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Wow!

The EPS was way better than the 500mb mean would indicate.  A lot of cold members there.

Definitely seeing a cluster of arctic members across ensembles after the 10th.  That 10th-15th period is likely our target for arctic air this winter. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

10 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

It was below freezing here for a full 2 weeks.  Seems like Andrew generally scores a lot of foothill level snow in the cold onshore flow that often sets up south of the arctic front. 

100% as frustrating as those patterns can be that is one of the best setups for bigtime snow here. Especially during the heart of winter. 

[Dave]

Something must be broken with the weather. It is somehow warm and sunny down here in the Eugenes. That hardly ever happens this time of year. Oh, and the Ducks won another NY6 bowl game. If we could play Warshington a few more times we could easily prove who the better team is.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

24 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Wow!

The EPS was way better than the 500mb mean would indicate.  A lot of cold members there.

Not to mention a few lovely members featuring 50-burgers!

[Phishy Wx]

5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Not to mention a few lovely members featuring 50-burgers!

inconvenient details, shhhhh

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like Salem is still cloudy and 40. PDX about to start the year with a 50 burger. New Year’s Day 1930 was a warm one. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

All Euro members and most GFS members now calling for at YVR.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

There was a big N/S temp gradient in January 1969. I believe January 2017 was slightly colder than 1969 at EUG. 

[snow_wizard]

The Spire looks cold with the second trough and looks set to deliver on the third.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The Spire looks cold with the second trough and looks set to deliver on the third.

New favorite model. 

[snow_wizard]

13 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Not to mention a few lovely members featuring 50-burgers!

Those are obviously what made the mean look so bad.  The point was there are a lot of good members for how poor the 500mb mean looked for the third trough.

[Dave]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

There was a big N/S temp gradient in January 1969. I believe January 2017 was slightly colder than 1969 at EUG. 

Meh. It didn't make much difference. It DUMPED in 69. The snow didn't care if it was 30 degrees or 28 degrees. We're about due for something like that to happen again. I will throw snowballs at TWL when it happens.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like Salem is still cloudy and 40. PDX about to start the year with a 50 burger. New Year’s Day 1930 was a warm one. 

At least the Portland area got into the sun today.  Looks like the northern and southern WV were given a break from the gloom.   No such luck for the majority of the WV though.    

Sunny with high clouds here... temp is 49 in North Bend which might end up the high for the day.     East wind and incoming clouds will assure a mild night out here.  

[snow_wizard]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

New favorite model. 

It looks a lot like the graph cast in this case.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Ensemble snow models for SEA and PDX:

[snow_wizard]

10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like Salem is still cloudy and 40. PDX about to start the year with a 50 burger. New Year’s Day 1930 was a warm one. 

The bummer of it is the airmass is reasonably cool today.

Ended up pretty good here with a low of 30 and current temp 46.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

The bummer of it is the airmass is reasonably cool today.

Ended up pretty good here with a low of 30 and current temp 46.

Chilly day here at the top of the low cloud deck. Keep going in and out of the sun. 

[snow_wizard]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Chilly day here at the top of the low cloud deck. Keep going in and out of the sun. 

I've found that the coldest temps are often at the top of an inversion.

[westcoastexpat]

12Z ECMWF ensembles 

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The bummer of it is the airmass is reasonably cool today.

Ended up pretty good here with a low of 30 and current temp 46.

Not really a cool air mass overhead today.  Temps seem in line with 850mb temps where there is sun.

[Jakewestsalem]

Hoping for a bit of delay in all the Winter weather for a bit as I will be driving my daughter's new car back to TN next week.

Leaving 1/9 and heading south to Barstow, CA and then east on I40 to Nashville by 1/12.

Would prefer no snow, but at least it's a Subaru Forester

[ShawniganLake]

14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

There was a big N/S temp gradient in January 1969. I believe January 2017 was slightly colder than 1969 at EUG. 

It was one of the all time great cold months up here. 

Monthly means

Shawnigan Lake 26.6F

Abbotsford 23F

Hope 18F

My grandparents owned a marina in Mill Bay that winter.  My mom remembers it being locked in ice, with substantial icing over of many Salt water Bays

[Dave]

17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It looks a lot like the graph cast in this case.

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said:

Jan 69 already had cold air in place (at least over here) and 11" of snow on the ground on Jan 1st.  a brief warm up then the hammer drop around the 2nd week.  but there was snow cover the whole month.  doesn't seem like the best anal log.

also 42" of snow on the ground on 2/1/69

Where was the 42 inch reading?

[Front Ranger]

21 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

There was a big N/S temp gradient in January 1969. I believe January 2017 was slightly colder than 1969 at EUG. 

OLM has almost 59" of snow that month, absolutely insane.

[Phishy Wx]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Where was the 42 inch reading?

Spokane airport I assume

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

OLM has almost 59" of snow that month, absolutely insane.

My dad told me he could bury a yard stick on flat ground. That was near bremerton airport.

[Snownerd3000]

44 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Not to mention a few lovely members featuring 50-burgers!

[Meatyorologist]

42 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

There was a big N/S temp gradient in January 1969. I believe January 2017 was slightly colder than 1969 at EUG. 

In many ways that strong gradient is a side effect of the intense snows. Hard to have one without the other.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

36 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Ensemble snow models for SEA and PDX:

Could you perhaps post those images but for bend oregon? I'm curious on how confident the models are of my area getting a good dumping

 

[Meatyorologist]

18z is going off rn, that block is beautiful at D8

[Phishy Wx]

druncle is NOT embracing Sober January

[Meatyorologist]

That weather pattern is something else. Want to see the Euro join tonight.

[Dave]

3 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

druncle is NOT embracing Sober January

Need details, please

[TT-SEA]

Now 3-0 Kraken!   They said ice was getting a little soft but they made sure rink was placed in shaded area of field.   Of course that is not too hard on January 1st.    

 

[RentonHill]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

18z is going off rn, that block is beautiful at D8

 

[RentonHill]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

That weather pattern is something else. Want to see the Euro join tonight.

do i spy a little something coming over the pole for us?? a belated gift from santa???

[Kolk1604]

11 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Could you perhaps post those images but for bend oregon? I'm curious on how confident the models are of my area getting a good dumping

 

What station is that? 

EDIT: This one? 

[Phishy Wx]

1 minute ago, RentonHill said:

 

two lobes

like euro