January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[Olive1010]

Does this look accurate? Just put the weather station thermometer to another location near my house because it was getting too warm for no reason.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Mercurial said:

-58F forecasted for White Sulphur Springs tonight.

This thing is a beast.  Feeling some 19th century vibes.

[GHweatherChris]

26 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Anyone got a link that will let me look up certain locations all time low temp records?  I used to have it, but don't on this computer, thanks in advance.

Bump

[snow_wizard]

15 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Do you think all the snow that will make it up this way tomorrow will actually stick?

I think it might.  Ground may too warm though. 

[GHweatherChris]

NAM almost gets there, definitely trending in the right (north) direction quite well, should get there eventually.

[Winterdog]

Current temp is 12 degrees, equalling my low for this morning.  This should end up somewhere near zero if nothing pops up to change things.  This is without any snow at all on the ground! 

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Bump

Washington (dri.edu)

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

10 minutes ago, MossMan said:

11.5. Most likely single digits within the next few hours…3 winter seasons in a row of single digits at my house?? incredible! Before that last time I had single digits was 2008, and before that it was probably 1989? 

Something changed in our climate about 5 years ago. It's way different and I now expect 1 arctic outbreak every winter now and that is nuts

 

[snow_wizard]

Just now, Winterdog said:

Current temp is 12 degrees, equally my low for this morning.  This should end up somewhere near zero if nothing pops up to change things.  This is without any snow at all on the ground! 

I have to say the intensity of this cold is insane.  Actually coming in colder than what was expected.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Portland close your eyes 

Edited January 13 by SouthHillFrosty

[GHweatherChris]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Washington (dri.edu)

I found that but it doesn't have any data newer than 2010, unless I am not clicking the right option.

[T-Town]

5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Mossman didn't get snow. Not impressed. 

Just another example of how extremely anomalous the event is. The impossible has happened. Day is night, up is down, Mossman has no snow…

[snow_wizard]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Something changed in our climate about 5 years ago. It's way different and I now expect 1 arctic outbreak every winter now and that is nuts

 

Next winter could be amazing.  Strong Nino to Nina transition and a positive QBO.  And we have finally broken the January curse it seems.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Gotta give the models credit, especially the GFS. They sniffed this cold out 10 days ago.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

1 minute ago, T-Town said:

Just another example of how extremely anomalous the event is. The impossible has happened. Day is night, up is down, Mossman has no snow…

And I got more precip than anyone else

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Next winter could be amazing.  Strong Nino to Nina transition and a positive QBO.  And we have finally broken the January curse it seems.

Not just the January curse, but a top tier arctic outbreak curse. Broke it in a huge way. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Corvallis and Albany now down into the 30s.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

I found that but it doesn't have any data newer than 2010, unless I am not clicking the right option.

Not sure.  There is something called daily summary stats or something like that.  Should be updated, but maybe the station you are looking at stopped updating.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I have to say the intensity of this cold is insane.  Actually coming in colder than what was expected.

You should have taken my bet!

[SnowWillarrive]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I have to say the intensity of this cold is insane.  Actually coming in colder than what was expected.

It’s so cold Mount Baker is closing tomorrow. So are a few ski resorts in BC and even Montana. Never seen that happen before. Id trade this cold for more snow though. 

[Olive1010]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Portland close your eyes 

At this point, Portland will probably see some accumulating snow, lmao

[GHweatherChris]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

Not sure.  There is something called daily summary stats or something like that.  Should be updated, but maybe the station you are looking at stopped updating.

Hoquiam is what I am looking for, they haven't stopped updating.

[Winterdog]

Arlington (KAWO) currently at 12 degrees!  I'm betting they go below zero tonight.

[Phishy Wx]

5 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Just another example of how extremely anomalous the event is. The impossible has happened. Day is night, up is down, Mossman has no snow…

Spokane doesn't either.  Cats are laying with dogs, its crazy I tell ya

[Cascadia_Wx]

31 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Hopefully they get below 20 by midnight, that would be great

They seem to be on a promising trajectory. But they are also infamous for inexplicably stalling out for hours while other stations around them get colder.

[Front Ranger]

5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Not just the January curse, but a top tier arctic outbreak curse. Broke it in a huge way. 

When you're due you're due!

[Cascadia_Wx]

9 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Something changed in our climate about 5 years ago. It's way different and I now expect 1 arctic outbreak every winter now and that is nuts

 

Let’s just hope we can get rid of the nasty summers at some point. At least for a little while.

Maybe breaking the January curse along with mega-Niño will do the trick.

[Skagit Weather]

13.1F currently after a daytime high of 18F. Unfortunately my midnight high was 21F so that is what will go down in the records.

Most mesoscale models don't show it dropping very much from where it is right now, but the Euro shows we maybe have another 5-8 degrees to go so I'll stay optimistic. Today was impressive, but didn't quite hold up to December 27, 2021. On that day we had a daytime high 1 degree colder and a low of 6.7F. Of course I had almost 10" of snow on the ground at that point so who knows what the temperatures would have been without snow.

Going forward I think that will end up being the question from this event: how much colder could the temperatures have been with a widespread snowstorm going into it? But oh well, cool to be experiencing this event in real time.

[Phishy Wx]

-4, DP -17

I'm guessing we get down to -11 or -12.  -11 would be the coldest I've seen in 6 years here

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

11 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

NAM almost gets there, definitely trending in the right (north) direction quite well, should get there eventually.

F*** the north trend, go a bit south that way salem gets more snow and less freezing rain, in feb 2021 my family in salem lost power for 1.5 weeks because of the freezing rain, I don't want that to happen again.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

7 minutes ago, Olive1010 said:

At this point, Portland will probably see some accumulating snow, lmao

I’ll trust the Euro and go with about 5" for PDX.

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

F*** the north trend, go a bit south that way salem gets more snow and less freezing rain, in feb 2021 my family in salem lost power for 1.5 weeks because of the freezing rain, I don't want that to happen again.

I am not wishing destruction on anyone by wanting it to snow in my backyard, far from it.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Let’s just hope we can get rid of the nasty summers at some point. At least for a little while.

Maybe breaking the January curse along with mega-Niño will do the trick.

I'd pay money to change our summers.

All it is doing is destroying our forests. All my hemlocks are almost dead on my property. 70 degrees is all we need, maybe a couple weeks of that and the rest can be cloudy and 65 and I'd be in heaven. 

 

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Wow the fv3 Jumped north and screws Portland.  Not looking good with this model at least. Just looks to dry though 

 

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I'd pay money to change our summers.

All it is doing is destroying our forests. All my hemlocks are almost dead on my property. 70 degrees is all we need, maybe a couple weeks of that and the rest can be cloudy and 65 and I'd be in heaven.

There, too? The hemlock carnage in the old growth forest in Stanley Park is just terrible.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

I am not wishing destruction on anyone by wanting it to snow in my backyard, far from it.

Completely understandable. Everyone getting snow would be great, but that can't happen so I'm rooting for less freezing rain.

 

But who knows, maybe the 850s will be colder than forecast and everyone can get some snow, but that seems unlikely.

[Front Ranger]

Can't wait to see the final numbers this beast puts up across the board. And wishing loads of snow for everyone the the rest of this event.

Here was Lake Tahoe earlier as the storm clouds began to roll in late this afternoon. 

[snow_wizard]

One thing blowing my mind about this cold wave is how a relatively small amount of elevation is making such huge difference.  For instance I-90/SR 18 junction is 11 while North Bend is at 15.  Also a very impressive 13 on an 1100 foot mountain just south of Bellevue.

[Cloud]

SEA lost some data today so hard to tell how high it got. But by looking at the obs, can’t be more than 23F. The 25F recorded at 2am would be the lowest max in quite some time. 

[snow_wizard]

Down to 16 at SEA.  Is this thing for real?