Still all playing out like '19, '20, and '21.
Try a mental exercise, close your eyes.
Think of cold, snow, a wintery landscape. Think of the cityscapes of Vancouver, Seattle, Portland, and Eugene, and picture them with just globs of snow heaped over them. Keep your eyes closed and imagine maps filled with those pepto pinks and purples. Imagine that arctic air spilling over Vancouver Island and making its way back to Washington and Oregon. Imagine regional blizzard warnings and snow cov
Yeah, the delta on Monday will be telling with Graphcast and Spire. People forget (or don't know) that both models only work off of initialization data and then use various degrees of image based machine learning at very high terrain definitions. Its effectively taking those analog lists to the next level. This means though that there is no real condition modeling taking place, but rather a "I think this feature will develop here because it typically does when these patterns at these levels are
Flying to Anchorage Alaska tommorow afternoon and will stay 2 nights in Talkeetna, pretty lucky for this solar storm to overlap with our trip up to the land of the northern lights, but unfortunately it's looking super cloudy tommorow night. Maybe we'll get a miracle...
Is there any chance of a light show on Saturday night? It's looking like we have a chance of getting a couple of open patches in the clouds thst night, would love to see the aurora!
First off I will clarify, I don't know s**t about forecasting for alaska, but it seems like the weather is looking decent for our Denali expedition starting Sunday, seems like 1/3rd of the days will be pretty clear and the other days will be somewhat cold and snowy but it's not looking like we'll have many major storms to bring us extreme cold winds and heavy snow, those storms are usually what you have to worry about. 20-40% of the days being nice is usually all you need to be able to summit, the bad weather days are used for altitude acclimation.
Not sure if we'll actually be able to land on the Kahiltna glacier on Sunday, that's when our air taxi is reserved but it often gets delayed because of weather. Forecast is calling for light snow in the morning without much wind and I am yet to be informed if they can fly in those conditions, hopefully they can because otherwise we'll have to wait till Wednesday to fly to the glacier.
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