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7 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

What are your thoughts on where this is going? Seems like the models are still in flux. 

Yeah, hopefully things are stabilizing as far as the WAA goes, but I kinda thought we would more of a shift north with the precip shield as well. Doesn’t quite wanna do it at the moment.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Just got a text that Snoqualmie Valley schools are closed tomorrow.   Pretty wimpy for maybe 1-2 inches of snow across the district.   They have had school in session with this much snow many times particularly since the snow is done now and it won't be snowing in the morning.   But apparently they had not one but two buses sideways on hills this afternoon so I guess they figured they could burn a snow day in a Nino winter.  

I’ve mentioned before my daughter had 18 full snow days last winter, and probably 6-7 late starts due to snow. She did have a couple in November, but something similar to what happened in your area happened with a school bus in Silverton in early December 2022 when a rogue snow/grapuel shower dropped 1-2” of snow across Silverton just as school let out. It was a very snowy winter, but that seemed excessive. They’ve had snow every day this week and she’s only had one two hour delay, so they’ve been trying a little harder this year. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I have spent hrs researching this and thinking about it. If it happened now it would be the same damage as a hurricane hitting the golf coast. In some of the snowier spots it was more like 6 and 7 feet. I always wonder how deep it was around hood canal. I know the track of the storm was ideal and if Seattle had 5 feet some places might of had 8 feet. It's just incredible.  

 

Yeah it makes me wonder how much my area had as well…It would cause lots of destruction but wow would it be incredible to live it! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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26 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

It was awesome meeting y’all tonight. Had a great time let’s do it again soon! @Meatyorologist @SouthHillFrosty @iFred @Cold Snap @andrewr

I recognize @Meatyorologist Was grateful to have y'all stop by the south valley this past summer.

@iFred if y'all make it down this way then please let me know. I'll try to gather the Oregon posters.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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2 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

We did slightly better than Randy perhaps even twice as much!   Do we count this as a win?   Go South Sound! 

Lol absolutely. It’s enough here so far that the ground will be white for a couple days. Might get whiter if somehow we get a tiny bit of snow Saturday somehow…

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’ve mentioned before my daughter had 18 full snow days last winter, and probably 6-7 late starts due to snow. She did have a couple in November, but something similar to what happened in your area happened with a school bus in Silverton in early December 2022 when a rogue snow/grapuel shower dropped 1-2” of snow across Silverton just as school let out. It was a very snowy winter, but that seemed excessive. They’ve had snow every day this week and she’s only had one two hour delay, so they’ve been trying a little harder this year. 

18 snow days is insane. Did school go till mid July?

My district doesn’t get out till the last week of June even without any snow days. 

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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Alright PDX fam, hunker down time. Feels like a dynamic situation and as always I’m sure we’ll have some wild discrepancies based on microclimates. Winds look nasty and south metro to mid-valley could be an ice rink. Looking forward to watching it unfold tomorrow!

here we go batman GIF

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Portland | Raleigh Hills/West Sylvan | 350’

”All models are wrong, some are useful.”

-G. Box

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6 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I have spent hrs researching this and thinking about it. If it happened now it would be the same damage as a hurricane hitting the golf coast. In some of the snowier spots it was more like 6 and 7 feet. I always wonder how deep it was around hood canal. I know the track of the storm was ideal and if Seattle had 5 feet some places might of had 8 feet. It's just incredible.  

 

Over how many days did the 5 feet fall?

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1 minute ago, Olive1010 said:

There won't be snow Friday afternoon??

Probably a little light snow at the leading edge of the arctic air down in the valley. Best chances between Salem and Eugene. But that first system is kind of sinking away out of the picture pretty fast so it looks pretty anemic. 

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Arctic boundary now in northern Gilliam County, OR near Arlington.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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2 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

Very unlikely

Well D**n, glad they preemptively closed my kids school 3 hours early for nothing then 😂 Pretty sure everyone is trying to avoid the stranded bus fiasco from several years back so I get it.

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Portland | Raleigh Hills/West Sylvan | 350’

”All models are wrong, some are useful.”

-G. Box

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4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I’m not sure if you were aware of this or not…but it barely snowed at his house. 

 

IMG_1782.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Did anyone post the Ukmet? I haven’t seen the #2 global model yet 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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00Z ECMWF is a little south and precip looks very light in Portland in the middle of the afternoon on Saturday.

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-precip_1hr_inch-5186800.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Did anyone post the Ukmet? I haven’t seen the #2 global model yet 

@Doinko posted it earlier. 

Decent jog north from its earlier run. Like most of the 00z guidance, not looking like any huge snow totals anywhere but at least a solid bullseye over the PDX metro.

ukie_sn10_acc-imp.us_nw.png

 

ukie_qpf_048h-imp.us_nw.png

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16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’ve mentioned before my daughter had 18 full snow days last winter, and probably 6-7 late starts due to snow. She did have a couple in November, but something similar to what happened in your area happened with a school bus in Silverton in early December 2022 when a rogue snow/grapuel shower dropped 1-2” of snow across Silverton just as school let out. It was a very snowy winter, but that seemed excessive. They’ve had snow every day this week and she’s only had one two hour delay, so they’ve been trying a little harder this year. 

Wow. Do they do remote learning instead?

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Looks like it's about done.  The radar looks good over me right now, but it's just a light flurry.  Ended up with about quarter inch.  Pretty disappointing when you consider this could be the best January Arctic blast in decades.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Heaviest snow comes Saturday evening.  

ecmwf-deterministic-or_wa-snow_24hr_kuchera-5212000.png

I know that a lot of the willamette valley south of there is sleet/ice so it’s not showing up…but such a funky looking snow map. Not a very wide swath of snowfall. 

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